Luca van Assche v Learner Tien
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanL. Tien is 5-5 over the last ten and 21-15 on hard this season. L. van Assche is 5-5 over the last ten and 27-15 on hard this season. L. van Assche took a medical timeout on 2026-10-23.
The pick is L. Tien to win. We make it a 66% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.52 or bigger. At 1.50 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| L. van Assche | L. Tien | |
|---|---|---|
| 45 | Ranking | 16 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| LWWLL | Last 5 | LWLLW |
| +0.4 | V the odds | -0.5 |
| 45-24 | Season | 34-22 |
| 27-15 | Hard 2026 | 21-15 |
| 3 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 4d | Days rest | 15d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| MTO | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
L. van Assche — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | Lyon (France) - Qualification | Hard (Indoor) | L. Musetti | 2.91 | 67% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 7-6 4-6 AsscheMusettiPoints won49%51%Serve points won66%69%Return points won31%34%Games held15 of 1716 of 17Break points saved6 of 83 of 4Aces76Double faults21 | |||||||
| 2026-10-22 | Lyon (France) - Qualification | Hard (Indoor) | V. Vacherot | 2.16 | 55% | WON | |
Games in each set2-6 6-4 6-4 AsscheVacherotPoints won50%50%Serve points won65%64%Return points won36%35%Games held11 of 1411 of 14Break points saved1 of 44 of 7Aces810Double faults52 | |||||||
| 2026-10-20 | Lyon (France) - Qualification | Hard (Indoor) | C. Tabur | 1.59 | 61% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-3 AsscheTaburPoints won53%47%Serve points won64%59%Return points won41%36%Games held10 of 118 of 10Break points saved2 of 35 of 7Aces104Double faults20 | |||||||
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | Y. Bu | 2.34 | 58% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 3-6 AsscheBuPoints won43%57%Serve points won64%84%Return points won16%36%Games held9 of 1011 of 11Break points saved1 of 20 of 0Aces112Double faults30 | |||||||
| 2026-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | A. Fils | 5.30 | 82% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 2-6 AsscheFilsPoints won42%58%Serve points won53%68%Return points won32%47%Games held5 of 89 of 9Break points saved7 of 103 of 3Aces412Double faults13 | |||||||
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | D. Shapovalov | 2.36 | 59% | LOST | |
Games in each set0-6 4-6 6-7 AsscheShapovalovPoints won44%56%Serve points won52%63%Return points won37%48%Games held7 of 1411 of 14Break points saved2 of 98 of 11Aces411Double faults49 | |||||||
| 2026-08-30 | US Open | Hard | C. Norrie | 2.87 | 66% | WON | |
Games in each set6-7 6-2 6-2 6-3 AsscheNorriePoints won58%42%Serve points won69%53%Return points won47%31%Games held16 of 1910 of 18Break points saved1 of 43 of 11Aces86Double faults53 | |||||||
| 2026-08-25 | Winston-Salem | Hard | A. Kovacevic | 1.74 | 56% | LOST | |
Games in each set1-6 6-7 AsscheKovacevicPoints won42%58%Serve points won57%72%Return points won28%43%Games held6 of 99 of 10Break points saved6 of 93 of 4Aces48Double faults64 | |||||||
| 2026-08-23 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | S. Sakellaridis | 1.47 | 66% | WON | |
Games in each set6-1 6-4 AsscheSakellaridisPoints won57%43%Serve points won65%51%Return points won49%35%Games held8 of 94 of 8Break points saved3 of 47 of 11Aces10Double faults31 | |||||||
| 2026-08-22 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | H. Gaston | 1.50 | 65% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-4 AsscheGastonPoints won53%47%Serve points won58%51%Return points won49%42%Games held7 of 105 of 10Break points saved3 of 69 of 14Aces01Double faults24 | |||||||
L. Tien — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Shanghai | Hard | C. Ruud | 1.66 | 59% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 6-7 TienRuudPoints won47%53%Serve points won64%72%Return points won28%36%Games held10 of 1111 of 11Break points saved8 of 92 of 2Aces713Double faults53 | |||||||
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | Z. Svajda | 1.37 | 71% | WON | |
Games in each set7-5 7-5 TienSvajdaPoints won54%46%Serve points won75%66%Return points won34%25%Games held12 of 1210 of 12Break points saved0 of 01 of 3Aces57Double faults24 | |||||||
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | H. Hurkacz | 1.60 | 61% | LOST | |
Games in each set7-5 3-6 4-6 TienHurkaczPoints won47%53%Serve points won66%70%Return points won30%34%Games held12 of 1514 of 16Break points saved4 of 73 of 5Aces512Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-09-27 | ATP Laver Cup | Hard (Indoor) | A. Zverev | — | — | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 3-6 TienZverevPoints won46%54%Serve points won64%73%Return points won27%36%Games held9 of 1011 of 11Break points saved5 of 64 of 4Aces05Double faults24 | |||||||
| 2026-09-26 | ATP Laver Cup | Hard (Indoor) | F. Cobolli | 1.47 | 65% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 2-6 10-7 TienCobolliPoints won50%50%Serve points won55%54%Return points won46%45%Games held5 of 86 of 9Break points saved4 of 73 of 6Aces10Double faults45 | |||||||
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | J. Lehecka | 1.91 | 50% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 5-7 TienLeheckaPoints won46%54%Serve points won57%64%Return points won36%43%Games held6 of 109 of 11Break points saved5 of 96 of 8Aces15Double faults33 | |||||||
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | J. Mensik | 2.22 | 58% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-4 TienMensikPoints won58%42%Serve points won72%56%Return points won44%28%Games held8 of 95 of 9Break points saved3 of 43 of 7Aces14Double faults24 | |||||||
| 2026-09-07 | US Open | Hard | K. Khachanov | 1.57 | 62% | LOST | |
Games in each set5-7 6-4 7-6 1-6 4-6 TienKhachanovPoints won48%52%Serve points won61%63%Return points won37%39%Games held17 of 2620 of 25Break points saved3 of 129 of 14Aces89Double faults87 | |||||||
| 2026-09-06 | US Open | Hard | J. Mensik | 1.72 | 57% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 1-6 6-7 6-3 6-4 TienMensikPoints won49%51%Serve points won61%66%Return points won34%39%Games held18 of 2317 of 24Break points saved9 of 147 of 14Aces423Double faults88 | |||||||
| 2026-09-03 | US Open | Hard | G. Monfils | 1.22 | 79% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-4 6-3 TienMonfilsPoints won56%44%Serve points won69%56%Return points won44%31%Games held14 of 1410 of 14Break points saved8 of 89 of 13Aces38Double faults48 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Luca van Assche or Learner Tien?
Learner Tien is favourite at 1.50, which is a 65% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Luca van Assche vs Learner Tien?
Luca van Assche is 2.74 and Learner Tien is 1.50, the prices we recorded for the Vienna match.
Who will win Luca van Assche vs Learner Tien?
Our model makes it Learner Tien to win at 1.50 (Lean confidence).