ATPHard (Indoor)Vienna2026-10-27 10:00

Cameron Norrie v Francisco Cerundolo

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Solid

F. Cerundolo to win1.53

Worth backing at 1.46 or bigger · our chance 69% · market 38/62, us 31/69

F. Cerundolo is 6-4 over the last ten and 28-15 on hard this season. C. Norrie is 4-6 over the last ten and 18-16 on hard this season. The head to head is C. Norrie 1-3.

The pick is F. Cerundolo to win. We make it a 69% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.46 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

C. Norrie		F. Cerundolo
40	Ranking	20
4-6	Last 10	6-4
LLLLL	Last 5	LWWLW
-1.0	V the odds	+0.7
23-25	Season	39-23
18-16	Hard 2026	28-15
0	Last 7 days	3
8d	Days rest	3d
0	Wins here	0
Clear	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head 1-3

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

C. Norrie2.5038%

F. CerundoloFAV1.5362%

Market says62% Cerundolo

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

C. NorrieLLLLL

F. CerundoloLWWLW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

C. Norrie1

F. Cerundolo3

Head to head4 meetings

Date	Event	Match	Score
2026-07-18	UTS Championship	F. CerundolovC. Norrie	16-12 15-12 17-8
2023-05-26	ATP Lyon	F. CerundolovC. Norrie	6-3
2023-04-10	ATP Monte Carlo	C. NorrievF. Cerundolo	3-6 4-6
2022-05-17	Lyon	C. NorrievF. Cerundolo	6-4 6-4

This season & this event

C. Norrie

F. Cerundolo

23-25

18-16

Lost R16 to M. Berrettini

Lost R32 to F. Tiafoe

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

39-23

28-15

Lost R16 to A. Bublik

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Cameron Norrie

United Kingdom

Francisco Cerundolo

Argentina

United Kingdom

21–20

15–12

5–6

0–2

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

Argentina

35–19

13–10

15–8

5–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

C. Norrie — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-19	Lyon (France) - Qualification	Hard (Indoor)	B. Bonzi	1.85	53%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 6-3 3-6 NorrieBonziPoints won44%56%Serve points won58%69%Return points won31%42%Games held10 of 1312 of 14Break points saved3 of 63 of 5Aces714Double faults20
2026-10-08	Shanghai	Hard	D. Svrcina	1.57	62%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 6-3 4-6 NorrieSvrcinaPoints won49%51%Serve points won56%57%Return points won43%44%Games held9 of 1410 of 14Break points saved4 of 97 of 11Aces22Double faults16
2026-09-30	Beijing	Hard	A. Zverev	6.87	86%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 4-6 NorrieZverevPoints won44%56%Serve points won64%76%Return points won24%36%Games held10 of 1111 of 11Break points saved1 of 23 of 3Aces315Double faults00
2026-08-30	US Open	Hard	L. van Assche	1.47	66%	LOST
Games in each set7-6 2-6 2-6 3-6 NorrieAsschePoints won42%58%Serve points won53%69%Return points won31%47%Games held10 of 1816 of 19Break points saved3 of 111 of 4Aces68Double faults35
2026-08-16	Cincinnati	Hard	A. Zverev	4.06	76%	LOST
Games in each set6-3 3-6 3-6 NorrieZverevPoints won46%54%Serve points won59%72%Return points won28%41%Games held11 of 1412 of 13Break points saved13 of 162 of 3Aces316Double faults65
2026-08-13	Cincinnati	Hard	D. Prizmic	1.49	65%	WON
Games in each set3-6 6-1 6-4 NorriePrizmicPoints won53%47%Serve points won69%68%Return points won32%31%Games held12 of 1310 of 13Break points saved4 of 51 of 4Aces311Double faults34
2026-08-09	Montreal	Hard	A. Fils	3.02	68%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 6-7 NorrieFilsPoints won45%55%Serve points won62%72%Return points won28%38%Games held8 of 1010 of 10Break points saved6 of 84 of 4Aces45Double faults33
2026-08-06	Montreal	Hard	A. De Minaur	2.74	64%	WON
Games in each set5-7 7-6 6-1 NorrieMinaurPoints won52%48%Serve points won57%53%Return points won47%43%Games held10 of 159 of 16Break points saved8 of 133 of 10Aces73Double faults35
2026-08-05	Montreal	Hard	I. Buse	1.41	69%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-3 NorrieBusePoints won56%44%Serve points won67%52%Return points won48%33%Games held8 of 95 of 9Break points saved3 of 47 of 11Aces32Double faults42
2026-08-04	Montreal	Hard	C. Ugo Carabelli	1.24	79%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-4 NorrieCarabelliPoints won53%47%Serve points won65%58%Return points won42%35%Games held9 of 118 of 11Break points saved0 of 21 of 4Aces75Double faults32

F. Cerundolo — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-24	Brussels	Hard (Indoor)	T. Griekspoor	1.68	58%	LOST
Games in each set6-2 3-6 6-7 CerundoloGriekspoorPoints won50%50%Serve points won70%67%Return points won33%30%Games held12 of 1412 of 15Break points saved2 of 42 of 5Aces39Double faults42
2026-10-23	Brussels	Hard (Indoor)	C. Chidekh	1.59	62%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-4 CerundoloChidekhPoints won59%41%Serve points won74%54%Return points won46%26%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved0 of 05 of 8Aces80Double faults20
2026-10-21	Brussels	Hard (Indoor)	M. Damm	1.59	61%	WON
Games in each set6-4 7-6 CerundoloDammPoints won54%46%Serve points won71%64%Return points won36%29%Games held10 of 119 of 11Break points saved6 of 70 of 2Aces129Double faults44
2026-10-12	Shanghai	Hard	J. Mensik	2.39	59%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 6-3 2-6 CerundoloMensikPoints won46%54%Serve points won61%68%Return points won32%39%Games held10 of 1312 of 13Break points saved2 of 56 of 7Aces58Double faults20
2026-10-10	Shanghai	Hard	R. Safiullin	1.96	50%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-3 CerundoloSafiullinPoints won56%44%Serve points won77%60%Return points won40%23%Games held9 of 108 of 11Break points saved1 of 23 of 6Aces89Double faults02
2026-10-04	Beijing	Hard	D. Medvedev	3.09	69%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 3-6 CerundoloMedvedevPoints won44%56%Serve points won59%76%Return points won24%41%Games held8 of 1010 of 11Break points saved7 of 91 of 2Aces010Double faults21
2026-10-03	Beijing	Hard	J. Mensik	2.74	64%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-3 CerundoloMensikPoints won55%45%Serve points won72%60%Return points won40%28%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved0 of 06 of 9Aces03Double faults11
2026-10-01	Beijing	Hard	B. Van De Zandschulp	1.67	57%	WON
Games in each set5-7 6-4 6-3 CerundoloZandschulpPoints won51%49%Serve points won63%61%Return points won39%37%Games held13 of 1512 of 16Break points saved11 of 1310 of 14Aces211Double faults25
2026-09-25	ATP Laver Cup	Hard (Indoor)	C. Ruud	1.97	52%	LOST
Games in each set7-6 4-6 8-10 CerundoloRuudPoints won50%50%Serve points won69%68%Return points won32%31%Games held10 of 1111 of 11Break points saved3 of 41 of 1Aces56Double faults42
2026-09-20	ATP Davis Cup - World Group I	- Preliminary	M. Alkaya	1.13	86%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-0 CerundoloAlkayaPoints won71%29%Serve points won80%35%Return points won65%20%Games held6 of 61 of 7Break points saved0 of 02 of 8Aces11Double faults01

Common questions

Who is favourite, Cameron Norrie or Francisco Cerundolo?

Francisco Cerundolo is favourite at 1.53, which is a 62% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Cameron Norrie vs Francisco Cerundolo?

Cameron Norrie is 2.50 and Francisco Cerundolo is 1.53, the prices we recorded for the Vienna match.

What is the head-to-head between Cameron Norrie and Francisco Cerundolo?

They have met 4 times and Francisco Cerundolo leads 3-1.

Who will win Cameron Norrie vs Francisco Cerundolo?

Our model makes it Francisco Cerundolo to win at 1.53 (Solid confidence).

Also at this event

Berrettini v Etcheverry Cobolli v Dimitrov Darderi v Arnaldi Griekspoor v Nakashima Khachanov v Alcaraz Aguilar v Medvedev