Zhizhen Zhang v Tomas Machac
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONT. Machac is 3-7 over the last ten and 10-11 on hard this season. Z. Zhang is 3-7 over the last ten and 8-14 on hard this season. The head to head is Z. Zhang 0-2.
The pick is T. Machac to win. We make it a 71% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.41 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| Z. Zhang | T. Machac | |
|---|---|---|
| 165 | Ranking | 75 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 | 3-7 |
| LLLLW | Last 5 | LLWLL |
| -0.7 | V the odds | -0.4 |
| 21-24 | Season | 15-15 |
| 8-14 | Hard 2026 | 10-11 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 7d | Days rest | 6d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 0-2 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Z. ZhangvT. Machac | 1 - 2 |
| 2024-07-28 | Olympic Games | T. MachacvZ. Zhang | 2 - 1 |
| 2022-08-21 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki | Z. ZhangvT. Machac | 1 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
Z. Zhang — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | T. Machac | 1 - 2 | 3.00 | 68% | LOST |
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | A. Gea | 0 - 2 | 3.90 | 75% | LOST |
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou | Hard | C. Wong | 0 - 2 | 2.38 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-07-29 | Vancouver | Hard | J.J. Wolf | 2 - 1 | 1.95 | 50% | LOST |
| 2026-07-22 | Winnipeg | Hard | C. Broom | 2 - 1 | 1.39 | 69% | LOST |
| 2026-07-21 | Winnipeg | Hard | T. Zink | 0 - 2 | 1.38 | 70% | WON |
| 2026-07-14 | Granby | Hard | J. Boulais | 2 - 0 | 1.31 | 73% | LOST |
| 2026-06-22 | Wimbledon | Grass | H. Searle | 0 - 2 | 1.62 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-06-19 | Nottingham | Grass | O. Virtanen | 1 - 2 | 2.54 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-06-18 | Nottingham | Grass | R. Safiullin | 2 - 1 | 2.31 | 58% | WON |
T. Machac — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | Z. Zhang | 1 - 2 | 1.43 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-10-01 | Beijing | Hard | A. Molcan | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-29 | Beijing | Hard | A. Gea | 0 - 2 | 2.16 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Beijing | Hard | Y. Hanfmann | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-30 | US Open | Hard | T. Samuel | 3 - 0 | 2.31 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-08-26 | Winston-Salem | Hard | M. Rottgering | 2 - 0 | 1.45 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-08-14 | Cincinnati | Hard | P. Carreno-Busta | 0 - 2 | 2.04 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-05-27 | French Open | Clay | A. Zverev | 0 - 3 | 7.74 | 87% | LOST |
| 2026-05-24 | French Open | Clay | Z. Bergs | 3 - 0 | 1.72 | 56% | WON |
| 2026-05-07 | Rome | Clay | S. Tsitsipas | 0 - 2 | 2.33 | 58% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Zhizhen Zhang or Tomas Machac?
Tomas Machac is favourite at 1.43, which is a 68% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Zhizhen Zhang vs Tomas Machac?
Zhizhen Zhang is 3.00 and Tomas Machac is 1.43, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.
What is the head-to-head between Zhizhen Zhang and Tomas Machac?
They have met 3 times and Tomas Machac leads 3-0.
Who will win Zhizhen Zhang vs Tomas Machac?
Our model makes it Tomas Machac to win at 1.43 (Lean confidence).