THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 08 OCTOBERMATCHES 246EVENTS 34LIVE 2ALERTS 152
ATPHardShanghai2026-10-07 04:00

Yannick Hanfmann v Kamil Majchrzak

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
K. Majchrzak to win1.54
Price too short today - wait for 1.63 or bigger · our chance 61% · market 37/63, us 39/61

K. Majchrzak is 4-6 over the last ten and 11-16 on hard this season. Y. Hanfmann is 5-5 over the last ten and 9-10 on hard this season. The head to head is Y. Hanfmann 0-1.

The pick is K. Majchrzak to win. We make it a 61% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.63 or bigger. At 1.54 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

Y. HanfmannK. Majchrzak
59Ranking71
5-5Last 104-6
LLLWLLast 5LWLWL
-V the odds-0.3
26-21Season22-22
9-10Hard 202611-16
0Last 7 days0
9dDays rest8d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
0-1

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

Y. Hanfmann2.6037%
K. MajchrzakFAV1.5463%
Market says63% Majchrzak

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

Y. Hanfmann1
K. Majchrzak1
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-07ShanghaiY. HanfmannvK. Majchrzak2 - 1
2021-09-18SzczecinY. HanfmannvK. Majchrzak0 - 2

This season & this event

Y. Hanfmann
K. Majchrzak
27-21
10-10
Lost R32 to N. Djokovic
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
22-23
11-17
Lost R32 to A. De Minaur
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Yannick Hanfmann
Germany
Kamil Majchrzak
Poland
59
34
Germany
13–8
0
4–4
8–4
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
71
30
Poland
22–21
1
11–14
1–3
9–3

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

Y. Hanfmann — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardK. Majchrzak2 - 12.6063%WON
2026-09-28BeijingHardT. Machac1 - 2——LOST
2026-08-31US OpenHardA. Tabilo1 - 32.1755%LOST
2026-08-16CincinnatiHardA. Fils0 - 24.0276%LOST
2026-08-14CincinnatiHardL. van Assche2 - 01.8353%WON
2026-08-06MontrealHardN. Borges0 - 22.4660%LOST
2026-08-05MontrealHardF. Cobolli0 - 22.2757%WON
2026-08-04MontrealHardB. Bonzi1 - 21.8054%WON
2026-07-24KitzbuhelclayQ. Halys0 - 21.7456%LOST
2026-07-23KitzbuhelclayS. Baez2 - 01.7456%WON

K. Majchrzak — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardY. Hanfmann2 - 11.5463%LOST
2026-09-29TokyoHardA. Fils2 - 14.1078%LOST
2026-09-28TokyoHardL. Sonego0 - 2——WON
2026-09-26HangzhouHardY. Bu2 - 11.8154%LOST
2026-09-23HangzhouHardM. Bellucci0 - 21.6258%WON
2026-09-20ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryA. De Minaur2 - 04.1977%LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryJ. Duckworth1 - 21.6756%WON
2026-09-02US OpenHardV. Vacherot3 - 12.2456%LOST
2026-08-30US OpenHardH. Medjedovic3 - 01.7854%WON
2026-08-24Winston-SalemHardB. Bonzi0 - 21.4866%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Yannick Hanfmann or Kamil Majchrzak?

Kamil Majchrzak is favourite at 1.54, which is a 63% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak?

Yannick Hanfmann is 2.60 and Kamil Majchrzak is 1.54, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.

What is the head-to-head between Yannick Hanfmann and Kamil Majchrzak?

They have met 2 times and they are level at 1-1.

Who will win Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak?

Our model makes it Kamil Majchrzak to win at 1.54 (Lean confidence).

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