THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 08 OCTOBERMATCHES 246EVENTS 34LIVE 2ALERTS 152
ATPHardShanghai2026-10-07 04:00

Arthur Fery v Marin Cilic

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidLOST
M. Cilic to win2.42
Worth backing at 2.12 or bigger · our chance 47% · market 60/40, us 53/47

M. Cilic is 3-7 over the last ten and 10-10 on hard this season. A. Fery is 6-4 over the last ten and 15-9 on hard this season. A. Fery took a medical timeout on 2026-10-01.

The pick is M. Cilic to win. We make it a 47% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.12 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

A. FeryM. Cilic
36Ranking47
6-4Last 103-7
LWLLWLast 5LLWLL
-0.5V the odds-
31-17Season14-16
15-9Hard 202610-10
1Last 7 days0
6dDays rest53d
0Wins here0
MTOFitness53d out
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

A. FeryFAV1.6160%
M. Cilic2.4240%
Market says60% Fery

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

A. FeryWLWLL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

A. Fery1
M. Cilic0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-07ShanghaiA. FeryvM. Cilic2 - 0

This season & this event

A. Fery
M. Cilic
32-17
16-9
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
14-17
10-11
Lost R64 to N. Djokovic
Lost R128 to A. Cazaux

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Arthur Fery
United Kingdom
Marin Cilic
Croatia
36
24
United Kingdom
31–16
0
13–7
6–5
11–4
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
47
38
Croatia
10–8
0
8–6
2–2
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

A. Fery — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardM. Cilic2 - 01.6160%WON
2026-10-01TokyoHardJ. Faria2 - 11.9951%LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsA. Guillen Meza2 - 01.0790%WON
2026-09-01US OpenHardL. Musetti0 - 33.9775%LOST
2026-08-29Winston-SalemHardI. Buse0 - 21.8054%LOST
2026-08-29Winston-SalemHardJ. Duckworth0 - 1 RET1.6559%WON
2026-08-28Winston-SalemHardA. Kovacevic2 - 11.9851%WON
2026-08-26Winston-SalemHardM. Rottgering2 - 01.4666%WON
2026-08-25Winston-SalemHardC. Hewitt2 - 01.2180%WON
2026-08-17CincinnatiHardA. De Minaur0 - 24.3478%LOST

M. Cilic — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardA. Fery2 - 02.4260%LOST
2026-08-15CincinnatiHardD. Merida Aguilar2 - 12.3158%LOST
2026-08-05MontrealHardF. Tiafoe2 - 12.8966%LOST
2026-08-04MontrealHardS. Shimabukuro0 - 21.8054%WON
2026-06-29WimbledonGrassD. Medvedev0 - 33.5072%LOST
2026-06-16LondonHardU. Humbert2 - 02.3458%LOST
2026-06-13HertogenboschGrassD. Medvedev2 - 12.8766%LOST
2026-06-12HertogenboschGrassN. Borges1 - 21.9450%WON
2026-06-08HertogenboschGrassD. Shapovalov2 - 11.6658%WON
2026-05-26French OpenClayM. Kouame0 - 31.3075%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Arthur Fery or Marin Cilic?

Arthur Fery is favourite at 1.61, which is a 60% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic?

Arthur Fery is 1.61 and Marin Cilic is 2.42, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.

What is the head-to-head between Arthur Fery and Marin Cilic?

They have met 1 time and Arthur Fery leads 1-0.

Who will win Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic?

Our model makes it Marin Cilic to win at 2.42 (Solid confidence).

Also at this event