THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 08 OCTOBERMATCHES 246EVENTS 34LIVE 2ALERTS 152
ATPHardShanghai2026-10-07 04:00

Arthur Gea v Jaime Faria

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidWON
A. Gea to win1.56
Worth backing at 1.49 or bigger · our chance 67% · market 62/38, us 67/33

A. Gea is 7-3 over the last ten and 28-8 on hard this season. J. Faria is 5-5 over the last ten and 18-11 on hard this season.

The pick is A. Gea to win. We make it a 67% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.49 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

A. GeaJ. Faria
58Ranking61
7-3Last 105-5
LWWWLLast 5LWLWL
+0.2V the odds-0.6
45-18Season51-26
28-8Hard 202618-11
2Last 7 days2
5dDays rest5d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

A. GeaFAV1.5662%
J. Faria2.5638%
Market says62% Gea

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

A. GeaWLWWW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

A. Gea1
J. Faria0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-07ShanghaiA. GeavJ. Faria2 - 1

This season & this event

A. Gea
J. Faria
46-18
29-8
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
51-27
18-12
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Arthur Gea
France
Jaime Faria
Portugal
58
21
France
43–17
2
26–5
12–8
5–4
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
61
23
Portugal
50–24
0
15–8
29–14
5–2

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

A. Gea — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardJ. Faria2 - 11.5662%WON
2026-10-02BeijingHardH. Hurkacz2 - 12.2857%LOST
2026-09-30BeijingHardZ. Zhang0 - 21.2975%WON
2026-09-29BeijingHardT. Machac0 - 21.6257%WON
2026-09-28BeijingHardR. Te0 - 2——WON
2026-09-07US OpenHardB. Van De Zandschulp2 - 32.4059%LOST
2026-09-05US OpenHardM. Zheng2 - 32.2256%WON
2026-09-03US OpenHardZ. Svajda1 - 32.1255%WON
2026-09-01US OpenHardJ. M. Cerundolo2 - 31.7755%WON
2026-08-27US OpenHardN. Basavareddy0 - 21.7256%LOST

J. Faria — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardA. Gea2 - 12.5662%LOST
2026-10-02TokyoHardJ. Munar2 - 02.5061%LOST
2026-10-01TokyoHardA. Fery2 - 11.9051%WON
2026-09-29TokyoHardD. Vallejo2 - 11.5961%LOST
2026-09-28TokyoHardS. Mochizuki0 - 2——WON
2026-09-26HangzhouHardH. Gaston1 - 21.5762%LOST
2026-09-23HangzhouHardT. Atmane2 - 12.2256%WON
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group II- PreliminaryC. Cruz0 - 21.0294%WON
2026-09-02US OpenHardC. Alcaraz1 - 39.1889%LOST
2026-08-30US OpenHardJ. Brooksby3 - 22.0653%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Arthur Gea or Jaime Faria?

Arthur Gea is favourite at 1.56, which is a 62% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria?

Arthur Gea is 1.56 and Jaime Faria is 2.56, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.

What is the head-to-head between Arthur Gea and Jaime Faria?

They have met 1 time and Arthur Gea leads 1-0.

Who will win Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria?

Our model makes it Arthur Gea to win at 1.56 (Solid confidence).

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