Hubert Hurkacz v James Duckworth
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONH. Hurkacz is 7-3 over the last ten and 21-13 on hard this season. J. Duckworth is 5-5 over the last ten and 18-16 on hard this season. H. Hurkacz retired from a match in the last month. H. Hurkacz has played 4 matches in seven days. The head to head is H. Hurkacz 2-0.
The pick is H. Hurkacz to win. We make it a 72% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.39 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| H. Hurkacz | J. Duckworth | |
|---|---|---|
| 34 | Ranking | 65 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| LWWWL | Last 5 | LLLWL |
| +1.5 | V the odds | -0.4 |
| 33-22 | Season | 26-25 |
| 21-13 | Hard 2026 | 18-16 |
| 4 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 2d | Days rest | 14d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| retired | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 2-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Shanghai | H. HurkaczvJ. Duckworth | 2 - 0 |
| 2024-06-20 | ATP Halle | H. HurkaczvJ. Duckworth | 2 - 0 |
| 2021-11-05 | Paris | J. DuckworthvH. Hurkacz | 1 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
H. Hurkacz — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | J. Duckworth | 2 - 0 | 1.34 | 72% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Beijing | Hard | A. De Minaur | 1 - 0 RET | 2.20 | 56% | LOST |
| 2026-10-04 | Beijing | Hard | K. Khachanov | 2 - 0 | 2.34 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-10-02 | Beijing | Hard | A. Gea | 2 - 1 | 1.69 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | L. Tien | 1 - 2 | 2.37 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Chengdu | Hard | A. Davidovich Fokina | 0 - 2 | 1.68 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Chengdu | Hard | D. Shapovalov | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | Chengdu | Hard | L. Harris | 0 - 2 | 1.55 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-09-26 | Chengdu | Hard | M. Damm | 1 - 2 | 1.40 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu | Hard | A. Shevchenko | 0 - 2 | 1.20 | 81% | WON |
J. Duckworth — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | H. Hurkacz | 2 - 0 | 3.45 | 72% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Beijing | Hard | R. Te | 0 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu | Hard | L. Sonego | 0 - 2 | 2.24 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | K. Majchrzak | 1 - 2 | 2.12 | 56% | LOST |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | Y. Wu | 0 - 3 | 2.34 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | M. Arnaldi | 1 - 3 | 2.45 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-08-29 | Winston-Salem | Hard | A. Fery | 0 - 1 RET | 2.37 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-08-28 | Winston-Salem | Hard | F. Marozsan | 1 - 2 | 2.41 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-08-27 | Winston-Salem | Hard | L. Sonego | 0 - 2 | 2.15 | 55% | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | Winston-Salem | Hard | M. Navone | 2 - 0 | 2.38 | 59% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Hubert Hurkacz or James Duckworth?
Hubert Hurkacz is favourite at 1.34, which is a 72% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth?
Hubert Hurkacz is 1.34 and James Duckworth is 3.45, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.
What is the head-to-head between Hubert Hurkacz and James Duckworth?
They have met 3 times and Hubert Hurkacz leads 3-0.
Who will win Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth?
Our model makes it Hubert Hurkacz to win at 1.45 (Lean confidence).