Nuno Borges v Facundo Diaz Acosta
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTF. Diaz Acosta is 8-2 over the last ten and 6-4 on hard this season. N. Borges is 6-4 over the last ten and 16-14 on hard this season.
The pick is F. Diaz Acosta to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 58% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.74 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| N. Borges | F. Diaz Acosta | |
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Ranking | 82 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 8-2 |
| LWLLW | Last 5 | LWWWW |
| -0.3 | V the odds | - |
| 28-27 | Season | 49-18 |
| 16-14 | Hard 2026 | 6-4 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 7d | Days rest | 22d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | 22d out |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Shanghai | N. BorgesvF. Diaz Acosta | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
N. Borges — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | F. Diaz Acosta | 2 - 0 | 1.30 | 74% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | N. Djokovic | 0 - 2 | 2.95 | 68% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group II | - Preliminary | D. Duran | 0 - 2 | 1.01 | 95% | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | Hard | L. Tien | 0 - 3 | 2.80 | 65% | LOST |
| 2026-08-20 | Cincinnati | Hard | B. Nakashima | 1 - 2 | 2.51 | 61% | LOST |
| 2026-08-18 | Cincinnati | Hard | A. Rublev | 0 - 2 | 2.71 | 64% | WON |
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati | Hard | F. Cerundolo | 2 - 0 | 1.81 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-08-14 | Cincinnati | Hard | T. Kokkinakis | 2 - 1 | 1.41 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-08-08 | Montreal | Hard | L. Darderi | 1 - 2 | 1.57 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-08-06 | Montreal | Hard | Y. Hanfmann | 0 - 2 | 1.62 | 60% | WON |
F. Diaz Acosta — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | N. Borges | 2 - 0 | 3.75 | 74% | LOST |
| 2026-09-15 | Szczecin | Clay | D. E. Galan | 1 - 2 | 1.17 | 80% | LOST |
| 2026-09-13 | Seville | Clay | D. Lajovic | 2 - 0 | 1.62 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-09-12 | Seville | Clay | J. Munar | 1 - 2 | 1.99 | 51% | WON |
| 2026-09-11 | Seville | Clay | S. Ofner | 2 - 0 | 1.57 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-09-09 | Seville | Clay | A. Moro Canas | 2 - 0 | 1.35 | 71% | WON |
| 2026-09-07 | Seville | Clay | P. Martin Tiffon | 2 - 1 | 1.27 | 76% | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | Hard | Q. Halys | 3 - 1 | 3.62 | 73% | LOST |
| 2026-08-02 | San Marino | Clay | M. Poljicak | 2 - 0 | 1.28 | 76% | WON |
| 2026-08-01 | San Marino | Clay | V. Gaubas | 2 - 0 | 1.46 | 67% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Nuno Borges or Facundo Diaz Acosta?
Nuno Borges is favourite at 1.30, which is a 74% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Nuno Borges vs Facundo Diaz Acosta?
Nuno Borges is 1.30 and Facundo Diaz Acosta is 3.75, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.
What is the head-to-head between Nuno Borges and Facundo Diaz Acosta?
They have met 1 time and Nuno Borges leads 1-0.
Who will win Nuno Borges vs Facundo Diaz Acosta?
Our model makes it Facundo Diaz Acosta to win a set (Lean confidence).