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ATPHardTokyo · 1/16-finals2026-09-30 03:00

Valentin Vacherot v Alexander Blockx

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
A. Blockx to win1.62
Price too short today - wait for 1.63 or bigger · our chance 62% · market 43/57, us 38/62

A. Blockx is 6-4 over the last ten and 24-11 on hard this season. V. Vacherot is 4-6 over the last ten and 10-12 on hard this season. A. Blockx retired from a match in the last month.

The pick is A. Blockx to win. We make it a 62% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.63 or bigger. At 1.62 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

V. VacherotA. Blockx
23Ranking34
4-6Last 106-4
LWWLWLast 5LWWWL
-1.8V the odds+0.8
20-15Season36-17
10-12Hard 202624-11
1Last 7 days0
4dDays rest21d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessretired21d out
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

V. Vacherot2.2743%
A. BlockxFAV1.7057%
Market says57% Blockx

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

V. Vacherot1
A. Blockx0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-30TokyoV. VacherotvA. Blockx2 - 0

This season & this event

V. Vacherot
A. Blockx
21-15
11-12
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
36-18
24-12
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Valentin Vacherot
Monaco
Alexander Blockx
Belgium
23
27
Monaco
18–14
0
10–10
6–4
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
34
21
Belgium
37–16
1
20–9
16–6
0–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

V. Vacherot — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-30TokyoHardA. Blockx2 - 02.2757%WON
2026-09-26ChengduHardL. Harris0 - 21.8852%LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryO. Virtanen1 - 21.6559%WON
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryE. Vasa0 - 21.0289%WON
2026-09-04US OpenHardF. Tiafoe0 - 32.6864%LOST
2026-09-02US OpenHardK. Majchrzak3 - 11.7356%WON
2026-08-31US OpenHardA. Kovacevic3 - 01.8652%WON
2026-08-15CincinnatiHardD. Vallejo2 - 01.5065%LOST
2026-08-05MontrealHardM. Navone1 - 21.6559%LOST
2026-07-22KitzbuhelclayQ. Halys2 - 01.5463%LOST

A. Blockx — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-30TokyoHardV. Vacherot2 - 01.7057%LOST
2026-09-09US OpenHardK. Khachanov2 - 0 RET2.4760%LOST
2026-09-07US OpenHardF. Cerundolo1 - 31.6559%WON
2026-09-05US OpenHardF. Cobolli3 - 12.0252%WON
2026-08-31US OpenHardT. Barrios Vera3 - 01.1882%WON
2026-08-17CincinnatiHardF. Cobolli1 - 21.8053%LOST
2026-08-15CincinnatiHardM. Navone2 - 01.7157%WON
2026-08-07MontrealHardJ. Lehecka2 - 02.8165%LOST
2026-07-26EstorilClayL. van Assche2 - 11.6659%LOST
2026-07-25EstorilClayL. Darderi2 - 12.6063%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Valentin Vacherot or Alexander Blockx?

Alexander Blockx is favourite at 1.70, which is a 57% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Valentin Vacherot vs Alexander Blockx?

Valentin Vacherot is 2.27 and Alexander Blockx is 1.70, the prices we recorded for the Tokyo match.

What is the head-to-head between Valentin Vacherot and Alexander Blockx?

They have met 1 time and Valentin Vacherot leads 1-0.

Who will win Valentin Vacherot vs Alexander Blockx?

Our model makes it Alexander Blockx to win at 1.62 (Lean confidence).

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