Lorenzo Musetti v Arthur Fery
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidA. Fery is 7-3 over the last ten and 14-7 on hard this season. L. Musetti is 7-3 over the last ten and 16-7 on hard this season. The head to head is L. Musetti 1-0.
The pick is A. Fery to win. We make it a 38% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.65 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| L. Musetti | A. Fery | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ranking | 36 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| WLWWW | Last 5 | WLWWW |
| +0.6 | V the odds | +2.4 |
| 20-10 | Season | 30-15 |
| 16-7 | Hard 2026 | 14-7 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 29d | Days rest | 11d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| 29d out | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 1-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | A. FeryvL. Musetti | 0 - 3 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
L. Musetti — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | Hard | A. Fery | 0 - 3 | 1.29 | 75% | WON |
| 2026-08-22 | Cincinnati | Hard | F. Tiafoe | 0 - 2 | 1.87 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-08-20 | Cincinnati | Hard | J. Faria | 0 - 2 | 1.35 | 72% | WON |
| 2026-08-18 | Cincinnati | Hard | M. Zheng | 0 - 2 | 1.52 | 64% | WON |
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati | Hard | D. Altmaier | 0 - 2 | 1.25 | 78% | WON |
| 2026-08-07 | Montreal | Hard | R. Jodar | 2 - 0 | 2.17 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-08-05 | Montreal | Hard | N. Mejia | 0 - 2 | 1.14 | 85% | WON |
| 2026-08-01 | Washington | Hard | R. Jodar | 2 - 1 | 2.67 | 63% | LOST |
| 2026-07-29 | Washington | Hard | A. Vukic | 1 - 2 | 1.42 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-07-27 | Washington | Hard | M. Arnaldi | 0 - 1 RET | 1.61 | 60% | WON |
A. Fery — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Tokyo | Hard | J. Faria | 2 - 1 | 1.99 | 51% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | A. Guillen Meza | 2 - 0 | 1.07 | 90% | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | Hard | L. Musetti | 0 - 3 | 3.97 | 75% | LOST |
| 2026-08-28 | Winston-Salem | Hard | A. Kovacevic | 2 - 1 | 1.98 | 51% | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | Winston-Salem | Hard | M. Rottgering | 2 - 0 | 1.46 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | Winston-Salem | Hard | C. Hewitt | 2 - 0 | 1.21 | 80% | WON |
| 2026-08-17 | Cincinnati | Hard | A. De Minaur | 0 - 2 | 4.34 | 78% | LOST |
| 2026-08-15 | Cincinnati | Hard | J. Duckworth | 2 - 1 | 1.91 | 51% | WON |
| 2026-07-10 | Wimbledon | Grass | A. Zverev | 0 - 3 | 6.52 | 85% | LOST |
| 2026-07-08 | Wimbledon | Grass | F. Cobolli | 0 - 3 | 3.00 | 67% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Lorenzo Musetti or Arthur Fery?
Lorenzo Musetti is favourite at 1.43, which is a 68% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Lorenzo Musetti vs Arthur Fery?
Lorenzo Musetti is 1.43 and Arthur Fery is 3.03, the prices we recorded for the Tokyo match.
What is the head-to-head between Lorenzo Musetti and Arthur Fery?
They have met 1 time and Lorenzo Musetti leads 1-0.
Who will win Lorenzo Musetti vs Arthur Fery?
Our model makes it Arthur Fery to win at 2.80 (Solid confidence).