THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 01 OCTOBERMATCHES 213EVENTS 31LIVE 4ALERTS 103
ATPHardTokyo · 1/16-finals2026-09-30 03:00

Jiri Lehecka v Zizou Bergs

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
J. Lehecka to win 2-01.83
Price too short today - wait for 2.16 or bigger · our chance 46% · market 70/30, us 76/24

J. Lehecka is 7-3 over the last ten and 19-11 on hard this season. Z. Bergs is 4-6 over the last ten and 9-12 on hard this season. The head to head is J. Lehecka 1-0.

The pick is J. Lehecka to win 2-0. We make it a 46% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.16 or bigger. At 1.83 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

J. LeheckaZ. Bergs
19Ranking37
7-3Last 104-6
WWWWLLast 5LWLWW
+0.9V the odds-1.6
31-16Season24-23
19-11Hard 20269-12
0Last 7 days0
11dDays rest11d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
1-0

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

J. LeheckaFAV1.3871%
Z. Bergs3.3129%
Market says71% Lehecka

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

J. Lehecka2
Z. Bergs0
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-01TokyoJ. LeheckavZ. Bergs2 - 1
2026-02-18DohaJ. LeheckavZ. Bergs2 - 0

This season & this event

J. Lehecka
Z. Bergs
32-16
20-11
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
24-24
9-13
Lost R16 to C. Alcaraz
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Jiri Lehecka
Czech Republic
Zizou Bergs
Belgium
19
24
Czech Republic
28–17
0
15–10
6–4
6–3
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
37
27
Belgium
24–22
1
10–12
7–7
7–3

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

J. Lehecka — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-30TokyoHardZ. Bergs2 - 11.3871%WON
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsL. Tien2 - 01.9450%WON
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsB. Shelton2 - 02.3260%WON
2026-09-02US OpenHardT. Samuel3 - 01.3672%WON
2026-08-30US OpenHardP. Carreno-Busta3 - 11.2379%WON
2026-08-18CincinnatiHardA. Fils1 - 22.3959%LOST
2026-08-16CincinnatiHardM. Berrettini2 - 11.5662%WON
2026-08-09MontrealHardR. Jodar0 - 22.2056%LOST
2026-08-07MontrealHardA. Blockx2 - 01.5065%WON
2026-08-05MontrealHardV. Kopriva2 - 01.2479%WON

Z. Bergs — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-30TokyoHardJ. Lehecka2 - 13.3171%LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsJ. Rodionov2 - 01.5662%LOST
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsL. Neumayer1 - 21.4067%WON
2026-09-05US OpenHardB. Van De Zandschulp2 - 32.6763%LOST
2026-09-01US OpenHardC. Taberner3 - 11.0592%WON
2026-08-21Quebec City (Canada) - QualificationHardA. Pellegrino2 - 01.2279%WON
2026-08-21Quebec City (Canada) - QualificationHardS. Sakellaridis1 - 21.4368%LOST
2026-08-16CincinnatiHardD. Merida Aguilar2 - 02.0152%LOST
2026-08-07MontrealHardB. Shelton0 - 23.6673%LOST
2026-08-05MontrealHardS. Baez2 - 11.7256%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Jiri Lehecka or Zizou Bergs?

Jiri Lehecka is favourite at 1.38, which is a 71% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs?

Jiri Lehecka is 1.38 and Zizou Bergs is 3.31, the prices we recorded for the Tokyo match.

What is the head-to-head between Jiri Lehecka and Zizou Bergs?

They have met 2 times and Jiri Lehecka leads 2-0.

Who will win Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs?

Our model makes it Jiri Lehecka to win 2-0 at 1.83 (Lean confidence).

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