Luciano Darderi v Casper Ruud
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONL. Darderi is 6-4 over the last ten and 16-12 on hard this season. C. Ruud is 5-5 over the last ten and 14-11 on hard this season. The head to head is L. Darderi 0-1.
The pick is L. Darderi to win. We make it a 40% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.53 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| L. Darderi | C. Ruud | |
|---|---|---|
| - | Ranking | 17 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| LWWWL | Last 5 | WWWLL |
| +1.1 | V the odds | -1.1 |
| 34-24 | Season | 30-18 |
| 16-12 | Hard 2026 | 14-11 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 22d | Days rest | 5d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| 22d out | Fitness | Defending semi |
| Head to head 0-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Tokyo | L. DarderivC. Ruud | 2 - 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Rome | C. RuudvL. Darderi | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
L. Darderi — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | C. Ruud | 2 - 0 | 2.90 | 67% | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | US Open | Hard | A. Zverev | 3 - 0 | 8.51 | 89% | LOST |
| 2026-09-05 | US Open | Hard | D. Sweeny | 3 - 0 | 1.29 | 76% | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | D. Svrcina | 3 - 1 | 1.72 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | H. Wendelken | 3 - 1 | 1.31 | 74% | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | Winston-Salem | Hard | B. Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 0 | 2.34 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-08-25 | Winston-Salem | Hard | M. Bellucci | 1 - 2 | 1.88 | 52% | WON |
| 2026-08-15 | Cincinnati | Hard | R. Hijikata | 0 - 2 | 1.63 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-08-11 | Montreal | Hard | B. Nakashima | 0 - 2 | 3.25 | 70% | LOST |
| 2026-08-08 | Montreal | Hard | N. Borges | 1 - 2 | 2.58 | 62% | WON |
C. Ruud — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | L. Darderi | 2 - 0 | 1.46 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-09-25 | ATP Laver Cup | Hard (Indoor) | F. Cerundolo | 2 - 1 | 1.90 | 51% | WON |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | F. Nidunjianzan | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | R. Te | 2 - 0 | 1.01 | 91% | WON |
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati | Hard | C. O'Connell | 1 - 0 RET | 1.32 | 73% | LOST |
| 2026-08-08 | Montreal | Hard | J. Fonseca | 0 - 2 | 2.27 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-08-05 | Montreal | Hard | J. M. Cerundolo | 2 - 0 | 1.39 | 70% | WON |
| 2026-07-17 | Gstaad | Clay | J. M. Cerundolo | 2 - 1 | 1.33 | 74% | LOST |
| 2026-07-16 | Gstaad | Clay | J. Faria | 1 - 2 | 1.25 | 78% | WON |
| 2026-06-29 | Wimbledon | Grass | H. Hurkacz | 0 - 3 | 2.81 | 65% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Luciano Darderi or Casper Ruud?
Casper Ruud is favourite at 1.46, which is a 67% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud?
Luciano Darderi is 2.90 and Casper Ruud is 1.46, the prices we recorded for the Tokyo match.
What is the head-to-head between Luciano Darderi and Casper Ruud?
They have met 2 times and they are level at 1-1.
Who will win Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud?
Our model makes it Luciano Darderi to win at 2.88 (Lean confidence).