ATPHard (Indoor)Paris2026-11-02 10:00

Ugo Humbert v Botic Van De Zandschulp

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Strong

B. Van De Zandschulp to win2.43

Worth backing at 2.12 or bigger · our chance 47% · market 60/40, us 53/47

B. Van De Zandschulp is 5-5 over the last ten and 20-17 on hard this season. U. Humbert is 2-8 over the last ten and 13-19 on hard this season. U. Humbert took a medical timeout on 2026-10-28. The head to head is U. Humbert 5-0.

The pick is B. Van De Zandschulp to win. We make it a 47% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.12 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

U. Humbert		B. Van De Zandschulp
32	Ranking	41
2-8	Last 10	5-5
LLLLW	Last 5	LLLWW
-3.2	V the odds	-0.2
26-27	Season	31-26
13-19	Hard 2026	20-17
1	Last 7 days	1
6d	Days rest	6d
0	Wins here	0
MTO	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head 5-0

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

U. HumbertFAV1.6160%

B. Van De Zandschulp2.4340%

Market says60% Humbert

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

U. HumbertLLLLW

B. Van De ZandschulpLLLWW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

U. Humbert5

B. Van De Zandschulp0

Head to head5 meetings

Date	Event	Match	Score
2026-02-03	Montpellier	U. HumbertvB. Van De Zandschulp	6-3 6-4
2024-07-03	ATP Wimbledon	B. Van De ZandschulpvU. Humbert	6-7 1-6 3-6
2024-04-26	ATP Madrid	U. HumbertvB. Van De Zandschulp	6-3 6-3
2024-03-22	ATP Miami	U. HumbertvB. Van De Zandschulp	6-4 6-3
2023-10-08	ATP Shanghai	B. Van De ZandschulpvU. Humbert	4-6 6-1 2-6

This season & this event

U. Humbert

B. Van De Zandschulp

26-27

13-19

Reached R64

Lost Final to A. Zverev

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

31-26

20-17

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Ugo Humbert

France

Botic Van De Zandschulp

Netherlands

France

26–23

13–14

5–5

8–4

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

Netherlands

31–24

21–14

7–7

2–3

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

U. Humbert — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-27	Basel	Hard (Indoor)	N. Djokovic	3.11	69%	LOST
Games in each set6-4 3-6 4-6 HumbertDjokovicPoints won47%53%Serve points won63%67%Return points won33%37%Games held12 of 1414 of 15Break points saved6 of 85 of 6Aces129Double faults33
2026-10-19	Lyon (France) - Qualification	Hard (Indoor)	C. Moutet	1.36	71%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 7-6 6-7 HumbertMoutetPoints won49%51%Serve points won63%61%Return points won39%37%Games held12 of 1614 of 16Break points saved6 of 1010 of 12Aces121Double faults22
2026-10-10	Shanghai	Hard	A. Gea	2.04	52%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 6-3 1-6 HumbertGeaPoints won46%54%Serve points won62%69%Return points won31%38%Games held9 of 1311 of 13Break points saved2 of 63 of 5Aces58Double faults34
2026-10-03	Tokyo	Hard	J. Lehecka	2.53	61%	LOST
Games in each set7-5 4-6 4-6 HumbertLeheckaPoints won47%53%Serve points won69%79%Return points won21%31%Games held14 of 1615 of 16Break points saved7 of 91 of 2Aces415Double faults23
2026-09-30	Tokyo	Hard	B. Nakashima	2.83	66%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-2 HumbertNakashimaPoints won64%36%Serve points won88%52%Return points won48%12%Games held9 of 95 of 8Break points saved0 of 09 of 12Aces61Double faults12
2026-08-16	Cincinnati	Hard	M. Zheng	1.90	51%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 3-6 HumbertZhengPoints won45%55%Serve points won55%67%Return points won33%45%Games held7 of 109 of 9Break points saved4 of 71 of 1Aces34Double faults83
2026-08-06	Montreal	Hard	D. Merida Aguilar	1.43	68%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 3-6 HumbertAguilarPoints won46%54%Serve points won54%65%Return points won35%46%Games held5 of 98 of 9Break points saved9 of 131 of 2Aces44Double faults74
2026-07-31	Washington	Hard	B. Shelton	2.99	67%	LOST
Games in each set7-6 3-6 4-6 HumbertSheltonPoints won47%53%Serve points won65%71%Return points won29%35%Games held12 of 1515 of 16Break points saved5 of 85 of 6Aces78Double faults54
2026-07-28	Washington	Hard	A. Martin	1.23	79%	WON
Games in each set6-2 7-5 HumbertMartinPoints won57%43%Serve points won66%54%Return points won46%34%Games held9 of 106 of 10Break points saved3 of 40 of 4Aces34Double faults55
2026-06-30	Wimbledon	Grass	Z. Bergs	1.48	66%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 5-7 6-4 6-3 3-6 HumbertBergsPoints won47%53%Serve points won59%62%Return points won38%41%Games held17 of 2419 of 24Break points saved6 of 1310 of 15Aces713Double faults87

B. Van De Zandschulp — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-27	Basel	Hard (Indoor)	A. Michelsen	2.48	61%	LOST
Games in each set7-5 3-6 3-6 ZandschulpMichelsenPoints won47%53%Serve points won57%62%Return points won38%43%Games held10 of 1512 of 15Break points saved7 of 124 of 7Aces84Double faults92
2026-10-19	Brussels	Hard (Indoor)	C. Chidekh	1.74	56%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 4-6 ZandschulpChidekhPoints won41%59%Serve points won44%65%Return points won35%56%Games held3 of 96 of 8Break points saved9 of 151 of 3Aces53Double faults31
2026-10-14	Shanghai	Hard	R. Jodar	2.67	63%	LOST
Games in each set7-6 4-6 2-6 ZandschulpJodarPoints won46%54%Serve points won59%68%Return points won32%41%Games held11 of 1514 of 15Break points saved5 of 91 of 2Aces64Double faults62
2026-10-12	Shanghai	Hard	A. Fils	4.69	79%	WON
Games in each set7-5 6-4 ZandschulpFilsPoints won53%47%Serve points won65%61%Return points won39%35%Games held10 of 118 of 11Break points saved8 of 93 of 6Aces66Double faults30
2026-10-10	Shanghai	Hard	A. Michelsen	2.71	64%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-4 ZandschulpMichelsenPoints won54%46%Serve points won70%63%Return points won37%30%Games held10 of 108 of 10Break points saved5 of 51 of 3Aces35Double faults22
2026-10-07	Shanghai	Hard	D. Merida Aguilar	1.93	50%	WON
Games in each set1-6 6-3 6-4 ZandschulpAguilarPoints won51%49%Serve points won58%59%Return points won41%42%Games held9 of 139 of 13Break points saved3 of 70 of 4Aces06Double faults24
2026-10-01	Beijing	Hard	F. Cerundolo	2.20	57%	LOST
Games in each set7-5 4-6 3-6 ZandschulpCerundoloPoints won49%51%Serve points won61%63%Return points won37%39%Games held12 of 1613 of 15Break points saved10 of 1411 of 13Aces112Double faults52
2026-09-29	Beijing	Hard	J. Cui	1.19	79%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-4 ZandschulpCuiPoints won56%44%Serve points won79%63%Return points won37%21%Games held10 of 108 of 10Break points saved2 of 21 of 3Aces93Double faults21
2026-09-28	Beijing	Hard	V. Royer	—	—	WON
Games in each set4-6 6-2 6-4 ZandschulpRoyerPoints won53%47%Serve points won66%60%Return points won40%34%Games held12 of 1410 of 14Break points saved5 of 72 of 6Aces13Double faults53
2026-09-25	Chengdu	Hard	N. Basilashvili	1.51	64%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 5-7 ZandschulpBasilashviliPoints won43%57%Serve points won62%79%Return points won21%38%Games held9 of 1111 of 11Break points saved3 of 50 of 0Aces78Double faults52

Common questions

Who is favourite, Ugo Humbert or Botic Van De Zandschulp?

Ugo Humbert is favourite at 1.61, which is a 60% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Ugo Humbert vs Botic Van De Zandschulp?

Ugo Humbert is 1.61 and Botic Van De Zandschulp is 2.43, the prices we recorded for the Paris match.

What is the head-to-head between Ugo Humbert and Botic Van De Zandschulp?

They have met 5 times and Ugo Humbert leads 5-0.

Who will win Ugo Humbert vs Botic Van De Zandschulp?

Our model makes it Botic Van De Zandschulp to win at 2.43 (Strong confidence).

Also at this event

Buse v Bergs Fokina v Kouame Djokovic v Vacherot Halys v Fery Aguilar v Blockx Michelsen v Lehecka