Alex Michelsen v Jiri Lehecka
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanJ. Lehecka is 7-3 over the last ten and 28-15 on hard this season. A. Michelsen is 5-5 over the last ten and 30-16 on hard this season. The head to head is A. Michelsen 1-1.
The pick is J. Lehecka to win. We make it a 63% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.59 or bigger. At 1.54 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Michelsen | J. Lehecka | |
|---|---|---|
| 35 | Ranking | 20 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| LWLWW | Last 5 | WWWLW |
| -0.6 | V the odds | +0.3 |
| 38-24 | Season | 40-20 |
| 30-16 | Hard 2026 | 28-15 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 3 |
| 4d | Days rest | 3d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 1-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Madrid | J. LeheckavA. Michelsen | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2024-01-18 | ATP Australian Open | A. MichelsenvJ. Lehecka | 4-6 6-3 6-4 6-4 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Michelsen — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | A. Fils | 2.79 | 65% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-4 3-6 6-7 MichelsenFilsPoints won50%50%Serve points won67%65%Return points won35%33%Games held13 of 1514 of 16Break points saved5 of 76 of 8Aces47Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-10-27 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | B. Van De Zandschulp | 1.60 | 61% | WON | |
Games in each set5-7 6-3 6-3 MichelsenZandschulpPoints won53%47%Serve points won62%57%Return points won43%38%Games held12 of 1510 of 15Break points saved4 of 77 of 12Aces48Double faults29 | |||||||
| 2026-10-23 | Brussels | Hard (Indoor) | A. Fils | 2.69 | 64% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 6-7 MichelsenFilsPoints won47%53%Serve points won60%67%Return points won33%40%Games held8 of 119 of 11Break points saved1 of 42 of 4Aces26Double faults30 | |||||||
| 2026-10-22 | Brussels | Hard (Indoor) | D. Goffin | 1.07 | 90% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-4 MichelsenGoffinPoints won55%45%Serve points won66%57%Return points won43%34%Games held9 of 106 of 9Break points saved3 of 42 of 5Aces85Double faults43 | |||||||
| 2026-10-19 | Brussels | Hard (Indoor) | A. Guerrieri | 1.24 | 78% | WON | |
Games in each set6-1 6-2 MichelsenGuerrieriPoints won62%38%Serve points won69%46%Return points won54%31%Games held8 of 83 of 7Break points saved0 of 02 of 6Aces30Double faults15 | |||||||
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | B. Van De Zandschulp | 1.52 | 64% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 4-6 MichelsenZandschulpPoints won46%54%Serve points won63%70%Return points won30%37%Games held8 of 1010 of 10Break points saved1 of 35 of 5Aces53Double faults22 | |||||||
| 2026-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | C. Alcaraz | 5.79 | 83% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 6-4 1-6 MichelsenAlcarazPoints won46%54%Serve points won53%60%Return points won40%47%Games held8 of 1410 of 15Break points saved7 of 138 of 13Aces05Double faults45 | |||||||
| 2026-09-08 | US Open | Hard | F. Tiafoe | 2.36 | 59% | LOST | |
Games in each set7-5 6-3 5-7 3-6 6-7 MichelsenTiafoePoints won50%50%Serve points won62%60%Return points won40%38%Games held19 of 2719 of 27Break points saved9 of 1715 of 23Aces2110Double faults94 | |||||||
| 2026-09-06 | US Open | Hard | T. M. Etcheverry | 1.37 | 71% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-4 6-4 MichelsenEtcheverryPoints won52%48%Serve points won71%66%Return points won34%29%Games held15 of 1613 of 16Break points saved4 of 51 of 4Aces126Double faults70 | |||||||
| 2026-09-04 | US Open | Hard | D. Merida Aguilar | 1.53 | 64% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-4 6-3 MichelsenAguilarPoints won53%47%Serve points won72%62%Return points won38%28%Games held14 of 1512 of 16Break points saved4 of 53 of 7Aces68Double faults17 | |||||||
J. Lehecka — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | J-L. Struff | 1.52 | 64% | WON | |
Games in each set3-6 7-5 6-4 LeheckaStruffPoints won53%47%Serve points won70%65%Return points won35%30%Games held14 of 1613 of 15Break points saved5 of 72 of 4Aces2211Double faults22 | |||||||
| 2026-10-30 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | J. Kym | 1.35 | 72% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-2 LeheckaKymPoints won58%42%Serve points won72%56%Return points won44%28%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved2 of 21 of 4Aces75Double faults20 | |||||||
| 2026-10-29 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | D. Altmaier | 1.16 | 84% | WON | |
Games in each set7-5 6-4 LeheckaAltmaierPoints won53%47%Serve points won70%60%Return points won40%30%Games held10 of 118 of 11Break points saved2 of 38 of 11Aces810Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-10-27 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | S. Wawrinka | 1.19 | 82% | WON | |
Games in each set7-5 7-6 LeheckaWawrinkaPoints won56%44%Serve points won83%64%Return points won36%17%Games held12 of 1211 of 12Break points saved2 of 25 of 6Aces119Double faults03 | |||||||
| 2026-10-23 | Brussels | Hard (Indoor) | T. Griekspoor | 1.37 | 71% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-4 4-6 3-6 LeheckaGriekspoorPoints won48%52%Serve points won62%63%Return points won37%38%Games held11 of 1413 of 15Break points saved1 of 45 of 7Aces117Double faults04 | |||||||
| 2026-10-22 | Brussels | Hard (Indoor) | R. Collignon | 1.33 | 73% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-2 LeheckaCollignonPoints won58%42%Serve points won77%59%Return points won41%23%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved1 of 11 of 4Aces93Double faults03 | |||||||
| 2026-10-12 | Shanghai | Hard | R. Jodar | 1.62 | 60% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-4 6-7 4-6 LeheckaJodarPoints won49%51%Serve points won68%67%Return points won33%32%Games held15 of 1615 of 16Break points saved3 of 45 of 6Aces103Double faults20 | |||||||
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | N. Borges | 1.38 | 71% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 3-6 6-3 LeheckaBorgesPoints won54%46%Serve points won73%63%Return points won37%27%Games held13 of 1411 of 13Break points saved0 of 16 of 8Aces125Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-10-06 | Tokyo | Hard | C. Alcaraz | 4.03 | 76% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 4-6 LeheckaAlcarazPoints won47%53%Serve points won68%79%Return points won21%32%Games held9 of 1110 of 11Break points saved2 of 42 of 3Aces74Double faults01 | |||||||
| 2026-10-05 | Tokyo | Hard | V. Vacherot | 1.56 | 62% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-2 LeheckaVacherotPoints won61%39%Serve points won90%60%Return points won40%10%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved0 of 03 of 6Aces104Double faults03 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Alex Michelsen or Jiri Lehecka?
Jiri Lehecka is favourite at 1.54, which is a 62% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka?
Alex Michelsen is 2.51 and Jiri Lehecka is 1.54, the prices we recorded for the Paris match.
What is the head-to-head between Alex Michelsen and Jiri Lehecka?
They have met 2 times and they are level at 1-1.
Who will win Alex Michelsen vs Jiri Lehecka?
Our model makes it Jiri Lehecka to win at 1.54 (Lean confidence).