ATPHard (Indoor)Paris2026-11-02 10:00

Ignacio Buse v Zizou Bergs

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Lean

Z. Bergs to win1.37

Price too short today - wait for 1.45 or bigger · our chance 69% · market 30/70, us 31/69

Z. Bergs is 5-5 over the last ten and 15-16 on hard this season. I. Buse is 5-5 over the last ten and 13-12 on hard this season. The head to head is I. Buse 0-1.

The pick is Z. Bergs to win. We make it a 69% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.45 or bigger. At 1.37 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

I. Buse		Z. Bergs
36	Ranking	39
5-5	Last 10	5-5
LLLLW	Last 5	LLWWL
-0.3	V the odds	-0.2
31-24	Season	30-27
13-12	Hard 2026	15-16
1	Last 7 days	1
6d	Days rest	6d
0	Wins here	0
Clear	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head 0-1

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

I. Buse3.2630%

Z. BergsFAV1.3770%

Market says70% Bergs

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

I. BuseLLLLW

Z. BergsLLWWL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

I. Buse0

Z. Bergs1

Head to head1 meeting

Date	Event	Match	Score
2026-10-10	Shanghai	I. BusevZ. Bergs	0-6 3-6

This season & this event

I. Buse

Z. Bergs

31-24

13-12

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

30-27

15-16

Lost R32 to J. Sinner

Lost R32 to A. Mannarino

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Ignacio Buse

Peru

Zizou Bergs

Belgium

Peru

31–22

9–6

18–12

3–3

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

Belgium

28–25

13–14

7–7

7–3

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

I. Buse — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-27	Vienna	Hard (Indoor)	A. Mannarino	2.50	61%	LOST
Games in each set6-0 5-7 4-6 BuseMannarinoPoints won52%48%Serve points won61%57%Return points won43%39%Games held10 of 149 of 14Break points saved2 of 65 of 10Aces92Double faults11
2026-10-10	Shanghai	Hard	Z. Bergs	2.63	63%	LOST
Games in each set0-6 3-6 BuseBergsPoints won39%61%Serve points won46%70%Return points won30%54%Games held3 of 87 of 7Break points saved4 of 92 of 2Aces33Double faults30
2026-09-30	Beijing	Hard	Q. Halys	2.25	57%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 6-7 BuseHalysPoints won43%57%Serve points won57%68%Return points won32%43%Games held6 of 99 of 10Break points saved3 of 61 of 2Aces39Double faults12
2026-09-19	ATP Davis Cup - World Group I	- Preliminary	D. Vallejo	1.40	69%	LOST
Games in each set7-5 5-7 6-7 BuseVallejoPoints won48%52%Serve points won57%64%Return points won36%43%Games held13 of 1813 of 18Break points saved14 of 199 of 14Aces65Double faults24
2026-09-18	ATP Davis Cup - World Group I	- Preliminary	H. J. Escurra Isnardi	—	—	WON
Games in each set7-6 4-6 7-5 BuseIsnardiPoints won52%48%Serve points won67%62%Return points won38%33%Games held13 of 1713 of 17Break points saved5 of 911 of 15Aces93Double faults23
2026-09-03	US Open	Hard	B. Bonzi	1.90	51%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 6-7 0-6 BuseBonziPoints won41%59%Serve points won55%73%Return points won27%45%Games held8 of 1313 of 13Break points saved2 of 74 of 4Aces68Double faults71
2026-09-01	US Open	Hard	M. Giron	1.61	60%	WON
Games in each set3-6 6-3 6-3 6-7 6-1 BuseGironPoints won54%46%Serve points won63%55%Return points won45%37%Games held17 of 2214 of 24Break points saved5 of 1013 of 23Aces105Double faults56
2026-08-29	Winston-Salem	Hard	A. Fery	2.13	54%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-2 BuseFeryPoints won61%39%Serve points won69%49%Return points won51%31%Games held8 of 94 of 8Break points saved0 of 13 of 7Aces20Double faults11
2026-08-28	Winston-Salem	Hard	B. Bonzi	2.18	55%	WON
Games in each set6-2 4-6 6-1 BuseBonziPoints won58%42%Serve points won71%51%Return points won49%29%Games held10 of 127 of 13Break points saved4 of 67 of 13Aces74Double faults04
2026-08-27	Winston-Salem	Hard	J. M. Cerundolo	2.18	55%	WON
Games in each set7-6 4-6 6-2 BuseCerundoloPoints won53%47%Serve points won60%55%Return points won45%40%Games held10 of 159 of 15Break points saved6 of 118 of 14Aces37Double faults12

Z. Bergs — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-27	Basel	Hard (Indoor)	H. Hurkacz	2.55	62%	LOST
Games in each set6-3 3-6 4-6 BergsHurkaczPoints won47%53%Serve points won66%74%Return points won26%34%Games held12 of 1413 of 14Break points saved4 of 66 of 7Aces1413Double faults13
2026-10-23	Brussels	Hard (Indoor)	J-L. Struff	1.47	66%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 6-7 BergsStruffPoints won47%53%Serve points won67%68%Return points won32%33%Games held9 of 1011 of 11Break points saved1 of 25 of 5Aces135Double faults32
2026-10-22	Brussels	Hard (Indoor)	D. Dzumhur	1.25	78%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-4 BergsDzumhurPoints won58%42%Serve points won75%60%Return points won40%25%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved2 of 22 of 5Aces120Double faults01
2026-10-19	Brussels	Hard (Indoor)	T. Samuel	1.45	67%	WON
Games in each set6-3 7-6 BergsSamuelPoints won55%45%Serve points won75%67%Return points won33%25%Games held11 of 119 of 10Break points saved4 of 43 of 4Aces96Double faults42
2026-10-14	Shanghai	Hard	T. Paul	2.87	66%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 4-6 BergsPaulPoints won49%51%Serve points won69%67%Return points won33%31%Games held9 of 1110 of 11Break points saved2 of 48 of 9Aces43Double faults32
2026-10-12	Shanghai	Hard	C. Alcaraz	10.69	91%	WON
Games in each set7-5 7-6 BergsAlcarazPoints won53%47%Serve points won68%62%Return points won38%32%Games held10 of 129 of 12Break points saved0 of 21 of 4Aces95Double faults12
2026-10-10	Shanghai	Hard	I. Buse	1.54	63%	WON
Games in each set6-0 6-3 BergsBusePoints won61%39%Serve points won70%46%Return points won54%30%Games held7 of 73 of 8Break points saved2 of 24 of 9Aces33Double faults03
2026-10-07	Shanghai	Hard	V. Kopriva	1.39	70%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-1 BergsKoprivaPoints won62%38%Serve points won77%48%Return points won52%23%Games held8 of 84 of 8Break points saved0 of 010 of 14Aces72Double faults13
2026-09-30	Tokyo	Hard	J. Lehecka	3.31	71%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 7-6 3-6 BergsLeheckaPoints won47%53%Serve points won63%69%Return points won31%37%Games held12 of 1416 of 16Break points saved11 of 132 of 2Aces19Double faults32
2026-09-19	ATP Davis Cup - World Group	- Play Offs	J. Rodionov	1.56	62%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 3-6 BergsRodionovPoints won48%52%Serve points won54%57%Return points won43%46%Games held6 of 117 of 10Break points saved6 of 119 of 12Aces47Double faults40

Common questions

Who is favourite, Ignacio Buse or Zizou Bergs?

Zizou Bergs is favourite at 1.37, which is a 70% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs?

Ignacio Buse is 3.26 and Zizou Bergs is 1.37, the prices we recorded for the Paris match.

What is the head-to-head between Ignacio Buse and Zizou Bergs?

They have met 1 time and Zizou Bergs leads 1-0.

Who will win Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs?

Our model makes it Zizou Bergs to win at 1.37 (Lean confidence).

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