ATPHard (Indoor)Paris2026-11-02 10:00

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Moise Kouame

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Solid

A. Davidovich Fokina to win 2-0

Worth backing at 2.04 or bigger · our chance 49% · market 73/27, us 78/22

A. Davidovich Fokina is 9-1 over the last ten and 26-10 on hard this season. M. Kouame is 6-4 over the last ten and 29-17 on hard this season. M. Kouame has played 4 matches in seven days.

The pick is A. Davidovich Fokina to win 2-0. We make it a 49% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.04 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

A. Davidovich Fokina		M. Kouame
26	Ranking	201
9-1	Last 10	6-4
WWWWW	Last 5	WWWWL
+3.4	V the odds	+1.1
33-16	Season	36-22
26-10	Hard 2026	29-17
0	Last 7 days	4
15d	Days rest	2d
0	Wins here	0
Clear	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

A. Davidovich FokinaFAV1.3073%

M. Kouame3.5027%

Market says73% Fokina

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

A. Davidovich FokinaWWWWW

M. KouameWWWWL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

A. Davidovich Fokina

M. Kouame

33-16

26-10

Lost R16 to A. Zverev

Reached R64

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

36-22

29-17

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Spain

Moise Kouame

France

Spain

29–16

15–8

5–5

9–3

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

201

France

31–21

24–14

7–7

—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

A. Davidovich Fokina — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-18	Shanghai	Hard	R. Jodar		2.22	56%	WON
Games in each set1-6 7-6 6-4 FokinaJodarPoints won49%51%Serve points won61%63%Return points won37%39%Games held10 of 1412 of 15Break points saved8 of 124 of 7Aces612Double faults12
2026-10-17	Shanghai	Hard	A. Zverev		4.27	77%	WON
Games in each set5-7 6-4 6-3 FokinaZverevPoints won54%46%Serve points won77%66%Return points won34%23%Games held15 of 1613 of 15Break points saved2 of 34 of 6Aces518Double faults22
2026-10-16	Shanghai	Hard	A. Gea	RET	1.93	51%	WON
Games in each set4-1 FokinaGeaPoints won73%27%Serve points won85%35%Return points won65%15%Games held2 of 21 of 3Break points saved0 of 03 of 5Aces02Double faults00
2026-10-14	Shanghai	Hard	H. Hurkacz		2.00	51%	WON
Games in each set1-6 6-3 7-6 FokinaHurkaczPoints won47%53%Serve points won61%71%Return points won29%39%Games held11 of 1412 of 14Break points saved9 of 120 of 2Aces321Double faults01
2026-10-12	Shanghai	Hard	F. Tiafoe		1.96	50%	WON
Games in each set7-6 4-6 7-6 FokinaTiafoePoints won50%50%Serve points won71%70%Return points won30%29%Games held16 of 1717 of 17Break points saved6 of 71 of 1Aces813Double faults22
2026-10-10	Shanghai	Hard	J. Brooksby		1.44	67%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-3 FokinaBrooksbyPoints won59%41%Serve points won66%48%Return points won52%34%Games held7 of 83 of 8Break points saved1 of 23 of 8Aces51Double faults01
2026-09-30	Tokyo	Hard	M. Berrettini		1.67	58%	LOST
Games in each set6-1 6-7 4-6 FokinaBerrettiniPoints won51%49%Serve points won68%66%Return points won34%32%Games held13 of 1511 of 14Break points saved1 of 34 of 7Aces416Double faults21
2026-09-29	Chengdu	Hard	H. Hurkacz		2.22	57%	WON
Games in each set6-4 7-6 FokinaHurkaczPoints won55%45%Serve points won78%63%Return points won37%22%Games held11 of 1110 of 11Break points saved1 of 15 of 6Aces817Double faults22
2026-09-28	Chengdu	Hard	N. Basilashvili		—	—	WON
Games in each set4-6 6-4 6-3 FokinaBasilashviliPoints won51%49%Serve points won66%71%Return points won29%34%Games held13 of 1511 of 14Break points saved7 of 92 of 5Aces613Double faults31
2026-09-27	Chengdu	Hard	A. Muller		1.33	72%	WON
Games in each set6-1 7-5 FokinaMullerPoints won59%41%Serve points won80%59%Return points won41%20%Games held10 of 106 of 9Break points saved0 of 04 of 7Aces87Double faults12

M. Kouame — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-31	Brest	Hard	O. Virtanen		2.41	60%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-2 KouameVirtanenPoints won63%37%Serve points won71%48%Return points won52%29%Games held8 of 83 of 7Break points saved3 of 32 of 6Aces43Double faults32
2026-10-30	Brest	Hard	F. Maestrelli		1.51	64%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-4 KouameMaestrelliPoints won55%45%Serve points won73%64%Return points won36%27%Games held10 of 107 of 9Break points saved5 of 52 of 4Aces313Double faults30
2026-10-29	Brest	Hard	H. Gaston	RET	2.07	53%	WON
Games in each set7-5 2-1 KouameGastonPoints won54%46%Serve points won58%50%Return points won50%42%Games held5 of 74 of 8Break points saved6 of 81 of 5Aces33Double faults02
2026-10-27	Brest	Hard	H. Grenier		1.36	71%	WON
Games in each set6-4 7-6 KouameGrenierPoints won53%47%Serve points won69%60%Return points won40%31%Games held10 of 119 of 11Break points saved0 of 17 of 9Aces35Double faults35
2026-10-21	Lyon (France) - Qualification	Hard (Indoor)	L. Musetti		4.17	77%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 4-6 KouameMusettiPoints won45%55%Serve points won58%73%Return points won27%42%Games held7 of 109 of 10Break points saved9 of 120 of 1Aces62Double faults30
2026-10-19	Lyon (France) - Qualification	Hard (Indoor)	L. Sonego		2.52	61%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-4 KouameSonegoPoints won53%47%Serve points won70%66%Return points won34%30%Games held11 of 1110 of 11Break points saved5 of 51 of 2Aces35Double faults42
2026-10-15	Roanne	Hard (Indoor)	N. Budkov Kjaer		2.12	54%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 2-6 KouameKjaerPoints won45%55%Serve points won48%58%Return points won42%52%Games held3 of 96 of 9Break points saved7 of 133 of 6Aces52Double faults32
2026-10-12	Roanne	Hard (Indoor)	D. Dedura		1.33	73%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-4 KouameDeduraPoints won55%45%Serve points won61%55%Return points won45%39%Games held8 of 94 of 8Break points saved6 of 73 of 7Aces20Double faults20
2026-09-30	Jingshan	Hard	A. Walton		2.78	65%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 4-6 KouameWaltonPoints won40%60%Serve points won48%71%Return points won29%52%Games held4 of 97 of 8Break points saved1 of 61 of 2Aces18Double faults90
2026-09-24	Chengdu	Hard	A. Muller		1.82	52%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 0-6 KouameMullerPoints won40%60%Serve points won50%71%Return points won29%50%Games held4 of 88 of 8Break points saved3 of 73 of 3Aces43Double faults62

Common questions

Who is favourite, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina or Moise Kouame?

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is favourite at 1.30, which is a 73% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Moise Kouame?

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is 1.30 and Moise Kouame is 3.50, the prices we recorded for the Paris match.

Who will win Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Moise Kouame?

Our model makes it Alejandro Davidovich Fokina to win 2-0 (Solid confidence).

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