THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 08 OCTOBERMATCHES 246EVENTS 34LIVE 2ALERTS 152
ATPHardShanghai2026-10-07 04:00

Sho Shimabukuro v Miomir Kecmanovic

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
M. Kecmanovic to win1.42
Worth backing at 1.42 or bigger · our chance 71% · market 32/68, us 29/71

M. Kecmanovic is 4-6 over the last ten and 13-18 on hard this season. S. Shimabukuro is 3-7 over the last ten and 21-22 on hard this season. The head to head is S. Shimabukuro 0-2.

The pick is M. Kecmanovic to win. We make it a 71% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.42 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

S. ShimabukuroM. Kecmanovic
93Ranking60
3-7Last 104-6
LLWWLLast 5LLWLL
-0.7V the odds-0.6
30-27Season22-26
21-22Hard 202613-18
1Last 7 days0
7dDays rest9d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
0-2

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

S. Shimabukuro3.0232%
M. KecmanovicFAV1.4268%
Market says68% Kecmanovic

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

S. Shimabukuro0
M. Kecmanovic3
Head to head3 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-07ShanghaiS. ShimabukurovM. Kecmanovic0 - 2
2026-08-23Winston-SalemS. ShimabukurovM. Kecmanovic0 - 2
2026-02-10DallasS. ShimabukurovM. Kecmanovic1 - 2

This season & this event

S. Shimabukuro
M. Kecmanovic
30-28
21-23
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
23-26
14-18
Lost R128 to L. Tien
Lost R64 to A. Popyrin

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Sho Shimabukuro
Japan
Miomir Kecmanovic
Serbia
108
29
Japan
30–26
0
21–20
0–2
7–4
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
60
27
Serbia
22–24
1
11–14
8–7
2–3

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

S. Shimabukuro — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardM. Kecmanovic0 - 23.0268%LOST
2026-09-30TokyoHardD. Shapovalov2 - 03.7774%LOST
2026-09-23HangzhouHardH. Gaston0 - 22.0152%LOST
2026-09-20ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryA. Shepp0 - 21.3373%WON
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryJ. Watt1 - 21.2476%WON
2026-08-30US OpenHardA. Rinderknech1 - 33.9075%LOST
2026-08-23Winston-SalemHardM. Kecmanovic0 - 22.9867%LOST
2026-08-14CincinnatiHardH. Hurkacz0 - 23.7475%LOST
2026-08-13CincinnatiHardJ.J. Wolf1 - 22.1255%LOST
2026-08-12CincinnatiHardH. Dellien2 - 01.2179%WON

M. Kecmanovic — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardS. Shimabukuro0 - 21.4268%WON
2026-09-28BeijingHardA. Mannarino1 - 2——LOST
2026-09-24ChengduHardN. Basilashvili0 - 21.6459%LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryE. Butvilas2 - 11.4070%WON
2026-08-30US OpenHardD. Shapovalov1 - 32.2457%LOST
2026-08-26Winston-SalemHardF. Marozsan0 - 21.7755%LOST
2026-08-23Winston-SalemHardS. Shimabukuro0 - 21.4467%WON
2026-08-15CincinnatiHardF. Cobolli1 - 22.0853%LOST
2026-08-13CincinnatiHardC. Ugo Carabelli0 - 21.3473%WON
2026-08-05MontrealHardA. Rinderknech1 - 21.8453%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Sho Shimabukuro or Miomir Kecmanovic?

Miomir Kecmanovic is favourite at 1.42, which is a 68% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Sho Shimabukuro vs Miomir Kecmanovic?

Sho Shimabukuro is 3.02 and Miomir Kecmanovic is 1.42, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.

What is the head-to-head between Sho Shimabukuro and Miomir Kecmanovic?

They have met 3 times and Miomir Kecmanovic leads 3-0.

Who will win Sho Shimabukuro vs Miomir Kecmanovic?

Our model makes it Miomir Kecmanovic to win at 1.42 (Lean confidence).

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