ChallengerHardNingbo · 1/16-finals2026-10-27 03:00

Sergey Fomin v Liam Broady

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Solid

S. Fomin to win3.00

Worth backing at 2.64 or bigger · our chance 38% · market 31/69, us 38/62

S. Fomin is 3-7 over the last ten and 27-20 on hard this season. L. Broady is 1-9 over the last ten and 25-22 on hard this season.

The pick is S. Fomin to win. We make it a 38% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.64 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

S. Fomin		L. Broady
294	Ranking	208
3-7	Last 10	1-9
LLWWW	Last 5	LWLLL
-1.7	V the odds	-4.7
29-26	Season	30-27
27-20	Hard 2026	25-22
0	Last 7 days	2
8d	Days rest	5d
0	Wins here	0
Clear	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

S. Fomin3.0031%

L. BroadyFAV1.3669%

Market says69% Broady

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

S. FominLLWWW

L. BroadyLWLLL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

S. Fomin

L. Broady

29-26

27-20

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

30-27

25-22

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Sergey Fomin

Uzbekistan

Liam Broady

United Kingdom

294

Uzbekistan

26–24

18–17

8–7

—

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

208

United Kingdom

29–24

23–17

4–4

2–3

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

S. Fomin — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-19	Guangzhou	Hard	T. Schoolkate	5.12	81%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 6-4 4-6 FominSchoolkatePoints won41%59%Serve points won57%74%Return points won26%43%Games held10 of 1412 of 14Break points saved1 of 53 of 5Aces422Double faults41
2026-10-17	M25 Qian Daohu	Hard	M. Borisiouk	2.03	53%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 3-6 FominBorisioukPoints won38%62%Serve points won53%80%Return points won20%47%Games held5 of 99 of 9Break points saved3 of 60 of 0
2026-10-16	M25 Qian Daohu	Hard	Y. Takahashi	1.50	64%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-1 FominTakahashiPoints won58%42%Serve points won62%48%Return points won52%38%Games held8 of 94 of 8Break points saved7 of 82 of 6
2026-10-15	M25 Qian Daohu	Hard	M. Shearer	1.08	89%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-2 FominShearerPoints won60%40%Serve points won72%53%Return points won47%28%Games held8 of 84 of 8Break points saved1 of 10 of 4
2026-10-14	M25 Qian Daohu	Hard	D. Palan	1.49	64%	WON
Games in each set7-6 7-5 FominPalanPoints won55%45%Serve points won66%56%Return points won44%34%Games held9 of 128 of 13Break points saved0 of 36 of 10
2026-10-05	Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification	Hard	T. Derepasko	1.43	65%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 6-7 FominDerepaskoPoints won47%53%Serve points won60%63%Return points won37%40%Games held7 of 109 of 10Break points saved5 of 89 of 10Aces511Double faults26
2026-09-15	Guangzhou 2	Hard	W. K. Leong M.	1.86	52%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 1-6 FominM.Points won36%64%Serve points won49%80%Return points won20%51%Games held4 of 88 of 8Break points saved1 of 51 of 1Aces47Double faults20
2026-09-08	Shanghai	Hard	Y. Zhou	3.01	68%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 5-7 FominZhouPoints won45%55%Serve points won61%73%Return points won27%39%Games held10 of 1211 of 12Break points saved6 of 81 of 2Aces514Double faults21
2026-09-01	Zhangjiagang	Hard	K. Sultanov	2.30	59%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 0-6 FominSultanovPoints won43%57%Serve points won51%69%Return points won31%49%Games held4 of 98 of 9Break points saved7 of 120 of 1Aces713Double faults62
2026-08-26	M15 Maanshan 8	Hard	X. Han	—	—	LOST
Games in each set6-3 6-7 4-6 FominHanPoints won51%49%Serve points won66%64%Return points won36%34%Games held14 of 1613 of 15Break points saved3 of 56 of 8

L. Broady — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-22	Guangzhou	Hard	A. Santillan	1.44	66%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 4-6 BroadySantillanPoints won45%55%Serve points won59%73%Return points won27%41%Games held7 of 109 of 10Break points saved1 of 40 of 1Aces210Double faults52
2026-10-20	Guangzhou	Hard	D. Palan	1.24	77%	WON
Games in each set6-7 6-4 6-2 BroadyPalanPoints won54%46%Serve points won72%60%Return points won40%28%Games held14 of 1511 of 15Break points saved1 of 26 of 10Aces415Double faults77
2026-10-12	Roanne	Hard (Indoor)	S. Gueymard Wayenburg	3.23	70%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 4-6 BroadyWayenburgPoints won42%58%Serve points won60%82%Return points won18%40%Games held8 of 1010 of 10Break points saved2 of 42 of 2Aces511Double faults10
2026-09-28	Mouilleron-Le-Captif	Hard (Indoor)	D. Stricker	2.95	68%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 6-3 1-6 BroadyStrickerPoints won46%54%Serve points won61%71%Return points won29%39%Games held9 of 1311 of 13Break points saved4 of 81 of 3Aces18Double faults00
2026-08-24	US Open	Hard	M. Cecchinato	1.32	72%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 3-6 BroadyCecchinatoPoints won48%52%Serve points won65%68%Return points won32%35%Games held9 of 1011 of 11Break points saved10 of 117 of 7Aces15Double faults40
2026-08-13	Brownsburg (Usa) - Qualification	Hard	D. Suresh	1.86	52%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 5-7 BroadySureshPoints won43%57%Serve points won55%72%Return points won28%45%Games held7 of 119 of 10Break points saved5 of 94 of 5Aces25Double faults30
2026-08-04	Lexington	Hard	O. Baris	1.70	56%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 5-7 BroadyBarisPoints won46%54%Serve points won54%62%Return points won38%46%Games held7 of 119 of 11Break points saved10 of 1410 of 12Aces75Double faults43
2026-07-29	Vancouver	Hard	J. D. Hara Friend	1.71	56%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 7-5 4-6 BroadyFriendPoints won48%52%Serve points won60%64%Return points won36%40%Games held13 of 1714 of 17Break points saved9 of 1311 of 14Aces63Double faults126
2026-07-21	Winnipeg	Hard	Y. Shimizu	1.39	69%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 5-7 BroadyShimizuPoints won44%56%Serve points won57%68%Return points won32%43%Games held6 of 109 of 10Break points saved9 of 132 of 3Aces10Double faults32
2026-07-14	Granby	Hard	A. Vukic	1.59	60%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 7-5 6-7 BroadyVukicPoints won49%51%Serve points won67%70%Return points won30%33%Games held15 of 1715 of 17Break points saved5 of 76 of 8Aces67Double faults41

Common questions

Who is favourite, Sergey Fomin or Liam Broady?

Liam Broady is favourite at 1.36, which is a 69% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Sergey Fomin vs Liam Broady?

Sergey Fomin is 3.00 and Liam Broady is 1.36, the prices we recorded for the Ningbo match.

Who will win Sergey Fomin vs Liam Broady?

Our model makes it Sergey Fomin to win at 3.00 (Solid confidence).

Also at this event

Broom v Santillan Hsu v Smith Milic v Uchida Poljicak v Shimizu Schoolkate v Imamura Sun v Matsuoka