THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 08 OCTOBERMATCHES 246EVENTS 34LIVE 2ALERTS 152
ATPHardShanghai2026-10-07 09:30

Rinky Hijikata v Roman Safiullin

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
R. Safiullin to win1.35
Price too short today - wait for 1.36 or bigger · our chance 74% · market 28/72, us 26/74

R. Safiullin is 6-4 over the last ten and 10-9 on hard this season. R. Hijikata is 5-5 over the last ten and 25-19 on hard this season. R. Safiullin took a medical timeout on 2026-09-26. R. Safiullin has played 4 matches in seven days.

The pick is R. Safiullin to win. We make it a 74% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.36 or bigger. At 1.35 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

R. HijikataR. Safiullin
82Ranking84
5-5Last 106-4
LWLWLLast 5WWLWL
-0.0V the odds+1.6
34-28Season38-16
25-19Hard 202610-9
0Last 7 days4
8dDays rest1d
0Wins here2
ClearFitnessMTO
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

R. Hijikata3.4628%
R. SafiullinFAV1.3572%
Market says72% Safiullin

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

R. Hijikata0
R. Safiullin1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-07ShanghaiR. HijikatavR. Safiullin0 - 2

This season & this event

R. Hijikata
R. Safiullin
34-29
25-20
Did not play
Lost R128 to M. Kecmanovic
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
39-16
11-9
Did not play
Lost R16 to N. Djokovic

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Rinky Hijikata
Australia
Roman Safiullin
World
82
25
Australia
34–27
0
21–15
6–7
7–4
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
84
29
World
37–16
2
8–8
20–4
9–4

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

R. Hijikata — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardR. Safiullin0 - 23.4672%LOST
2026-09-29TokyoHardS. Tsitsipas2 - 03.2871%LOST
2026-09-28TokyoHardC. Ugo Carabelli2 - 0——WON
2026-09-25HangzhouHardA. Rublev0 - 23.2170%LOST
2026-09-24HangzhouHardD. Svrcina2 - 02.2958%WON
2026-09-01US OpenHardF. Auger-Aliassime3 - 17.7388%LOST
2026-08-26Winston-SalemHardB. Bonzi0 - 21.9151%LOST
2026-08-25Winston-SalemHardR. Collignon1 - 22.0853%WON
2026-08-24Winston-SalemHardDar. Blanch2 - 01.4368%WON
2026-08-18CincinnatiHardJ. Mensik0 - 24.2077%LOST

R. Safiullin — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardR. Hijikata0 - 21.3572%WON
2026-10-06ShanghaiHardS. Mochizuki2 - 01.1981%WON
2026-10-05ShanghaiHardA. Galarneau2 - 01.1682%WON
2026-10-03BeijingHardA. Rublev2 - 12.2857%LOST
2026-09-30BeijingHardF. Cobolli2 - 02.0653%WON
2026-09-28HangzhouHardD. Medvedev2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-27HangzhouHardY. Bu2 - 01.8750%WON
2026-09-26HangzhouHardQ. Halys1 - 21.7855%WON
2026-09-24HangzhouHardF. Sun0 - 21.2279%WON
2026-08-31US OpenHardC. Alcaraz0 - 34.6679%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Rinky Hijikata or Roman Safiullin?

Roman Safiullin is favourite at 1.35, which is a 72% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Rinky Hijikata vs Roman Safiullin?

Rinky Hijikata is 3.46 and Roman Safiullin is 1.35, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.

What is the head-to-head between Rinky Hijikata and Roman Safiullin?

They have met 1 time and Roman Safiullin leads 1-0.

Who will win Rinky Hijikata vs Roman Safiullin?

Our model makes it Roman Safiullin to win at 1.35 (Lean confidence).

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