Rei Sakamoto v Kasidit Samrej
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanR. Sakamoto is 7-3 over the last ten and 33-19 on hard this season. K. Samrej is 5-5 over the last ten and 37-26 on hard this season. K. Samrej took a medical timeout on 2026-10-21. The head to head is R. Sakamoto 1-0.
The pick is R. Sakamoto to win 2-0. We make it a 64% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.58 or bigger. At 1.53 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| R. Sakamoto | K. Samrej | |
|---|---|---|
| 137 | Ranking | 397 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| LWWLW | Last 5 | LWLWL |
| +1.2 | V the odds | +0.8 |
| 41-24 | Season | 39-27 |
| 33-19 | Hard 2026 | 37-26 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 7d | Days rest | 6d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | MTO |
| Head to head 1-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-18 | Yokohama | K. SamrejvR. Sakamoto | 4-6 6-7 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
R. Sakamoto — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | Almaty | Hard (Indoor) | K. Khachanov | 3.23 | 70% | LOST | |
Games in each set2-6 4-6 SakamotoKhachanovPoints won39%61%Serve points won54%88%Return points won12%46%Games held6 of 99 of 9Break points saved7 of 100 of 0Aces59Double faults30 | |||||||
| 2026-10-18 | Almaty | Hard (Indoor) | G. Diallo | 1.88 | 51% | WON | |
Games in each set2-6 6-4 6-4 SakamotoDialloPoints won48%52%Serve points won65%72%Return points won28%35%Games held12 of 1412 of 14Break points saved5 of 77 of 9Aces1318Double faults30 | |||||||
| 2026-10-17 | Almaty | Hard (Indoor) | A. Omarkhanov | 1.07 | 90% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-1 SakamotoOmarkhanovPoints won65%35%Serve points won78%44%Return points won56%22%Games held7 of 73 of 8Break points saved2 of 24 of 9Aces15Double faults04 | |||||||
| 2026-10-12 | Shanghai | Hard | A. De Minaur | 3.13 | 69% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 4-6 SakamotoMinaurPoints won45%55%Serve points won67%80%Return points won20%33%Games held10 of 1111 of 11Break points saved0 of 12 of 2Aces1311Double faults02 | |||||||
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | A. Rublev | 3.30 | 71% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-4 SakamotoRublevPoints won53%47%Serve points won71%67%Return points won33%29%Games held10 of 108 of 10Break points saved2 of 21 of 3Aces89Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | M. Trungelliti | 1.47 | 66% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 7-5 SakamotoTrungellitiPoints won56%44%Serve points won75%56%Return points won44%25%Games held9 of 107 of 11Break points saved0 of 17 of 11Aces96Double faults25 | |||||||
| 2026-10-06 | Shanghai | Hard | K. Jacquet | 2.24 | 57% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 4-6 7-6 SakamotoJacquetPoints won49%51%Serve points won68%73%Return points won27%32%Games held15 of 1716 of 17Break points saved7 of 95 of 6Aces138Double faults40 | |||||||
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai | Hard | S. C. Hong | — | — | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 7-5 SakamotoHongPoints won58%42%Serve points won73%58%Return points won42%27%Games held10 of 117 of 10Break points saved1 of 22 of 5Aces51Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | M. Arnaldi | 1.78 | 54% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-2 4-6 4-6 SakamotoArnaldiPoints won51%49%Serve points won66%65%Return points won35%34%Games held12 of 1412 of 14Break points saved1 of 32 of 4Aces84Double faults14 | |||||||
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | A. Shepp | 1.13 | 83% | WON | |
Games in each set7-5 6-4 SakamotoSheppPoints won54%46%Serve points won70%63%Return points won37%30%Games held10 of 118 of 11Break points saved4 of 52 of 5Aces75Double faults33 | |||||||
K. Samrej — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | Guangzhou | Hard | C. Wong | 8.53 | 89% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-4 3-6 4-6 SamrejWongPoints won47%53%Serve points won68%71%Return points won29%32%Games held12 of 1414 of 15Break points saved0 of 23 of 4Aces426Double faults42 | |||||||
| 2026-10-20 | Guangzhou | Hard | R. Noguchi | 2.84 | 66% | WON | |
Games in each set2-6 6-1 7-6 SamrejNoguchiPoints won51%49%Serve points won66%67%Return points won33%34%Games held12 of 1411 of 13Break points saved2 of 43 of 5Aces810Double faults53 | |||||||
| 2026-10-19 | Guangzhou | Hard | Y. Demin | 1.78 | 53% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 2-6 SamrejDeminPoints won44%56%Serve points won58%75%Return points won25%42%Games held6 of 99 of 9Break points saved7 of 105 of 5Aces57Double faults53 | |||||||
| 2026-10-18 | Guangzhou | Hard | N. Honda | 1.38 | 68% | WON | |
Games in each set4-6 6-3 7-5 SamrejHondaPoints won53%47%Serve points won68%64%Return points won36%32%Games held14 of 1612 of 15Break points saved4 of 64 of 7Aces1612Double faults85 | |||||||
| 2026-10-07 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | F. Sun | 2.67 | 64% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 5-7 SamrejSunPoints won45%55%Serve points won67%76%Return points won24%33%Games held9 of 1111 of 11Break points saved1 of 32 of 2Aces66Double faults42 | |||||||
| 2026-10-05 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | E. Aguiard | 2.00 | 52% | WON | |
Games in each set6-1 6-3 SamrejAguiardPoints won66%34%Serve points won86%50%Return points won50%14%Games held8 of 84 of 8Break points saved0 of 06 of 10Aces63Double faults26 | |||||||
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group II | - Preliminary | A. Shevchenko | 3.12 | 70% | WON | |
Games in each set1-6 6-2 6-3 SamrejShevchenkoPoints won53%47%Serve points won65%61%Return points won39%35%Games held10 of 129 of 13Break points saved11 of 132 of 5 | |||||||
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group II | - Preliminary | T. Skatov | 2.72 | 66% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 6-7 SamrejSkatovPoints won49%51%Serve points won67%68%Return points won32%33%Games held9 of 1210 of 11Break points saved0 of 20 of 1 | |||||||
| 2026-09-09 | Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | Y. Shimizu | 2.78 | 66% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 4-6 SamrejShimizuPoints won43%57%Serve points won65%81%Return points won19%35%Games held8 of 1010 of 10Break points saved2 of 40 of 0Aces79Double faults22 | |||||||
| 2026-09-08 | Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | S. Rawat | 1.34 | 71% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-7 6-2 SamrejRawatPoints won56%44%Serve points won66%54%Return points won46%34%Games held12 of 148 of 14Break points saved8 of 108 of 14Aces44Double faults124 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Rei Sakamoto or Kasidit Samrej?
Rei Sakamoto is favourite at 1.11, which is a 86% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Rei Sakamoto vs Kasidit Samrej?
Rei Sakamoto is 1.11 and Kasidit Samrej is 6.86, the prices we recorded for the Seoul match.
What is the head-to-head between Rei Sakamoto and Kasidit Samrej?
They have met 1 time and Rei Sakamoto leads 1-0.
Who will win Rei Sakamoto vs Kasidit Samrej?
Our model makes it Rei Sakamoto to win 2-0 at 1.53 (Lean confidence).