August Holmgren v Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanJ. D. Hara Friend is 7-3 over the last ten and 30-17 on hard this season. A. Holmgren is 2-8 over the last ten and 15-16 on hard this season. J. D. Hara Friend took a medical timeout on 2026-10-20.
The pick is J. D. Hara Friend to win. We make it a 64% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.57 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Holmgren | J. D. Hara Friend | |
|---|---|---|
| 236 | Ranking | 272 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| LLLWW | Last 5 | LWWLW |
| -3.6 | V the odds | +0.6 |
| 29-31 | Season | 34-18 |
| 15-16 | Hard 2026 | 30-17 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 15d | Days rest | 4d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | MTO |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Holmgren — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Olbia | Hard | L. Nardi | 1.93 | 50% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-4 4-6 4-6 HolmgrenNardiPoints won48%52%Serve points won64%65%Return points won35%36%Games held12 of 1513 of 15Break points saved1 of 44 of 6Aces47Double faults35 | |||||||
| 2026-10-05 | Villena | Clay | P. Martinez | 1.88 | 51% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-2 6-7 5-7 HolmgrenMartinezPoints won52%48%Serve points won65%60%Return points won40%35%Games held13 of 1612 of 16Break points saved4 of 74 of 8Aces82Double faults71 | |||||||
| 2026-10-02 | Porto | Clay | H. Rocha | 3.05 | 68% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 6-7 HolmgrenRochaPoints won46%54%Serve points won69%76%Return points won24%31%Games held9 of 1011 of 11Break points saved4 of 52 of 2Aces44Double faults10 | |||||||
| 2026-09-30 | Porto | Clay | A. Guerrieri | 2.38 | 60% | WON | |
Games in each set7-5 6-1 HolmgrenGuerrieriPoints won55%45%Serve points won64%53%Return points won47%36%Games held8 of 95 of 10Break points saved5 of 63 of 8Aces41Double faults54 | |||||||
| 2026-09-28 | Porto | Clay | B. Bonzi | — | — | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-4 HolmgrenBonziPoints won59%41%Serve points won78%61%Return points won39%22%Games held10 of 107 of 9Break points saved1 of 13 of 5Aces42Double faults43 | |||||||
| 2026-09-07 | Istanbul | Clay | V. Ursu | 1.20 | 77% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 5-7 HolmgrenUrsuPoints won46%54%Serve points won57%65%Return points won35%43%Games held7 of 119 of 11Break points saved2 of 62 of 4Aces73Double faults43 | |||||||
| 2026-09-01 | Mallorca | Hard | F. Balshaw | 1.93 | 50% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 5-7 HolmgrenBalshawPoints won46%54%Serve points won59%71%Return points won29%41%Games held10 of 1211 of 12Break points saved8 of 101 of 2Aces47Double faults00 | |||||||
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | A. Guerrieri | 1.78 | 54% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 7-6 2-6 HolmgrenGuerrieriPoints won46%54%Serve points won57%67%Return points won33%43%Games held9 of 1413 of 15Break points saved3 of 81 of 3Aces112Double faults64 | |||||||
| 2026-07-29 | Vancouver | Hard | B. Shick | 1.46 | 66% | LOST | |
Games in each set7-6 3-6 3-6 HolmgrenShickPoints won46%54%Serve points won64%73%Return points won27%36%Games held12 of 1515 of 15Break points saved7 of 101 of 1Aces93Double faults87 | |||||||
| 2026-07-24 | Winnipeg | Hard | L. Draxl | 2.16 | 56% | LOST | |
Games in each set5-7 6-1 4-6 HolmgrenDraxlPoints won51%49%Serve points won63%61%Return points won39%37%Games held11 of 1510 of 14Break points saved3 of 78 of 12Aces43Double faults58 | |||||||
J. D. Hara Friend — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | Guangzhou | Hard | C. Wong | 2.74 | 65% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 1-6 FriendWongPoints won46%54%Serve points won62%68%Return points won32%38%Games held6 of 99 of 10Break points saved2 of 51 of 2Aces49Double faults53 | |||||||
| 2026-10-21 | Guangzhou | Hard | J. McCabe | 1.48 | 64% | WON | |
Games in each set4-6 7-6 6-4 FriendMcCabePoints won52%48%Serve points won68%64%Return points won36%32%Games held13 of 1613 of 16Break points saved2 of 54 of 7Aces103Double faults25 | |||||||
| 2026-10-19 | Guangzhou | Hard | O. Milic | 1.26 | 76% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-7 7-6 FriendMilicPoints won53%47%Serve points won76%62%Return points won38%24%Games held15 of 1714 of 17Break points saved0 of 28 of 11Aces1817Double faults64 | |||||||
| 2026-10-15 | Jinan | Hard | A. Shevchenko | 2.02 | 52% | LOST | |
Games in each set0-6 4-6 FriendShevchenkoPoints won41%59%Serve points won51%69%Return points won31%49%Games held4 of 88 of 8Break points saved3 of 73 of 3Aces21Double faults40 | |||||||
| 2026-10-12 | Jinan | Hard | A. Kachmazov | 1.73 | 56% | WON | |
Games in each set6-7 7-5 6-3 FriendKachmazovPoints won50%50%Serve points won63%64%Return points won36%37%Games held15 of 1712 of 16Break points saved6 of 87 of 11Aces813Double faults54 | |||||||
| 2026-10-11 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | A. Kachmazov | 1.66 | 58% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-4 6-7 6-7 FriendKachmazovPoints won51%49%Serve points won71%69%Return points won31%29%Games held16 of 1715 of 17Break points saved1 of 24 of 6Aces147Double faults43 | |||||||
| 2026-10-10 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | K. Saitoh | 1.21 | 80% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-1 FriendSaitohPoints won60%40%Serve points won69%48%Return points won52%31%Games held7 of 73 of 8Break points saved1 of 15 of 10Aces60Double faults23 | |||||||
| 2026-10-09 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | R. Seggerman | 1.53 | 63% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-2 FriendSeggermanPoints won55%45%Serve points won76%65%Return points won35%24%Games held10 of 108 of 10Break points saved2 of 22 of 4Aces616Double faults16 | |||||||
| 2026-10-07 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | W. K. Leong M. | 1.35 | 71% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-3 FriendM.Points won55%45%Serve points won66%61%Return points won39%34%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved4 of 42 of 5Aces21Double faults21 | |||||||
| 2026-10-06 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | Y. Kikuchi | 1.07 | 88% | WON | |
Games in each set6-1 6-4 FriendKikuchiPoints won60%40%Serve points won71%51%Return points won49%29%Games held8 of 94 of 8Break points saved0 of 12 of 6Aces72Double faults31 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, August Holmgren or Jay Dylan Hara Friend?
Jay Dylan Hara Friend is favourite at 1.65, which is a 58% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for August Holmgren vs Jay Dylan Hara Friend?
August Holmgren is 2.31 and Jay Dylan Hara Friend is 1.65, the prices we recorded for the Seoul match.
Who will win August Holmgren vs Jay Dylan Hara Friend?
Our model makes it Jay Dylan Hara Friend to win at 1.65 (Lean confidence).