THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 01 OCTOBERMATCHES 213EVENTS 31LIVE 4ALERTS 103
ATPHardBeijing · 1/16-finals2026-09-30 04:00

Juan Manuel Cerundolo v Bu Yunchaokete

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
Y. Bu to win1.53
Price too short today - wait for 1.74 or bigger · our chance 57% · market 41/59, us 42/57

Y. Bu is 6-4 over the last ten and 22-13 on hard this season. J. M. Cerundolo is 5-5 over the last ten and 15-9 on hard this season. The head to head is J. M. Cerundolo 0-1.

The pick is Y. Bu to win. We make it a 57% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.74 or bigger. At 1.53 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

J. M. CerundoloY. Bu
45Ranking124
5-5Last 106-4
LWLLWLast 5LWWWL
+0.5V the odds+0.8
33-22Season33-17
15-9Hard 202622-13
2Last 7 days3
4dDays rest3d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
0-1

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

J. M. Cerundolo2.4340%
Y. BuFAV1.6260%
Market says60% Bu

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

J. M. Cerundolo0
Y. Bu2
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-30BeijingJ. M. CerundolovY. Bu1 - 2
2025-10-02ShanghaiY. BuvJ. M. Cerundolo2 - 1

This season & this event

J. M. Cerundolo
Y. Bu
33-23
15-10
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
34-17
23-13
Lost R32 to A. De Minaur
Lost SF to J. Sinner

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Argentina
Yunchaokete Bu
China
45
24
Argentina
32–21
1
7–6
23–13
2–2
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
124
24
China
30–17
2
19–13
0–1
11–2

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

J. M. Cerundolo — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-30BeijingHardY. Bu1 - 22.4360%LOST
2026-09-26ChengduHardA. Davidovich Fokina0 - 22.3158%LOST
2026-09-23ChengduHardY. Zhou2 - 01.4965%WON
2026-09-01US OpenHardA. Gea2 - 32.1655%LOST
2026-08-27Winston-SalemHardI. Buse1 - 21.7755%LOST
2026-08-26Winston-SalemHardS. Baez1 - 0 RET2.3158%WON
2026-08-25Winston-SalemHardD. Suresh2 - 01.4268%WON
2026-08-19CincinnatiHardF. Auger-Aliassime0 - 25.0881%LOST
2026-08-16CincinnatiHardA. Rinderknech1 - 22.5562%WON
2026-08-14CincinnatiHardM. Lajal0 - 21.9751%WON

Y. Bu — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-30BeijingHardJ. M. Cerundolo1 - 21.6260%WON
2026-09-27HangzhouHardR. Safiullin2 - 01.9852%LOST
2026-09-26HangzhouHardK. Majchrzak2 - 12.0954%WON
2026-09-23HangzhouHardM. Zheng2 - 02.1354%WON
2026-09-02US OpenHardR. Jodar0 - 39.4290%WON
2026-08-27US OpenHardF. Cina1 - 21.5861%LOST
2026-08-26US OpenHardB. Gojo2 - 01.7455%WON
2026-08-25US OpenHardR. Noguchi2 - 11.3372%WON
2026-08-18Quebec City (Canada) - QualificationHardN. Budkov Kjaer2 - 01.5662%LOST
2026-08-13CincinnatiHardQ. Halys2 - 02.2457%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Juan Manuel Cerundolo or Bu Yunchaokete?

Bu Yunchaokete is favourite at 1.62, which is a 60% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Bu Yunchaokete?

Juan Manuel Cerundolo is 2.43 and Bu Yunchaokete is 1.62, the prices we recorded for the Beijing match.

What is the head-to-head between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Bu Yunchaokete?

They have met 2 times and Bu Yunchaokete leads 2-0.

Who will win Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Bu Yunchaokete?

Our model makes it Bu Yunchaokete to win at 1.53 (Lean confidence).

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