Karen Khachanov v Felix Auger-Aliassime
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTF. Auger-Aliassime is 7-3 over the last ten and 18-8 on hard this season. K. Khachanov is 6-4 over the last ten and 14-11 on hard this season. The head to head is K. Khachanov 3-2.
The pick is F. Auger-Aliassime to win. We make it a 57% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.75 or bigger. At 1.57 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| K. Khachanov | F. Auger-Aliassime | |
|---|---|---|
| 50 | Ranking | 4 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| WWWWW | Last 5 | WWLWL |
| +0.1 | V the odds | +0.1 |
| 23-20 | Season | 38-16 |
| 14-11 | Hard 2026 | 18-8 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 21d | Days rest | 11d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| 21d out | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 3-2 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | K. KhachanovvF. Auger-Aliassime | 2 - 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | US Open | F. Auger-AliassimevK. Khachanov | 1 - 3 |
| 2025-06-19 | Halle | F. Auger-AliassimevK. Khachanov | 1 - 2 |
| 2022-06-10 | Hertogenbosch | K. KhachanovvF. Auger-Aliassime | 0 - 2 |
| 2021-08-18 | Cincinnati | K. KhachanovvF. Auger-Aliassime | 1 - 2 |
| 2019-08-08 | Montreal | K. KhachanovvF. Auger-Aliassime | 2 - 1 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
K. Khachanov — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | F. Auger-Aliassime | 2 - 0 | 2.34 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-09-09 | US Open | Hard | A. Blockx | 2 - 0 RET | 1.62 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-09-07 | US Open | Hard | L. Tien | 3 - 2 | 2.58 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-09-05 | US Open | Hard | B. Bonzi | 3 - 0 | 1.43 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | F. Auger-Aliassime | 1 - 3 | 3.36 | 71% | WON |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | R. A. Burruchaga | 0 - 3 | 1.27 | 76% | WON |
| 2026-08-15 | Cincinnati | Hard | A. Kovacevic | 2 - 1 | 1.42 | 68% | LOST |
| 2026-08-06 | Montreal | Hard | T. Atmane | 0 - 2 | 1.71 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-07-30 | Los Cabos | Hard | B. Tomic | 2 - 0 | 1.33 | 73% | LOST |
| 2026-07-04 | Wimbledon | Grass | F. Cobolli | 2 - 3 | 1.66 | 59% | LOST |
F. Auger-Aliassime — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | K. Khachanov | 2 - 0 | 1.66 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | Q. Halys | 2 - 1 | 1.23 | 76% | WON |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | A. Rinderknech | 2 - 1 | 1.30 | 72% | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | K. Khachanov | 1 - 3 | 1.38 | 71% | LOST |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | Hard | R. Hijikata | 3 - 1 | 1.10 | 88% | WON |
| 2026-08-20 | Cincinnati | Hard | F. Tiafoe | 2 - 0 | 1.48 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-08-19 | Cincinnati | Hard | J. M. Cerundolo | 0 - 2 | 1.21 | 81% | WON |
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati | Hard | S. Tsitsipas | 0 - 2 | 1.75 | 55% | WON |
| 2026-07-07 | Wimbledon | Grass | N. Djokovic | 2 - 3 | 2.38 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-07-05 | Wimbledon | Grass | A. Davidovich Fokina | 3 - 2 | 1.62 | 60% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Karen Khachanov or Felix Auger-Aliassime?
Felix Auger-Aliassime is favourite at 1.66, which is a 58% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Karen Khachanov vs Felix Auger-Aliassime?
Karen Khachanov is 2.34 and Felix Auger-Aliassime is 1.66, the prices we recorded for the Beijing match.
What is the head-to-head between Karen Khachanov and Felix Auger-Aliassime?
They have met 6 times and Karen Khachanov leads 4-2.
Who will win Karen Khachanov vs Felix Auger-Aliassime?
Our model makes it Felix Auger-Aliassime to win at 1.57 (Lean confidence).