Tallon Griekspoor v Andrey Rublev
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
StrongLOSTT. Griekspoor is 4-6 over the last ten and 12-13 on hard this season. A. Rublev is 5-5 over the last ten and 16-12 on hard this season. A. Rublev has played 4 matches in seven days. The head to head is T. Griekspoor 1-3.
The pick is T. Griekspoor to win. We make it a 45% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.20 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| T. Griekspoor | A. Rublev | |
|---|---|---|
| 55 | Ranking | 16 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| LWLLW | Last 5 | LWWWL |
| -0.7 | V the odds | -1.9 |
| 16-22 | Season | 33-20 |
| 12-13 | Hard 2026 | 16-12 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 4 |
| 7d | Days rest | 1d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 1-3 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Beijing | T. GriekspoorvA. Rublev | 1 - 2 |
| 2026-02-27 | Dubai | A. RublevvT. Griekspoor | 0 - 2 |
| 2024-04-30 | ATP Madrid | A. RublevvT. Griekspoor | 2 - 0 |
| 2023-06-23 | ATP Halle | A. RublevvT. Griekspoor | 2 - 1 |
| 2023-02-22 | Doha | A. RublevvT. Griekspoor | 2 - 1 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
T. Griekspoor — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | A. Rublev | 1 - 2 | 2.54 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu | Hard | D. Shapovalov | 0 - 2 | 2.18 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | N. Mejia | 2 - 0 | 1.17 | 80% | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | Hard | B. Shelton | 3 - 1 | 6.58 | 85% | LOST |
| 2026-08-09 | Montreal | Hard | D. Merida Aguilar | 0 - 2 | 1.80 | 54% | LOST |
| 2026-08-07 | Montreal | Hard | M. Arnaldi | 2 - 1 | 1.48 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-08-05 | Montreal | Hard | A. Zverev | 1 - 2 | 5.90 | 84% | WON |
| 2026-08-04 | Montreal | Hard | L. Sonego | 0 - 2 | 1.78 | 55% | WON |
| 2026-07-27 | Washington | Hard | A. Tabilo | 2 - 1 | 1.62 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-07-18 | UTS Championship | Hard | C. Norrie | 2 - 3 | 1.90 | 50% | LOST |
A. Rublev — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | T. Griekspoor | 1 - 2 | 1.57 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Hangzhou | Hard | D. Medvedev | 2 - 0 | 2.75 | 65% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Hangzhou | Hard | K. Jacquet | 0 - 2 | 1.31 | 73% | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | Hangzhou | Hard | H. Gaston | 1 - 2 | 1.19 | 79% | WON |
| 2026-09-25 | Hangzhou | Hard | R. Hijikata | 0 - 2 | 1.30 | 75% | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | D. Merida Aguilar | 3 - 1 | 1.67 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | O. Virtanen | 2 - 3 | 1.17 | 83% | WON |
| 2026-08-18 | Cincinnati | Hard | N. Borges | 0 - 2 | 1.53 | 64% | LOST |
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati | Hard | P. Carreno-Busta | 2 - 0 | 1.47 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-08-04 | Montreal | Hard | J. Shang | 2 - 1 | 1.30 | 75% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Tallon Griekspoor or Andrey Rublev?
Andrey Rublev is favourite at 1.57, which is a 62% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Tallon Griekspoor vs Andrey Rublev?
Tallon Griekspoor is 2.54 and Andrey Rublev is 1.57, the prices we recorded for the Beijing match.
What is the head-to-head between Tallon Griekspoor and Andrey Rublev?
They have met 5 times and Andrey Rublev leads 4-1.
Who will win Tallon Griekspoor vs Andrey Rublev?
Our model makes it Tallon Griekspoor to win at 2.54 (Strong confidence).