Nuno Borges v Novak Djokovic
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidLOSTN. Borges is 7-3 over the last ten and 16-13 on hard this season. N. Djokovic is 6-4 over the last ten and 7-4 on hard this season. The head to head is N. Borges 0-1.
The pick is N. Borges to win. We make it a 35% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.86 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| N. Borges | N. Djokovic | |
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Ranking | - |
| 7-3 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| WLLWW | Last 5 | LLLWW |
| +1.2 | V the odds | -0.9 |
| 28-26 | Season | 15-7 |
| 16-13 | Hard 2026 | 7-4 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 11d | Days rest | 30d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | 30d out |
| Head to head 0-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | N. BorgesvN. Djokovic | 0 - 2 |
| 2025-11-06 | Athens | N. DjokovicvN. Borges | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
N. Borges — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | N. Djokovic | 0 - 2 | 3.48 | 72% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group II | - Preliminary | D. Duran | 0 - 2 | 1.00 | 95% | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | Hard | L. Tien | 0 - 3 | 2.80 | 65% | LOST |
| 2026-08-20 | Cincinnati | Hard | B. Nakashima | 1 - 2 | 2.51 | 61% | LOST |
| 2026-08-18 | Cincinnati | Hard | A. Rublev | 0 - 2 | 2.71 | 64% | WON |
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati | Hard | F. Cerundolo | 2 - 0 | 1.81 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-08-14 | Cincinnati | Hard | T. Kokkinakis | 2 - 1 | 1.41 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-08-08 | Montreal | Hard | L. Darderi | 1 - 2 | 1.57 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-08-06 | Montreal | Hard | Y. Hanfmann | 0 - 2 | 1.62 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-08-05 | Montreal | Hard | T. M. Etcheverry | 2 - 0 | 1.58 | 61% | WON |
N. Djokovic — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | N. Borges | 0 - 2 | 1.35 | 72% | WON |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | M. Navone | 3 - 2 | 1.18 | 83% | LOST |
| 2026-08-15 | Cincinnati | Hard | T. A. Tirante | 1 - 2 | 1.28 | 76% | LOST |
| 2026-07-10 | Wimbledon | Grass | J. Sinner | 3 - 0 | 5.15 | 81% | LOST |
| 2026-07-07 | Wimbledon | Grass | F. Auger-Aliassime | 2 - 3 | 1.66 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-07-05 | Wimbledon | Grass | R. Safiullin | 1 - 3 | 1.18 | 83% | WON |
| 2026-07-03 | Wimbledon | Grass | A. Rinderknech | 1 - 3 | 1.14 | 86% | WON |
| 2026-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | S. Tsitsipas | 0 - 3 | 1.20 | 81% | WON |
| 2026-06-29 | Wimbledon | Grass | Y. Wu | 1 - 3 | 1.08 | 89% | WON |
| 2026-06-26 | Exhibition Hurlingham | Grass | T. Paul | 1 - 2 | 1.70 | 56% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Nuno Borges or Novak Djokovic?
Novak Djokovic is favourite at 1.35, which is a 72% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic?
Nuno Borges is 3.48 and Novak Djokovic is 1.35, the prices we recorded for the Beijing match.
What is the head-to-head between Nuno Borges and Novak Djokovic?
They have met 2 times and Novak Djokovic leads 2-0.
Who will win Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic?
Our model makes it Nuno Borges to win at 3.32 (Solid confidence).