Alexander Bublik v Jakub Mensik
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONJ. Mensik is 5-5 over the last ten and 24-13 on hard this season. A. Bublik is 6-4 over the last ten and 12-8 on hard this season. The head to head is A. Bublik 1-2.
The pick is J. Mensik to win. We make it a 62% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.61 or bigger. At 1.57 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Bublik | J. Mensik | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Ranking | 18 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| LWWLW | Last 5 | LWLLW |
| +0.2 | V the odds | -1.2 |
| 29-20 | Season | 33-19 |
| 12-8 | Hard 2026 | 24-13 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 5d | Days rest | 5d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 1-2 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Beijing | A. BublikvJ. Mensik | 0 - 2 |
| 2025-04-29 | Madrid | J. MensikvA. Bublik | 2 - 0 |
| 2025-02-04 | Rotterdam | A. BublikvJ. Mensik | 0 - 2 |
| 2024-07-01 | ATP Wimbledon | J. MensikvA. Bublik | 2 - 3 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Bublik — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | J. Mensik | 0 - 2 | 2.56 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-09-25 | ATP Laver Cup | Hard (Indoor) | R. Jodar | 2 - 0 | 2.51 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | A. Mannarino | 3 - 0 | 1.28 | 76% | WON |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | J.J. Wolf | 3 - 1 | 1.45 | 67% | WON |
| 2026-07-25 | Kitzbuhel | clay | Q. Halys | 0 - 2 | 1.45 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-07-24 | Kitzbuhel | clay | T. M. Etcheverry | 2 - 0 | 1.60 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-07-23 | Kitzbuhel | clay | A. Molcan | 2 - 0 | 1.67 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-07-22 | Kitzbuhel | clay | F. Diaz Acosta | 2 - 0 | 1.45 | 67% | WON |
| 2026-07-17 | Gstaad | Clay | Q. Halys | 1 - 2 | 1.44 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-07-06 | Wimbledon | Grass | T. Fritz | 3 - 0 | 2.93 | 67% | LOST |
J. Mensik — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | A. Bublik | 0 - 2 | 1.57 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-09-25 | ATP Laver Cup | Hard (Indoor) | B. Nakashima | 1 - 2 | 1.68 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | B. Shelton | 2 - 1 | 2.24 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | L. Tien | 0 - 2 | 1.62 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-09-06 | US Open | Hard | L. Tien | 2 - 3 | 2.26 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | Hard | S. Mochizuki | 3 - 0 | 1.11 | 87% | WON |
| 2026-08-19 | Cincinnati | Hard | T. A. Tirante | 2 - 1 | 1.52 | 64% | LOST |
| 2026-08-18 | Cincinnati | Hard | R. Hijikata | 0 - 2 | 1.27 | 77% | WON |
| 2026-08-15 | Cincinnati | Hard | M. Bellucci | 1 - 2 | 1.29 | 75% | WON |
| 2026-08-12 | Montreal | Hard | B. Shelton | 0 - 2 | 2.28 | 57% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Alexander Bublik or Jakub Mensik?
Jakub Mensik is favourite at 1.57, which is a 62% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik?
Alexander Bublik is 2.56 and Jakub Mensik is 1.57, the prices we recorded for the Beijing match.
What is the head-to-head between Alexander Bublik and Jakub Mensik?
They have met 4 times and Jakub Mensik leads 3-1.
Who will win Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik?
Our model makes it Jakub Mensik to win at 1.57 (Lean confidence).