THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 15 OCTOBERMATCHES 217EVENTS 35LIVE 6ALERTS 148
ChallengerHardJinan2026-10-14 06:30

Luka Pavlovic v Tristan Schoolkate

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
T. Schoolkate to win1.60
Worth backing at 1.59 or bigger · our chance 63% · market 40/60, us 37/63

T. Schoolkate is 5-5 over the last ten and 25-22 on hard this season. L. Pavlovic is 5-5 over the last ten and 16-12 on hard this season.

The pick is T. Schoolkate to win. We make it a 63% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.59 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

L. PavlovicT. Schoolkate
207Ranking155
5-5Last 105-5
WWLLWLast 5LLWLL
-0.8V the odds+0.3
27-25Season33-28
16-12Hard 202625-22
2Last 7 days0
3dDays rest9d
2Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

L. Pavlovic2.4040%
T. SchoolkateFAV1.6260%
Market says60% Schoolkate

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

L. Pavlovic1
T. Schoolkate0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-14JinanL. PavlovicvT. Schoolkate2 - 0

This season & this event

L. Pavlovic
T. Schoolkate
28-26
17-13
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
33-29
25-23
Lost R32 to Y. Zhou
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Luka Pavlovic
France
Tristan Schoolkate
Australia
207
26
France
25–25
1
13–11
11–13
1–1
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
155
25
Australia
32–27
0
22–20
6–3
4–4

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

L. Pavlovic — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-15JinanHardM. Bellucci0 - 24.3478%LOST
2026-10-14JinanHardT. Schoolkate2 - 02.4060%WON
2026-10-11JinanHardT. J. Fancutt2 - 0——WON
2026-10-11JinanHardK. Shi2 - 0——WON
2026-10-05ShanghaiHardI. Simakin1 - 22.8066%LOST
2026-10-01JingshanHardL. Harris2 - 04.2078%LOST
2026-09-29JingshanHardA. Santillan0 - 21.5759%WON
2026-09-22ChengduHardA. Muller2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-16Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - QualificationHardH. Heck2 - 11.3667%LOST
2026-09-15Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - QualificationHardVu Ha Minh Duc0 - 2——WON

T. Schoolkate — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-14JinanHardL. Pavlovic2 - 01.6260%LOST
2026-10-05ShanghaiHardD. Sweeny2 - 11.6558%LOST
2026-10-01Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)H. Mayot2 - 12.3760%LOST
2026-09-28Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)P. Henning0 - 21.4367%WON
2026-09-22St. TropezHardM. Martineau2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-19RennesHard (Indoor)H. Mayot0 - 22.0953%LOST
2026-09-18RennesHard (Indoor)M. Bobichon0 - 21.2077%WON
2026-09-17RennesHard (Indoor)A. Matusevich1 - 21.4763%WON
2026-09-14RennesHard (Indoor)M. Gengel0 - 21.1878%WON
2026-09-02US OpenHardF. Cobolli1 - 35.3182%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Luka Pavlovic or Tristan Schoolkate?

Tristan Schoolkate is favourite at 1.62, which is a 60% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Luka Pavlovic vs Tristan Schoolkate?

Luka Pavlovic is 2.40 and Tristan Schoolkate is 1.62, the prices we recorded for the Jinan match.

What is the head-to-head between Luka Pavlovic and Tristan Schoolkate?

They have met 1 time and Luka Pavlovic leads 1-0.

Who will win Luka Pavlovic vs Tristan Schoolkate?

Our model makes it Tristan Schoolkate to win at 1.60 (Lean confidence).

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