Hayato Matsuoka v Aleksandar Vukic
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
StrongLOSTH. Matsuoka is 6-4 over the last ten and 33-23 on hard this season. A. Vukic is 4-6 over the last ten and 21-20 on hard this season. A. Vukic took a medical timeout on 2026-10-05. A. Vukic retired from a match in the last month.
The pick is H. Matsuoka to win. We make it a 51% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.98 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| H. Matsuoka | A. Vukic | |
|---|---|---|
| 248 | Ranking | 112 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 4-6 |
| WWLWL | Last 5 | LWLWL |
| -0.3 | V the odds | -2.0 |
| 34-25 | Season | 25-29 |
| 33-23 | Hard 2026 | 21-20 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 2d | Days rest | 8d |
| 2 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | MTOretired |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Jinan | H. MatsuokavA. Vukic | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
H. Matsuoka — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Jinan | Hard | A. Vukic | 0 - 2 | 2.23 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-10-12 | Jinan | Hard | J. McCabe | 2 - 0 | 1.69 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-10-11 | Jinan | Hard | Sun Qian | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou | Hard | T. Daniel | 2 - 0 | 2.75 | 65% | LOST |
| 2026-09-22 | Hangzhou | Hard | A. Weber | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-14 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | L. Harris | 1 - 2 | 4.26 | 77% | LOST |
| 2026-09-07 | Shanghai | Hard | Ja. Delaney | 1 - 2 | 1.35 | 72% | LOST |
| 2026-09-01 | Zhangjiagang | Hard | E. Aguiard | 2 - 0 | 1.37 | 70% | LOST |
| 2026-08-16 | Astana | Hard | A. Dougaz | 1 - 2 | 1.57 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-08-15 | Astana | Hard | K. Sultanov | 2 - 1 | 1.69 | 57% | WON |
A. Vukic — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Jinan | Hard | T. Machac | 2 - 0 | 2.89 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-10-14 | Jinan | Hard | H. Matsuoka | 0 - 2 | 1.70 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-10-06 | Shanghai | Hard | P. Kotov | 2 - 0 | 2.34 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai | Hard | J. Cui | 1 - 2 | 1.44 | 67% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Jingshan | Hard | E. Zhu | 0 - 1 RET | 1.28 | 75% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Jingshan | Hard | R. Seggerman | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou | Hard | K. Jacquet | 1 - 2 | 1.93 | 50% | LOST |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | R. Sakamoto | 2 - 3 | 2.28 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-08-20 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | S. Sakellaridis | 2 - 0 | 1.60 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-08-19 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | K. Jacquet | 0 - 2 | 2.18 | 56% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Hayato Matsuoka or Aleksandar Vukic?
Aleksandar Vukic is favourite at 1.70, which is a 57% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Hayato Matsuoka vs Aleksandar Vukic?
Hayato Matsuoka is 2.23 and Aleksandar Vukic is 1.70, the prices we recorded for the Jinan match.
What is the head-to-head between Hayato Matsuoka and Aleksandar Vukic?
They have met 1 time and Aleksandar Vukic leads 1-0.
Who will win Hayato Matsuoka vs Aleksandar Vukic?
Our model makes it Hayato Matsuoka to win at 2.23 (Strong confidence).