THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 15 OCTOBERMATCHES 217EVENTS 35LIVE 6ALERTS 148
ChallengerHardJinan2026-10-14 05:00

Ilya Ivashka v Marat Sharipov

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

StrongVOID
I. Ivashka to win2.13
Worth backing at 1.90 or bigger · our chance 53% · market 45/55, us 53/47

I. Ivashka is 9-1 over the last ten and 30-11 on hard this season. M. Sharipov is 8-2 over the last ten and 30-12 on hard this season. M. Sharipov retired from a match in the last month. The head to head is I. Ivashka 1-0.

The pick is I. Ivashka to win. We make it a 53% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.90 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

I. IvashkaM. Sharipov
-Ranking234
9-1Last 108-2
WWWWWLast 5WWLWL
+2.8V the odds+0.3
32-13Season40-19
30-11Hard 202630-12
2Last 7 days3
2dDays rest3d
2Wins here2
ClearFitnessretired
Head to head
1-0

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

I. Ivashka2.1146%
M. SharipovFAV1.7954%
Market says54% Sharipov

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

I. Ivashka1
M. Sharipov0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-13ShanghaiI. IvashkavM. Sharipov2 - 1

This season & this event

I. Ivashka
M. Sharipov
33-14
31-12
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
40-20
30-13
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Ilya Ivashka
World
Marat Sharipov
World
772
32
World
12–10
1
11–9
—
1–1
Ranking
Age
Country
2025 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
234
24
World
39–19
1
29–12
10–7
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

I. Ivashka — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-15JinanHardL. Draxl1 - 22.0352%LOST
2026-10-14JinanHardM. Sharipov0 - 0 RET2.1154%WON
2026-10-12JinanHardK. Uchida2 - 01.1086%WON
2026-10-11JinanHardB. Zhukayev2 - 01.3272%WON
2026-09-13ShanghaiHardM. Sharipov2 - 11.8253%WON
2026-09-12ShanghaiHardL. Castelnuovo0 - 21.2478%WON
2026-09-11ShanghaiHardY. Zhou2 - 01.7855%WON
2026-09-09ShanghaiHardB. Tomic1 - 21.6755%WON
2026-09-08ShanghaiHardY. H. Hsu2 - 01.9350%WON
2026-09-04ZhangjiagangHardI. Simakin2 - 02.0455%LOST

M. Sharipov — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-14JinanHardI. Ivashka0 - 0 RET1.7954%LOST
2026-10-11JinanHardZ. Jiang2 - 0——WON
2026-10-11JinanHardJa. Delaney2 - 01.1881%WON
2026-10-07Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardO. Jasika1 - 0 RET1.2080%LOST
2026-10-05Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardS. Pankin0 - 21.1282%WON
2026-10-01JingshanHardA. Ilagan2 - 01.3669%LOST
2026-09-30JingshanHardD. Svrcina2 - 11.9350%WON
2026-09-29JingshanHardW. K. Leong M.2 - 01.2177%WON
2026-09-28JingshanHardN. Honda2 - 0——WON
2026-09-20Guangzhou 2HardP. Kotov0 - 21.9450%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Ilya Ivashka or Marat Sharipov?

Marat Sharipov is favourite at 1.79, which is a 54% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov?

Ilya Ivashka is 2.11 and Marat Sharipov is 1.79, the prices we recorded for the Jinan match.

What is the head-to-head between Ilya Ivashka and Marat Sharipov?

They have met 1 time and Ilya Ivashka leads 1-0.

Who will win Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov?

Our model makes it Ilya Ivashka to win at 2.13 (Strong confidence).

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