THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 15 OCTOBERMATCHES 217EVENTS 35LIVE 6ALERTS 148
ChallengerHardJinan2026-10-14 04:00

Keegan Smith v Vit Kopriva

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
V. Kopriva to win1.50
Price too short today - wait for 1.52 or bigger · our chance 66% · market 36/64, us 34/66

V. Kopriva is 3-7 over the last ten and 18-16 on hard this season. K. Smith is 4-6 over the last ten and 32-20 on hard this season.

The pick is V. Kopriva to win. We make it a 66% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.52 or bigger. At 1.50 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

K. SmithV. Kopriva
202Ranking68
4-6Last 103-7
WLLWWLast 5WLLLW
-1.2V the odds-0.8
40-27Season26-29
32-20Hard 202618-16
1Last 7 days2
2dDays rest2d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

K. Smith2.7236%
V. KoprivaFAV1.5064%
Market says64% Kopriva

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

K. Smith1
V. Kopriva0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-14JinanK. SmithvV. Kopriva2 - 1

This season & this event

K. Smith
V. Kopriva
41-27
33-20
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
26-30
18-17
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Keegan Smith
USA
Vit Kopriva
Czech Republic
202
28
USA
39–26
2
31–20
4–2
4–4
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
68
29
Czech Republic
25–28
0
9–11
14–14
2–3

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

K. Smith — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-14JinanHardV. Kopriva2 - 12.7264%WON
2026-10-12JinanHardS. Sakellaridis1 - 22.3659%WON
2026-10-05Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardH. Moriya1 - 21.3870%LOST
2026-10-02ColumbusHard (Indoor)M. Krueger2 - 01.7954%LOST
2026-10-01ColumbusHard (Indoor)B. Nakashima1 - 21.7553%WON
2026-09-29ColumbusHard (Indoor)K. Bigun1 - 21.3371%WON
2026-09-23San Diego 2 (Usa) - QualificationHardD. Dietrich0 - 22.2958%LOST
2026-09-21San Diego 2 (Usa) - QualificationHardE. Winter2 - 11.6159%WON
2026-09-14TiburonHardM. Krueger2 - 11.5062%LOST
2026-08-24US OpenHardA. Galarneau0 - 22.3459%LOST

V. Kopriva — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-14JinanHardK. Smith2 - 11.5064%LOST
2026-10-12JinanHardP. Kotov0 - 1 RET2.5462%WON
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardZ. Bergs0 - 23.2370%LOST
2026-09-28BeijingHardA. Molcan2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-25ChengduHardD. Shapovalov0 - 23.8775%LOST
2026-09-23ChengduHardJ. Hu2 - 0——WON
2026-08-30US OpenHardT. M. Etcheverry3 - 02.6864%LOST
2026-08-22Cancun 2HardL. Harris0 - 22.2256%LOST
2026-08-20Cancun 2HardG. Onclin2 - 01.7156%WON
2026-08-14CincinnatiHardQ. Halys0 - 23.0569%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Keegan Smith or Vit Kopriva?

Vit Kopriva is favourite at 1.50, which is a 64% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Keegan Smith vs Vit Kopriva?

Keegan Smith is 2.72 and Vit Kopriva is 1.50, the prices we recorded for the Jinan match.

What is the head-to-head between Keegan Smith and Vit Kopriva?

They have met 1 time and Keegan Smith leads 1-0.

Who will win Keegan Smith vs Vit Kopriva?

Our model makes it Vit Kopriva to win at 1.50 (Lean confidence).

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