THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 15 OCTOBERMATCHES 217EVENTS 35LIVE 6ALERTS 148
ChallengerHardJinan2026-10-14 05:00

Liam Draxl v James Duckworth

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
L. Draxl to win a set (set handicap +1.5)
Worth backing at 1.41 or bigger · our chance 71% · market 42/58, us 45/55

L. Draxl is 7-3 over the last ten and 27-18 on hard this season. J. Duckworth is 5-5 over the last ten and 18-17 on hard this season. J. Duckworth took a medical timeout on 2026-10-14.

The pick is L. Draxl to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 71% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.41 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

L. DraxlJ. Duckworth
215Ranking63
7-3Last 105-5
WWLWLLast 5LLLLW
+1.1V the odds+0.6
36-24Season26-26
27-18Hard 202618-17
2Last 7 days1
3dDays rest7d
2Wins here0
ClearFitnessMTO
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

L. Draxl2.3042%
J. DuckworthFAV1.6758%
Market says58% Duckworth

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

L. Draxl1
J. Duckworth0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-14JinanL. DraxlvJ. Duckworth2 - 0

This season & this event

L. Draxl
J. Duckworth
38-24
29-18
Lost R16 to A. Cazaux
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
26-27
18-18
Lost R32 to C. Smith
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Liam Draxl
Canada
James Duckworth
Australia
215
24
Canada
34–23
0
24–16
7–6
0–1
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
63
34
Australia
26–25
1
13–15
11–4
2–4

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

L. Draxl — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-15JinanHardI. Ivashka1 - 21.8552%WON
2026-10-14JinanHardJ. Duckworth2 - 02.3058%WON
2026-10-11JinanHardY. Du2 - 0——WON
2026-10-11JinanHardO. Jasika2 - 11.2775%WON
2026-10-06ShanghaiHardN. Basilashvili1 - 22.2457%LOST
2026-10-05ShanghaiHardH. Gaston0 - 22.2457%WON
2026-09-23San Diego 2 (Usa) - QualificationHardH. Searle2 - 11.6558%LOST
2026-09-21San Diego 2 (Usa) - QualificationHardJ. Kennedy0 - 21.2971%WON
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsA. Rinderknech2 - 03.7575%WON
2026-08-27US OpenHardT. Schoolkate1 - 21.8053%LOST

J. Duckworth — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-14JinanHardL. Draxl2 - 01.6758%LOST
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardH. Hurkacz2 - 02.9567%LOST
2026-09-28BeijingHardR. Te0 - 0——LOST
2026-09-23ChengduHardL. Sonego0 - 22.2857%LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryK. Majchrzak1 - 22.1256%LOST
2026-09-02US OpenHardY. Wu0 - 32.3458%LOST
2026-08-31US OpenHardM. Arnaldi1 - 32.4560%WON
2026-08-29Winston-SalemHardA. Fery0 - 1 RET2.3759%LOST
2026-08-28Winston-SalemHardF. Marozsan1 - 22.4160%WON
2026-08-27Winston-SalemHardL. Sonego0 - 22.1555%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Liam Draxl or James Duckworth?

James Duckworth is favourite at 1.67, which is a 58% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Liam Draxl vs James Duckworth?

Liam Draxl is 2.30 and James Duckworth is 1.67, the prices we recorded for the Jinan match.

What is the head-to-head between Liam Draxl and James Duckworth?

They have met 1 time and Liam Draxl leads 1-0.

Who will win Liam Draxl vs James Duckworth?

Our model makes it Liam Draxl to win a set (Lean confidence).

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