THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 08 OCTOBERMATCHES 246EVENTS 34LIVE 2ALERTS 152
ATPHardShanghai2026-10-07 04:00

Luca van Assche v Bu Yunchaokete

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidWON
Y. Bu to win1.67
Worth backing at 1.55 or bigger · our chance 65% · market 42/58, us 35/65

Y. Bu is 6-4 over the last ten and 23-15 on hard this season. L. van Assche is 6-4 over the last ten and 25-13 on hard this season.

The pick is Y. Bu to win. We make it a 65% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.55 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

L. van AsscheY. Bu
40Ranking104
6-4Last 106-4
LLWLWLast 5LWLWW
-0.2V the odds+0.8
43-22Season34-19
25-13Hard 202623-15
1Last 7 days2
7dDays rest5d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

L. van Assche2.3841%
Y. BuFAV1.6359%
Market says59% Bu

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

L. van Assche0
Y. Bu1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-08ShanghaiL. van AsschevY. Bu0 - 2

This season & this event

L. van Assche
Y. Bu
43-23
25-14
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
35-19
24-15
Lost R64 to L. Darderi
Lost R128 to A. Michelsen

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Luca van Assche
France
Yunchaokete Bu
China
40
22
France
43–21
5
25–10
18–10
0–1
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
104
24
China
32–18
2
21–14
0–1
11–2

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

L. van Assche — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardY. Bu0 - 22.3859%LOST
2026-09-30TokyoHardA. Fils2 - 05.3082%LOST
2026-09-02US OpenHardD. Shapovalov3 - 02.3659%LOST
2026-08-30US OpenHardC. Norrie3 - 12.8766%WON
2026-08-25Winston-SalemHardA. Kovacevic0 - 21.7456%LOST
2026-08-23Quebec City (Canada) - QualificationHardS. Sakellaridis0 - 21.4766%WON
2026-08-22Quebec City (Canada) - QualificationHardH. Gaston0 - 21.5065%WON
2026-08-21Quebec City (Canada) - QualificationHardB. Bonzi0 - 21.7456%WON
2026-08-20Quebec City (Canada) - QualificationHardR. Sakamoto1 - 21.6160%WON
2026-08-14CincinnatiHardY. Hanfmann2 - 02.0653%LOST

Y. Bu — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardL. van Assche0 - 21.6359%WON
2026-10-02BeijingHardN. Djokovic1 - 23.8275%LOST
2026-09-30BeijingHardJ. M. Cerundolo1 - 21.5759%WON
2026-09-27HangzhouHardR. Safiullin2 - 01.9050%LOST
2026-09-26HangzhouHardK. Majchrzak2 - 12.0954%WON
2026-09-23HangzhouHardM. Zheng2 - 02.3759%WON
2026-09-03US OpenHardM. Zheng1 - 32.4260%LOST
2026-09-02US OpenHardR. Jodar0 - 39.4290%WON
2026-08-27US OpenHardF. Cina1 - 21.5861%LOST
2026-08-26US OpenHardB. Gojo2 - 01.7455%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Luca van Assche or Bu Yunchaokete?

Bu Yunchaokete is favourite at 1.63, which is a 59% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Luca van Assche vs Bu Yunchaokete?

Luca van Assche is 2.38 and Bu Yunchaokete is 1.63, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.

What is the head-to-head between Luca van Assche and Bu Yunchaokete?

They have met 1 time and Bu Yunchaokete leads 1-0.

Who will win Luca van Assche vs Bu Yunchaokete?

Our model makes it Bu Yunchaokete to win at 1.67 (Solid confidence).

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