Holger Rune v Daniel Altmaier
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWOND. Altmaier is 3-7 over the last ten and 3-13 on hard this season. H. Rune is 2-1 over the last ten and 0-1 on hard this season. The head to head is H. Rune 2-0.
The pick is D. Altmaier to win. We make it a 38% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.62 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| H. Rune | D. Altmaier | |
|---|---|---|
| 188 | Ranking | 57 |
| 2-1 | Last 10 | 3-7 |
| LWW | Last 5 | LLLLW |
| -0.6 | V the odds | - |
| 2-1 | Season | 20-29 |
| 0-1 | Hard 2026 | 3-13 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 7d | Days rest | 9d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 2-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | H. RunevD. Altmaier | 1 - 2 |
| 2023-11-02 | ATP Paris | D. AltmaiervH. Rune | 0 - 2 |
| 2021-06-01 | Biella 7 | H. RunevD. Altmaier | 2 - 1 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
H. Rune — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | D. Altmaier | 1 - 2 | 1.47 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | K. Jacquet | 0 - 2 | 1.56 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | G. Dimitrov | 2 - 1 | 2.05 | 55% | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | I. Radulov | 2 - 0 | 1.20 | 79% | WON |
D. Altmaier — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | H. Rune | 1 - 2 | 2.82 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Beijing | Hard | J. Cui | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | D. Prizmic | 0 - 2 | 2.39 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | Hard | Z. Svajda | 3 - 1 | 2.38 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-08-26 | Winston-Salem | Hard | I. Buse | 0 - 2 | 2.13 | 54% | LOST |
| 2026-08-25 | Winston-Salem | Hard | F. Comesana | 2 - 0 | 2.00 | 52% | WON |
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati | Hard | L. Musetti | 0 - 2 | 4.32 | 78% | LOST |
| 2026-08-14 | Cincinnati | Hard | C. Wong | 1 - 2 | 2.28 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-08-05 | Montreal | Hard | B. Nakashima | 2 - 0 | 3.85 | 75% | LOST |
| 2026-08-04 | Montreal | Hard | A. Vukic | 1 - 2 | 2.33 | 58% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Holger Rune or Daniel Altmaier?
Holger Rune is favourite at 1.47, which is a 66% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier?
Holger Rune is 1.47 and Daniel Altmaier is 2.82, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.
What is the head-to-head between Holger Rune and Daniel Altmaier?
They have met 3 times and Holger Rune leads 2-1.
Who will win Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier?
Our model makes it Daniel Altmaier to win at 2.78 (Lean confidence).