Daniel Vallejo Adolfo v Rafael Jodar
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTR. Jodar is 7-3 over the last ten and 33-12 on hard this season. D. Vallejo is 5-5 over the last ten and 12-8 on hard this season. D. Vallejo has played 4 matches in seven days.
The pick is R. Jodar to win 2-0. We make it a 52% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.91 or bigger. At 1.66 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| D. Vallejo | R. Jodar | |
|---|---|---|
| 58 | Ranking | 13 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| WWLWL | Last 5 | WWLLW |
| +0.4 | V the odds | +0.3 |
| 45-22 | Season | 51-16 |
| 12-8 | Hard 2026 | 33-12 |
| 4 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 1d | Days rest | 5d |
| 2 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Tokyo | D. VallejovR. Jodar | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players


Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
D. Vallejo — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | R. Jodar | 2 - 0 | 4.67 | 79% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Tokyo | Hard | J. Faria | 2 - 1 | 2.37 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Tokyo | Hard | T. Daniel | 2 - 0 | 2.05 | 54% | WON |
| 2026-09-26 | Hangzhou | Hard | C. Wong | 2 - 1 | 2.50 | 61% | LOST |
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou | Hard | J. Cui | 1 - 2 | 1.37 | 71% | WON |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | J. P. Varillas | 2 - 1 | 1.36 | 69% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | I. Buse | 1 - 2 | 3.17 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | G. Monfils | 1 - 3 | 1.74 | 56% | LOST |
| 2026-08-25 | Winston-Salem | Hard | B. Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 0 | 2.26 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-08-24 | Winston-Salem | Hard | P. Carreno-Busta | 0 - 1 RET | 2.20 | 56% | WON |
R. Jodar — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | D. Vallejo | 2 - 0 | 1.23 | 79% | LOST |
| 2026-09-25 | ATP Laver Cup | Hard (Indoor) | A. Bublik | 2 - 0 | 1.56 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | C. Garin | 0 - 2 | 1.25 | 77% | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | Y. Bu | 0 - 3 | 1.07 | 90% | LOST |
| 2026-08-19 | Cincinnati | Hard | F. Cobolli | 1 - 2 | 1.33 | 73% | LOST |
| 2026-08-17 | Cincinnati | Hard | A. Tabilo | 2 - 0 | 1.40 | 67% | WON |
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati | Hard | D. Shapovalov | 2 - 1 | 1.43 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-08-13 | Montreal | Hard | B. Nakashima | 0 - 2 | 1.43 | 68% | LOST |
| 2026-08-11 | Montreal | Hard | A. Fils | 2 - 0 | 1.72 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-08-09 | Montreal | Hard | J. Lehecka | 0 - 2 | 1.74 | 56% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Daniel Vallejo Adolfo or Rafael Jodar?
Rafael Jodar is favourite at 1.23, which is a 79% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Daniel Vallejo Adolfo vs Rafael Jodar?
Daniel Vallejo Adolfo is 4.67 and Rafael Jodar is 1.23, the prices we recorded for the Tokyo match.
What is the head-to-head between Daniel Vallejo Adolfo and Rafael Jodar?
They have met 1 time and Daniel Vallejo Adolfo leads 1-0.
Who will win Daniel Vallejo Adolfo vs Rafael Jodar?
Our model makes it Rafael Jodar to win 2-0 at 1.66 (Lean confidence).