THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 01 OCTOBERMATCHES 213EVENTS 31LIVE 4ALERTS 103
ATPHardTokyo2026-09-30 03:00

Daniel Vallejo Adolfo v Rafael Jodar

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
R. Jodar to win 2-01.66
Price too short today - wait for 1.91 or bigger · our chance 52% · market 21/79, us 19/81

R. Jodar is 7-3 over the last ten and 33-12 on hard this season. D. Vallejo is 5-5 over the last ten and 12-8 on hard this season. D. Vallejo has played 4 matches in seven days.

The pick is R. Jodar to win 2-0. We make it a 52% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.91 or bigger. At 1.66 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

D. VallejoR. Jodar
58Ranking13
5-5Last 107-3
WWLWLLast 5WWLLW
+0.4V the odds+0.3
45-22Season51-16
12-8Hard 202633-12
4Last 7 days1
1dDays rest5d
2Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

D. Vallejo4.6721%
R. JodarFAV1.2379%
Market says79% Jodar

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

D. Vallejo1
R. Jodar0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-01TokyoD. VallejovR. Jodar2 - 0

This season & this event

D. Vallejo
R. Jodar
46-22
13-8
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
51-17
33-13
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Daniel Vallejo Adolfo
Paraguay
Rafael Jodar
Spain
58
22
Paraguay
42–21
2
5–5
34–13
0–2
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
13
20
Spain
49–16
1
28–11
19–4
2–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

D. Vallejo — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-30TokyoHardR. Jodar2 - 04.6779%WON
2026-09-29TokyoHardJ. Faria2 - 12.3760%WON
2026-09-28TokyoHardT. Daniel2 - 02.0554%WON
2026-09-26HangzhouHardC. Wong2 - 12.5061%LOST
2026-09-23HangzhouHardJ. Cui1 - 21.3771%WON
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryJ. P. Varillas2 - 11.3669%LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryI. Buse1 - 23.1769%WON
2026-09-02US OpenHardG. Monfils1 - 31.7456%LOST
2026-08-25Winston-SalemHardB. Van De Zandschulp2 - 02.2657%LOST
2026-08-24Winston-SalemHardP. Carreno-Busta0 - 1 RET2.2056%WON

R. Jodar — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-30TokyoHardD. Vallejo2 - 01.2379%LOST
2026-09-25ATP Laver CupHard (Indoor)A. Bublik2 - 01.5662%WON
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsC. Garin0 - 21.2577%WON
2026-09-02US OpenHardY. Bu0 - 31.0790%LOST
2026-08-19CincinnatiHardF. Cobolli1 - 21.3373%LOST
2026-08-17CincinnatiHardA. Tabilo2 - 01.4067%WON
2026-08-16CincinnatiHardD. Shapovalov2 - 11.4368%WON
2026-08-13MontrealHardB. Nakashima0 - 21.4368%LOST
2026-08-11MontrealHardA. Fils2 - 01.7257%WON
2026-08-09MontrealHardJ. Lehecka0 - 21.7456%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Daniel Vallejo Adolfo or Rafael Jodar?

Rafael Jodar is favourite at 1.23, which is a 79% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Daniel Vallejo Adolfo vs Rafael Jodar?

Daniel Vallejo Adolfo is 4.67 and Rafael Jodar is 1.23, the prices we recorded for the Tokyo match.

What is the head-to-head between Daniel Vallejo Adolfo and Rafael Jodar?

They have met 1 time and Daniel Vallejo Adolfo leads 1-0.

Who will win Daniel Vallejo Adolfo vs Rafael Jodar?

Our model makes it Rafael Jodar to win 2-0 at 1.66 (Lean confidence).

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