ATPHard (Indoor)Paris2026-11-02 14:15

Daniel Merida Aguilar v Sebastian Baez

Set 2Serving: S. Baez

Player	Set 1	Set 2	Pts	Pre	Live
D. Merida Aguilar	6	3	40	—	1.03
S. BaezRET x1 in 90d	4	1	A	—	15.00

MomentumHold 80%

4/6

2/6

S. Baez is serving about as well as they have all match. Live prices refresh every 20 seconds.

The market

No published price yet

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

D. Merida AguilarLLWLW

S. BaezLWLLL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

D. Merida Aguilar

S. Baez

44-22

24-12

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

36-31

25-17

Lost R64 to C. Norrie

Reached R64

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Spain

Sebastian Baez

Argentina

Spain

43–20

20–9

22–9

1–2

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

Argentina

34–26

17–12

17–13

0–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

D. Merida Aguilar — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-27	Vienna	Hard (Indoor)	D. Medvedev	4.42	78%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 1-6 AguilarMedvedevPoints won42%58%Serve points won52%65%Return points won35%48%Games held5 of 98 of 10Break points saved1 of 54 of 6Aces05Double faults12
2026-10-07	Shanghai	Hard	B. Van De Zandschulp	1.96	50%	LOST
Games in each set6-1 3-6 4-6 AguilarZandschulpPoints won49%51%Serve points won59%58%Return points won42%41%Games held9 of 139 of 13Break points saved0 of 43 of 7Aces60Double faults42
2026-09-19	ATP Davis Cup - World Group	- Play Offs	A. Tabilo	2.12	55%	WON
Games in each set5-7 6-3 6-3 AguilarTabiloPoints won54%46%Serve points won68%60%Return points won40%32%Games held14 of 1512 of 15Break points saved5 of 65 of 8Aces93Double faults10
2026-09-04	US Open	Hard	A. Michelsen	2.68	64%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 4-6 3-6 AguilarMichelsenPoints won47%53%Serve points won62%72%Return points won28%38%Games held12 of 1614 of 15Break points saved3 of 74 of 5Aces86Double faults71
2026-09-02	US Open	Hard	A. Rublev	2.36	59%	WON
Games in each set6-7 6-2 6-4 6-4 AguilarRublevPoints won53%47%Serve points won67%61%Return points won39%33%Games held19 of 2015 of 20Break points saved5 of 66 of 11Aces913Double faults98
2026-08-30	US Open	Hard	M. Fucsovics	1.23	79%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-4 6-2 AguilarFucsovicsPoints won57%43%Serve points won72%53%Return points won47%28%Games held13 of 138 of 13Break points saved0 of 08 of 13Aces30Double faults211
2026-08-18	Cincinnati	Hard	T. Fritz	4.65	79%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 4-6 AguilarFritzPoints won44%56%Serve points won62%72%Return points won28%38%Games held7 of 910 of 10Break points saved5 of 72 of 2Aces28Double faults00
2026-08-16	Cincinnati	Hard	Z. Bergs	1.86	52%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-2 AguilarBergsPoints won57%43%Serve points won68%60%Return points won40%32%Games held9 of 95 of 8Break points saved3 of 30 of 3Aces22Double faults96
2026-08-15	Cincinnati	Hard	M. Cilic	1.68	58%	WON
Games in each set3-6 6-1 6-1 AguilarCilicPoints won55%45%Serve points won65%57%Return points won43%35%Games held10 of 117 of 12Break points saved4 of 52 of 7Aces95Double faults22
2026-08-12	Montreal	Hard	L. Tien	2.78	65%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 2-6 AguilarTienPoints won40%60%Serve points won49%69%Return points won31%51%Games held4 of 88 of 9Break points saved4 of 82 of 3Aces00Double faults10

S. Baez — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-01	Paris	Hard (Indoor)	T. Machac	5.13	81%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 4-6 BaezMachacPoints won43%57%Serve points won55%77%Return points won23%45%Games held6 of 99 of 9Break points saved9 of 120 of 0Aces28Double faults41
2026-10-31	Paris	Hard (Indoor)	D. Dzumhur	2.54	62%	WON
Games in each set7-6 7-5 BaezDzumhurPoints won52%48%Serve points won59%53%Return points won47%41%Games held8 of 127 of 12Break points saved8 of 128 of 13Aces45Double faults03
2026-10-24	Basel	Hard (Indoor)	G. Mpetshi Perricard	2.33	59%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 6-3 3-6 BaezPerricardPoints won48%52%Serve points won63%67%Return points won33%37%Games held10 of 1312 of 14Break points saved2 of 51 of 3Aces222Double faults04
2026-10-20	Lyon (France) - Qualification	Hard (Indoor)	P. Herbert	2.42	60%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 4-6 BaezHerbertPoints won46%54%Serve points won59%70%Return points won30%41%Games held7 of 910 of 10Break points saved12 of 145 of 5Aces010Double faults13
2026-10-10	Shanghai	Hard	V. Vacherot	3.55	73%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 6-7 BaezVacherotPoints won45%55%Serve points won66%77%Return points won23%34%Games held9 of 1110 of 11Break points saved1 of 32 of 3Aces515Double faults01
2026-10-07	Shanghai	Hard	M. Giron	1.76	55%	WON
Games in each set1-6 6-3 6-4 BaezGironPoints won51%49%Serve points won56%55%Return points won45%44%Games held8 of 138 of 13Break points saved6 of 115 of 10Aces28Double faults02
2026-09-30	Beijing	Hard	J. Shang	2.33	58%	LOST
Games in each set7-5 3-6 5-7 BaezShangPoints won48%52%Serve points won56%60%Return points won40%44%Games held11 of 1712 of 16Break points saved9 of 158 of 12Aces33Double faults32
2026-09-23	Chengdu	Hard	J. Brooksby	2.36	59%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 5-7 BaezBrooksbyPoints won47%53%Serve points won68%72%Return points won28%32%Games held10 of 1212 of 12Break points saved0 of 22 of 2Aces71Double faults01
2026-08-31	US Open	Hard	B. Nakashima	6.53	85%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 1-6 0-6 BaezNakashimaPoints won33%67%Serve points won42%75%Return points won25%58%Games held3 of 1011 of 11Break points saved4 of 113 of 3Aces012Double faults40
2026-08-26	Winston-Salem	Hard	H. Grenier	1.26	77%	WON
Games in each set7-5 7-6 BaezGrenierPoints won55%45%Serve points won59%50%Return points won50%41%Games held8 of 127 of 12Break points saved10 of 144 of 9Aces010Double faults43

Also at this event

Buse v Bergs Fokina v Kouame Djokovic v Vacherot Halys v Fery Humbert v Zandschulp Aguilar v Blockx