Cameron Norrie v Denis Shapovalov
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanD. Shapovalov is 7-3 over the last ten and 19-15 on hard this season. C. Norrie is 5-5 over the last ten and 18-14 on hard this season. D. Shapovalov retired from a match in the last month. The head to head is C. Norrie 2-1.
The pick is D. Shapovalov to win. We make it a 57% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.75 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| C. Norrie | D. Shapovalov | |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | Ranking | 48 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| LLLWL | Last 5 | LWWLW |
| -0.1 | V the odds | +1.6 |
| 23-23 | Season | 21-21 |
| 18-14 | Hard 2026 | 19-15 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 3 |
| 7d | Days rest | 3d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | retired |
| Head to head 2-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Los Cabos | C. NorrievD. Shapovalov | 1 - 2 |
| 2021-10-01 | San Diego | D. ShapovalovvC. Norrie | 0 - 2 |
| 2021-06-19 | London | C. NorrievD. Shapovalov | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
C. Norrie — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Shanghai | Hard | D. Svrcina | 1 - 2 | 1.57 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | A. Zverev | 2 - 0 | 7.13 | 86% | LOST |
| 2026-08-30 | US Open | Hard | L. van Assche | 3 - 1 | 1.47 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati | Hard | A. Zverev | 2 - 1 | 4.06 | 76% | LOST |
| 2026-08-13 | Cincinnati | Hard | D. Prizmic | 2 - 1 | 1.49 | 65% | WON |
| 2026-08-09 | Montreal | Hard | A. Fils | 2 - 0 | 3.02 | 68% | LOST |
| 2026-08-06 | Montreal | Hard | A. De Minaur | 2 - 1 | 2.74 | 64% | WON |
| 2026-08-05 | Montreal | Hard | I. Buse | 0 - 2 | 1.41 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-08-04 | Montreal | Hard | C. Ugo Carabelli | 0 - 2 | 1.24 | 79% | WON |
| 2026-08-01 | Los Cabos | Hard | D. Shapovalov | 1 - 2 | 1.66 | 59% | LOST |
D. Shapovalov — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Tokyo | Hard | C. Alcaraz | 1 - 0 RET | 6.20 | 85% | LOST |
| 2026-10-03 | Tokyo | Hard | A. Tabilo | 2 - 1 | 1.72 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | S. Shimabukuro | 2 - 0 | 1.30 | 74% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Chengdu | Hard | H. Hurkacz | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-27 | Chengdu | Hard | A. Mannarino | 1 - 2 | 1.42 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-09-25 | Chengdu | Hard | V. Kopriva | 0 - 2 | 1.30 | 75% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu | Hard | T. Griekspoor | 0 - 2 | 1.70 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-09-04 | US Open | Hard | B. Shelton | 3 - 1 | 4.46 | 78% | LOST |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | L. van Assche | 3 - 0 | 1.67 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-08-30 | US Open | Hard | M. Kecmanovic | 1 - 3 | 1.72 | 57% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Cameron Norrie or Denis Shapovalov?
Denis Shapovalov is favourite at 1.79, which is a 54% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Cameron Norrie vs Denis Shapovalov?
Cameron Norrie is 2.11 and Denis Shapovalov is 1.79, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.
What is the head-to-head between Cameron Norrie and Denis Shapovalov?
They have met 3 times and Cameron Norrie leads 2-1.
Who will win Cameron Norrie vs Denis Shapovalov?
Our model makes it Denis Shapovalov to win at 1.79 (Lean confidence).