Botic Van De Zandschulp v Daniel Merida Aguilar
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidLOSTD. Merida Aguilar is 7-3 over the last ten and 24-10 on hard this season. B. Van De Zandschulp is 7-3 over the last ten and 17-14 on hard this season.
The pick is D. Merida Aguilar to win. We make it a 58% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.74 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| B. Van De Zandschulp | D. Merida Aguilar | |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | Ranking | 39 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| LWWLW | Last 5 | WLWWL |
| -0.9 | V the odds | - |
| 28-23 | Season | 44-20 |
| 17-14 | Hard 2026 | 24-10 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 6d | Days rest | 18d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Recent form
Last five completed matches, most recent first.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Shanghai | B. Van De ZandschulpvD. Merida Aguilar | 2 - 1 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
B. Van De Zandschulp — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | D. Merida Aguilar | 2 - 1 | 1.99 | 51% | WON |
| 2026-10-01 | Beijing | Hard | F. Cerundolo | 1 - 2 | 2.20 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-29 | Beijing | Hard | J. Cui | 2 - 0 | 1.19 | 79% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Beijing | Hard | V. Royer | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-25 | Chengdu | Hard | N. Basilashvili | 2 - 0 | 1.51 | 64% | LOST |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | J. A. Rodriguez | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-09 | US Open | Hard | A. Zverev | 3 - 0 | 7.33 | 87% | LOST |
| 2026-09-07 | US Open | Hard | A. Gea | 2 - 3 | 1.65 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-09-05 | US Open | Hard | Z. Bergs | 2 - 3 | 1.54 | 63% | WON |
| 2026-09-03 | US Open | Hard | A. De Minaur | 3 - 0 | 3.50 | 72% | WON |
D. Merida Aguilar — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | B. Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 1 | 1.88 | 51% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | A. Tabilo | 1 - 2 | 2.12 | 55% | WON |
| 2026-09-04 | US Open | Hard | A. Michelsen | 3 - 0 | 2.68 | 64% | LOST |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | A. Rublev | 3 - 1 | 2.36 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-08-30 | US Open | Hard | M. Fucsovics | 3 - 0 | 1.23 | 79% | WON |
| 2026-08-18 | Cincinnati | Hard | T. Fritz | 2 - 0 | 4.65 | 79% | LOST |
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati | Hard | Z. Bergs | 2 - 0 | 1.86 | 52% | WON |
| 2026-08-15 | Cincinnati | Hard | M. Cilic | 2 - 1 | 1.68 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-08-12 | Montreal | Hard | L. Tien | 0 - 2 | 2.78 | 65% | LOST |
| 2026-08-09 | Montreal | Hard | T. Griekspoor | 0 - 2 | 2.13 | 54% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Botic Van De Zandschulp or Daniel Merida Aguilar?
Daniel Merida Aguilar is favourite at 1.88, which is a 51% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Daniel Merida Aguilar?
Botic Van De Zandschulp is 1.99 and Daniel Merida Aguilar is 1.88, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.
What is the head-to-head between Botic Van De Zandschulp and Daniel Merida Aguilar?
They have met 1 time and Botic Van De Zandschulp leads 1-0.
Who will win Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Daniel Merida Aguilar?
Our model makes it Daniel Merida Aguilar to win at 1.91 (Solid confidence).