Arthur Rinderknech v Francisco Cerundolo
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanF. Cerundolo is 5-5 over the last ten and 28-16 on hard this season. A. Rinderknech is 4-6 over the last ten and 8-13 on hard this season. The head to head is A. Rinderknech 2-0.
The pick is F. Cerundolo to win. We make it a 71% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.42 or bigger. At 1.40 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Rinderknech | F. Cerundolo | |
|---|---|---|
| 33 | Ranking | 20 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| LLLLW | Last 5 | LLWWL |
| -0.9 | V the odds | -0.1 |
| 18-24 | Season | 39-24 |
| 8-13 | Hard 2026 | 28-16 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 6d | Days rest | 6d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 2-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-12-29 | ATP United Cup | A. RinderknechvF. Cerundolo | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2022-03-15 | Phoenix | A. RinderknechvF. Cerundolo | 1-6 6-3 6-2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Rinderknech — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | J. Kym | 2.04 | 52% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 4-6 RinderknechKymPoints won47%53%Serve points won68%74%Return points won26%32%Games held10 of 1111 of 11Break points saved3 of 45 of 5Aces910Double faults34 | |||||||
| 2026-10-01 | Beijing | Hard | A. Molcan | 0 - 0 | 1.61 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | F. Auger-Aliassime | 3.14 | 70% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-4 6-7 4-6 RinderknechAuger-AliassimePoints won48%52%Serve points won70%77%Return points won23%30%Games held15 of 1615 of 16Break points saved3 of 41 of 2Aces717Double faults01 | |||||||
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | L. Draxl | 1.24 | 75% | LOST | |
Games in each set2-6 5-7 RinderknechDraxlPoints won47%53%Serve points won62%68%Return points won32%38%Games held7 of 1010 of 10Break points saved7 of 103 of 3Aces139Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-09-04 | US Open | Hard | D. Medvedev | 3.54 | 72% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 4-6 4-6 RinderknechMedvedevPoints won44%56%Serve points won63%75%Return points won25%37%Games held11 of 1514 of 15Break points saved1 of 51 of 2Aces910Double faults16 | |||||||
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | J. Munar | 1.63 | 60% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-2 7-5 RinderknechMunarPoints won54%46%Serve points won63%57%Return points won43%37%Games held13 of 1610 of 16Break points saved5 of 83 of 9Aces223Double faults65 | |||||||
| 2026-08-30 | US Open | Hard | S. Shimabukuro | 1.29 | 75% | WON | |
Games in each set6-7 6-2 7-6 6-2 RinderknechShimabukuroPoints won56%44%Serve points won76%61%Return points won39%24%Games held19 of 2015 of 20Break points saved1 of 27 of 12Aces1511Double faults39 | |||||||
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati | Hard | J. M. Cerundolo | 1.56 | 62% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-4 6-7 6-7 RinderknechCerundoloPoints won50%50%Serve points won68%67%Return points won33%32%Games held15 of 1714 of 17Break points saved4 of 611 of 14Aces914Double faults56 | |||||||
| 2026-08-08 | Montreal | Hard | B. Nakashima | 2.72 | 64% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 7-5 5-7 RinderknechNakashimaPoints won50%50%Serve points won66%67%Return points won33%34%Games held15 of 1815 of 18Break points saved6 of 92 of 5Aces1716Double faults62 | |||||||
| 2026-08-07 | Montreal | Hard | F. Tiafoe | RET | 2.83 | 66% | WON |
Games in each set6-2 2-0 RinderknechTiafoePoints won62%38%Serve points won83%48%Return points won52%17%Games held5 of 52 of 5Break points saved0 of 09 of 12Aces50Double faults12 | |||||||
F. Cerundolo — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | Vienna | Hard (Indoor) | C. Norrie | 1.50 | 65% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 1-6 CerundoloNorriePoints won45%55%Serve points won52%64%Return points won36%48%Games held5 of 98 of 8Break points saved2 of 61 of 1Aces50Double faults40 | |||||||
| 2026-10-24 | Brussels | Hard (Indoor) | T. Griekspoor | 1.68 | 58% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-2 3-6 6-7 CerundoloGriekspoorPoints won50%50%Serve points won70%67%Return points won33%30%Games held12 of 1412 of 15Break points saved2 of 42 of 5Aces39Double faults42 | |||||||
| 2026-10-23 | Brussels | Hard (Indoor) | C. Chidekh | 1.59 | 62% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-4 CerundoloChidekhPoints won59%41%Serve points won74%54%Return points won46%26%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved0 of 05 of 8Aces80Double faults20 | |||||||
| 2026-10-21 | Brussels | Hard (Indoor) | M. Damm | 1.59 | 61% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 7-6 CerundoloDammPoints won54%46%Serve points won71%64%Return points won36%29%Games held10 of 119 of 11Break points saved6 of 70 of 2Aces129Double faults44 | |||||||
| 2026-10-12 | Shanghai | Hard | J. Mensik | 2.39 | 59% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 6-3 2-6 CerundoloMensikPoints won46%54%Serve points won61%68%Return points won32%39%Games held10 of 1312 of 13Break points saved2 of 56 of 7Aces58Double faults20 | |||||||
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | R. Safiullin | 1.96 | 50% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-3 CerundoloSafiullinPoints won56%44%Serve points won77%60%Return points won40%23%Games held9 of 108 of 11Break points saved1 of 23 of 6Aces89Double faults02 | |||||||
| 2026-10-04 | Beijing | Hard | D. Medvedev | 3.09 | 69% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 3-6 CerundoloMedvedevPoints won44%56%Serve points won59%76%Return points won24%41%Games held8 of 1010 of 11Break points saved7 of 91 of 2Aces010Double faults21 | |||||||
| 2026-10-03 | Beijing | Hard | J. Mensik | 2.74 | 64% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-3 CerundoloMensikPoints won55%45%Serve points won72%60%Return points won40%28%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved0 of 06 of 9Aces03Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-10-01 | Beijing | Hard | B. Van De Zandschulp | 1.67 | 57% | WON | |
Games in each set5-7 6-4 6-3 CerundoloZandschulpPoints won51%49%Serve points won63%61%Return points won39%37%Games held13 of 1512 of 16Break points saved11 of 1310 of 14Aces211Double faults25 | |||||||
| 2026-09-25 | ATP Laver Cup | Hard (Indoor) | C. Ruud | 1.97 | 52% | LOST | |
Games in each set7-6 4-6 8-10 CerundoloRuudPoints won50%50%Serve points won69%68%Return points won32%31%Games held10 of 1111 of 11Break points saved3 of 41 of 1Aces56Double faults42 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Arthur Rinderknech or Francisco Cerundolo?
Francisco Cerundolo is favourite at 1.43, which is a 68% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Arthur Rinderknech vs Francisco Cerundolo?
Arthur Rinderknech is 3.01 and Francisco Cerundolo is 1.43, the prices we recorded for the Paris match.
What is the head-to-head between Arthur Rinderknech and Francisco Cerundolo?
They have met 2 times and Arthur Rinderknech leads 2-0.
Who will win Arthur Rinderknech vs Francisco Cerundolo?
Our model makes it Francisco Cerundolo to win at 1.40 (Lean confidence).