Arthur Fils v Luca van Assche
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONA. Fils is 8-2 over the last ten and 28-8 on hard this season. L. van Assche is 7-3 over the last ten and 25-12 on hard this season. The head to head is A. Fils 1-1.
The pick is A. Fils to win. We make it a 85% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.19 or bigger. At 1.16 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Fils | L. van Assche | |
|---|---|---|
| - | Ranking | 97 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| WWLWW | Last 5 | LWLWW |
| +1.1 | V the odds | +1.3 |
| 35-12 | Season | 43-21 |
| 28-8 | Hard 2026 | 25-12 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 1d | Days rest | 28d |
| 2 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | 28d out |
| Head to head 1-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Tokyo | A. FilsvL. van Assche | 2 - 0 |
| 2023-12-01 | ATP Next Gen Finals - Jeddah | A. FilsvL. van Assche | 3 - 1 |
| 2021-06-12 | French Open | L. van AsschevA. Fils | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Fils — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | L. van Assche | 2 - 0 | 1.14 | 85% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Tokyo | Hard | K. Majchrzak | 2 - 1 | 1.21 | 77% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Tokyo | Hard | M. Damm | 2 - 1 | 1.18 | 79% | WON |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | S. Tsitsipas | 3 - 1 | 1.18 | 82% | LOST |
| 2026-08-23 | Cincinnati | Hard | F. Tiafoe | 2 - 1 | 1.50 | 65% | WON |
| 2026-08-22 | Cincinnati | Hard | F. Cobolli | 0 - 2 | 1.40 | 70% | WON |
| 2026-08-21 | Cincinnati | Hard | T. A. Tirante | 0 - 2 | 1.30 | 75% | WON |
| 2026-08-19 | Cincinnati | Hard | A. De Minaur | 2 - 0 | 1.61 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-08-18 | Cincinnati | Hard | J. Lehecka | 1 - 2 | 1.65 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati | Hard | Y. Hanfmann | 0 - 2 | 1.27 | 76% | WON |
L. van Assche — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | A. Fils | 2 - 0 | 6.43 | 85% | LOST |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | D. Shapovalov | 3 - 0 | 2.36 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-08-30 | US Open | Hard | C. Norrie | 3 - 1 | 2.87 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | Winston-Salem | Hard | A. Kovacevic | 0 - 2 | 1.74 | 56% | LOST |
| 2026-08-23 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | S. Sakellaridis | 0 - 2 | 1.47 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-08-22 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | H. Gaston | 0 - 2 | 1.50 | 65% | WON |
| 2026-08-21 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | B. Bonzi | 0 - 2 | 1.74 | 56% | WON |
| 2026-08-20 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | R. Sakamoto | 1 - 2 | 1.61 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-08-14 | Cincinnati | Hard | Y. Hanfmann | 2 - 0 | 2.06 | 53% | LOST |
| 2026-08-13 | Cincinnati | Hard | D. Lajovic | 2 - 1 | 1.36 | 71% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Arthur Fils or Luca van Assche?
Arthur Fils is favourite at 1.14, which is a 85% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Arthur Fils vs Luca van Assche?
Arthur Fils is 1.14 and Luca van Assche is 6.43, the prices we recorded for the Tokyo match.
What is the head-to-head between Arthur Fils and Luca van Assche?
They have met 3 times and Arthur Fils leads 2-1.
Who will win Arthur Fils vs Luca van Assche?
Our model makes it Arthur Fils to win at 1.16 (Lean confidence).