THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 08 OCTOBERMATCHES 246EVENTS 34LIVE 2ALERTS 152
ATPHardShanghai2026-10-07 08:00

Alex Molcan v Federico Cina

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidWON
A. Molcan to win1.63
Worth backing at 1.51 or bigger · our chance 66% · market 59/41, us 66/34

A. Molcan is 4-6 over the last ten and 13-9 on hard this season. F. Cina is 6-4 over the last ten and 22-14 on hard this season. F. Cina has played 5 matches in seven days.

The pick is A. Molcan to win. We make it a 66% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.51 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

A. MolcanF. Cina
96Ranking170
4-6Last 106-4
LWWWLLast 5WWLWW
+0.2V the odds-0.9
33-20Season35-24
13-9Hard 202622-14
2Last 7 days5
5dDays rest1d
0Wins here2
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

A. MolcanFAV1.6360%
F. Cina2.4040%
Market says60% Molcan

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

A. Molcan1
F. Cina0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-07ShanghaiA. MolcanvF. Cina2 - 1

This season & this event

A. Molcan
F. Cina
34-20
14-9
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
35-25
22-15
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Alex Molcan
Slovakia
Federico Cina
Italy
96
28
Slovakia
31–19
0
3–5
23–10
3–2
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
150
19
Italy
34–25
1
18–11
15–13
1–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

A. Molcan — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardF. Cina2 - 11.6360%WON
2026-10-02BeijingHardK. Khachanov0 - 24.2077%LOST
2026-10-01BeijingHardA. Rinderknech0 - 02.4560%LOST
2026-10-01BeijingHardT. Machac2 - 0——WON
2026-09-29BeijingHardM. Trungelliti0 - 21.6857%WON
2026-09-28BeijingHardV. Kopriva2 - 1——WON
2026-09-20ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryS. Tsitsipas1 - 22.8065%LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryS. Sakellaridis2 - 01.5164%WON
2026-09-08TullnClayJ. Reis Da Silva0 - 21.2180%LOST
2026-09-01US OpenHardB. Bonzi1 - 32.8766%LOST

F. Cina — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardA. Molcan2 - 12.4060%LOST
2026-10-06ShanghaiHardA. Dougaz1 - 21.4069%WON
2026-10-05ShanghaiHardL. Xiao1 - 21.0591%WON
2026-10-02JingshanHardY. Erel2 - 01.3971%LOST
2026-10-01JingshanHardE. Ymer1 - 21.3372%WON
2026-09-30JingshanHardJ. McCabe0 - 21.2375%WON
2026-09-25ChengduHardA. Muller0 - 21.8053%LOST
2026-09-24ChengduHardC. Ugo Carabelli2 - 0——WON
2026-09-23ChengduHardN. Basilashvili2 - 01.5562%LOST
2026-09-22ChengduHardK. Uchida0 - 2——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Alex Molcan or Federico Cina?

Alex Molcan is favourite at 1.63, which is a 60% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina?

Alex Molcan is 1.63 and Federico Cina is 2.40, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.

What is the head-to-head between Alex Molcan and Federico Cina?

They have met 1 time and Alex Molcan leads 1-0.

Who will win Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina?

Our model makes it Alex Molcan to win at 1.63 (Solid confidence).

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