Adrian Mannarino v Nikoloz Basilashvili
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanVOIDA. Mannarino is 5-5 over the last ten and 14-21 on hard this season. N. Basilashvili is 7-3 over the last ten and 14-15 on hard this season. N. Basilashvili took a medical timeout on 2026-09-28. N. Basilashvili retired from a match in the last month. The head to head is A. Mannarino 2-0.
The pick is A. Mannarino to win. We make it a 52% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.93 or bigger. At 1.90 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Mannarino | N. Basilashvili | |
|---|---|---|
| 81 | Ranking | 121 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| LWLWW | Last 5 | WWLWW |
| +0.6 | V the odds | +3.1 |
| 19-31 | Season | 26-29 |
| 14-21 | Hard 2026 | 14-15 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 8d | Days rest | 1d |
| 0 | Wins here | 2 |
| Clear | Fitness | MTOretired |
| Head to head 2-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-11 | Rennes Challenger Men | A. MannarinovN. Basilashvili | 2 - 1 |
| 2021-11-01 | Paris | A. MannarinovN. Basilashvili | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Mannarino — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | N. Basilashvili | 1 - 0 RET | 1.90 | 51% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Beijing | Hard | P. Carreno-Busta | 0 - 2 | 2.44 | 61% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Beijing | Hard | M. Kecmanovic | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | Chengdu | Hard | D. Shapovalov | 1 - 2 | 3.10 | 69% | LOST |
| 2026-09-25 | Chengdu | Hard | A. Tabilo | 0 - 2 | 2.50 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu | Hard | J. Shang | 0 - 2 | 3.20 | 70% | WON |
| 2026-09-17 | Rennes | Hard (Indoor) | M. Bobichon | 0 - 2 | 1.16 | 81% | LOST |
| 2026-09-14 | Rennes | Hard (Indoor) | D. Added | 2 - 0 | 1.15 | 81% | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | A. Bublik | 3 - 0 | 4.10 | 76% | LOST |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | T. A. Tirante | 2 - 3 | 3.15 | 69% | WON |
N. Basilashvili — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | A. Mannarino | 1 - 0 RET | 1.97 | 51% | LOST |
| 2026-10-06 | Shanghai | Hard | L. Draxl | 1 - 2 | 1.68 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai | Hard | A. Ilagan | 1 - 2 | 1.42 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Chengdu | Hard | A. Davidovich Fokina | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-27 | Chengdu | Hard | J. Brooksby | 0 - 2 | 2.06 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-09-25 | Chengdu | Hard | B. Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 0 | 2.68 | 64% | WON |
| 2026-09-24 | Chengdu | Hard | M. Kecmanovic | 0 - 2 | 2.38 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu | Hard | F. Cina | 2 - 0 | 2.56 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-09-22 | Chengdu | Hard | H. Lu | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-15 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | N. Honda | 1 - 1 RET | 1.29 | 75% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Adrian Mannarino or Nikoloz Basilashvili?
Adrian Mannarino is favourite at 1.90, which is a 51% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili?
Adrian Mannarino is 1.90 and Nikoloz Basilashvili is 1.97, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.
What is the head-to-head between Adrian Mannarino and Nikoloz Basilashvili?
They have met 2 times and Adrian Mannarino leads 2-0.
Who will win Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili?
Our model makes it Adrian Mannarino to win at 1.90 (Lean confidence).