THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 01 OCTOBERMATCHES 213EVENTS 31LIVE 4ALERTS 103
ATPHardBeijing2026-09-30 11:00

Zhizhen Zhang v Arthur Gea

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
A. Gea to win 2-01.70
Price too short today - wait for 1.83 or bigger · our chance 55% · market 21/79, us 17/83

A. Gea is 8-2 over the last ten and 26-7 on hard this season. Z. Zhang is 4-6 over the last ten and 8-13 on hard this season.

The pick is A. Gea to win 2-0. We make it a 55% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.83 or bigger. At 1.70 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

Z. ZhangA. Gea
239Ranking58
4-6Last 108-2
LLLWLLast 5WWLWW
-1.6V the odds+2.0
21-23Season43-17
8-13Hard 202626-7
1Last 7 days2
7dDays rest1d
0Wins here2
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

Z. Zhang4.4322%
A. GeaFAV1.2578%
Market says78% Gea

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

A. GeaWWWLW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

Z. Zhang0
A. Gea1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-30BeijingZ. ZhangvA. Gea0 - 2

This season & this event

Z. Zhang
A. Gea
21-24
8-14
Lost R32 to T. Atmane
Lost R32 to A. Davidovich Fokina
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
44-17
27-7
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Zhizhen Zhang
China
Arthur Gea
France
239
29
China
9–11
1
7–7
1–4
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
58
21
France
43–17
2
26–5
12–8
5–4

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

Z. Zhang — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-30BeijingHardA. Gea0 - 24.4378%LOST
2026-09-23HangzhouHardC. Wong0 - 22.4460%LOST
2026-07-29VancouverHardJ.J. Wolf2 - 11.9550%LOST
2026-07-22WinnipegHardC. Broom2 - 11.3969%LOST
2026-07-21WinnipegHardT. Zink0 - 21.3870%WON
2026-07-14GranbyHardJ. Boulais2 - 01.3173%LOST
2026-06-22WimbledonGrassH. Searle0 - 21.6259%LOST
2026-06-19NottinghamGrassO. Virtanen1 - 22.5462%LOST
2026-06-18NottinghamGrassR. Safiullin2 - 12.3158%WON
2026-06-16NottinghamGrassJ. Faria0 - 21.7555%WON

A. Gea — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-30BeijingHardZ. Zhang0 - 21.2578%WON
2026-09-29BeijingHardT. Machac0 - 21.5560%WON
2026-09-28BeijingHardR. Te0 - 2——WON
2026-09-07US OpenHardB. Van De Zandschulp2 - 32.4059%LOST
2026-09-05US OpenHardM. Zheng2 - 32.2256%WON
2026-09-01US OpenHardJ. M. Cerundolo2 - 31.7755%WON
2026-08-27US OpenHardN. Basavareddy0 - 21.7256%LOST
2026-08-26US OpenHardC. Chidekh2 - 11.4367%WON
2026-08-25US OpenHardS. Nagal2 - 01.1385%WON
2026-08-02Los CabosHardD. Shapovalov2 - 02.3959%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Zhizhen Zhang or Arthur Gea?

Arthur Gea is favourite at 1.25, which is a 78% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Zhizhen Zhang vs Arthur Gea?

Zhizhen Zhang is 4.43 and Arthur Gea is 1.25, the prices we recorded for the Beijing match.

What is the head-to-head between Zhizhen Zhang and Arthur Gea?

They have met 1 time and Arthur Gea leads 1-0.

Who will win Zhizhen Zhang vs Arthur Gea?

Our model makes it Arthur Gea to win 2-0 at 1.70 (Lean confidence).

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