THE TENNIS TRADER
TUESDAY 06 OCTOBERMATCHES 211EVENTS 34LIVE 5ALERTS 88
ATPHardShanghai2026-10-05 07:30

Terence Atmane v Bernard Tomic

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanVOID
B. Tomic to win3.31
Worth backing at 2.82 or bigger · our chance 36% · market 71/29, us 64/36

B. Tomic is 7-3 over the last ten and 26-18 on hard this season. T. Atmane is 5-5 over the last ten and 16-17 on hard this season. T. Atmane retired from a match in the last month. B. Tomic withdrew from a match in the last month.

The pick is B. Tomic to win. We make it a 36% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.82 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

T. AtmaneB. Tomic
99Ranking184
5-5Last 107-3
LWWLLLast 5WWLWL
-1.2V the odds+0.2
19-26Season31-24
16-17Hard 202626-18
3Last 7 days2
5dDays rest4d
0Wins here0
retiredFitnesswithdrew
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

T. AtmaneFAV1.3571%
B. Tomic3.3129%
Market says71% Atmane

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

T. Atmane
B. Tomic
19-27
16-18
Lost R128 to C. Ugo Carabelli
Lost R64 to T. Fritz
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
33-24
28-18
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Terence Atmane
France
Bernard Tomic
Australia
99
24
France
18–25
0
13–14
4–7
1–4
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
184
33
Australia
29–24
1
24–18
2–2
3–4

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

T. Atmane — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05ShanghaiHardB. Tomic1 - 1 RET1.3571%LOST
2026-09-30JingshanHardE. Ymer1 - 1 RET1.2676%LOST
2026-09-29JingshanHardE. Aguiard2 - 01.1185%WON
2026-09-28JingshanHardD. Palan2 - 0——WON
2026-09-23HangzhouHardJ. Faria2 - 11.7256%LOST
2026-08-30US OpenHardJ. Munar3 - 2——LOST
2026-08-18CincinnatiHardA. Zverev2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-15CincinnatiHardT. M. Etcheverry2 - 0——WON
2026-08-14CincinnatiHardM. Fucsovics0 - 0 RET——WON
2026-08-08MontrealHardJ. Mensik0 - 2——LOST

B. Tomic — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-06ShanghaiHardT. Skatov2 - 01.7854%WON
2026-10-05ShanghaiHardT. Atmane1 - 1 RET3.3171%WON
2026-10-01JingshanHardY. Shimizu1 - 21.6061%WON
2026-09-29JingshanHardF. Sun2 - 11.6857%WON
2026-09-23HangzhouHardF. Sun0 - 21.4663%LOST
2026-09-22HangzhouHardR. Te2 - 1——WON
2026-09-19Guangzhou 2HardP. Kotov2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-18Guangzhou 2HardA. Binda2 - 0——WON
2026-09-17Guangzhou 2HardJa. Delaney2 - 0——WON
2026-09-15Guangzhou 2HardY. Kikuchi2 - 0——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Terence Atmane or Bernard Tomic?

Terence Atmane is favourite at 1.35, which is a 71% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Terence Atmane vs Bernard Tomic?

Terence Atmane is 1.35 and Bernard Tomic is 3.31, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.

Who will win Terence Atmane vs Bernard Tomic?

Our model makes it Bernard Tomic to win at 3.31 (Lean confidence).

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