Hugo Gaston v Liam Draxl
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
StrongLOSTH. Gaston is 7-3 over the last ten and 15-13 on hard this season. L. Draxl is 5-5 over the last ten and 24-17 on hard this season.
The pick is H. Gaston to win. We make it a 64% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.56 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| H. Gaston | L. Draxl | |
|---|---|---|
| 118 | Ranking | 132 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| LWWLW | Last 5 | LWWLW |
| +0.9 | V the odds | -0.6 |
| 31-26 | Season | 33-23 |
| 15-13 | Hard 2026 | 24-17 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 8d | Days rest | 12d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai | H. GastonvL. Draxl | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
H. Gaston — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai | Hard | L. Draxl | 0 - 2 | 1.68 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-27 | Hangzhou | Hard | A. Rublev | 1 - 2 | 4.38 | 78% | LOST |
| 2026-09-26 | Hangzhou | Hard | J. Faria | 1 - 2 | 2.56 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou | Hard | S. Shimabukuro | 0 - 2 | 1.86 | 52% | WON |
| 2026-08-30 | US Open | Hard | D. Medvedev | 3 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-27 | US Open | Hard | C. Smith | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | US Open | Hard | A. Ilagan | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | US Open | Hard | G. I. Justo | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-22 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | L. van Assche | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-21 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | J. De Jong | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
L. Draxl — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Shanghai | Hard | N. Basilashvili | 1 - 2 | 2.24 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai | Hard | H. Gaston | 0 - 2 | 2.24 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | San Diego 2 (Usa) - Qualification | Hard | H. Searle | 2 - 1 | 1.65 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-09-21 | San Diego 2 (Usa) - Qualification | Hard | J. Kennedy | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | A. Rinderknech | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-27 | US Open | Hard | T. Schoolkate | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-26 | US Open | Hard | A. Johnson | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | US Open | Hard | N. Mejia | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-18 | Kingston (Jamaica) | Hard | A. Andrade | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-04 | Montreal | Hard | D. Merida Aguilar | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Hugo Gaston or Liam Draxl?
Hugo Gaston is favourite at 1.68, which is a 57% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Hugo Gaston vs Liam Draxl?
Hugo Gaston is 1.68 and Liam Draxl is 2.24, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.
What is the head-to-head between Hugo Gaston and Liam Draxl?
They have met 1 time and Liam Draxl leads 1-0.
Who will win Hugo Gaston vs Liam Draxl?
Our model makes it Hugo Gaston to win at 1.68 (Strong confidence).