THE TENNIS TRADER
TUESDAY 06 OCTOBERMATCHES 211EVENTS 34LIVE 5ALERTS 88
ATPHardShanghai2026-10-05 06:00

Andre Ilagan v Nikoloz Basilashvili

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
N. Basilashvili to win1.42
Price too short today - wait for 1.50 or bigger · our chance 67% · market 32/68, us 33/67

N. Basilashvili is 5-5 over the last ten and 12-15 on hard this season. A. Ilagan is 5-5 over the last ten and 38-25 on hard this season. N. Basilashvili took a medical timeout on 2026-09-28. N. Basilashvili retired from a match in the last month.

The pick is N. Basilashvili to win. We make it a 67% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.50 or bigger. At 1.42 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

A. IlaganN. Basilashvili
195Ranking145
5-5Last 105-5
LWWLLLast 5LWWWW
+0.8V the odds+2.4
44-27Season24-29
38-25Hard 202612-15
3Last 7 days1
3dDays rest7d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessMTOretired
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

A. Ilagan2.9632%
N. BasilashviliFAV1.4268%
Market says68% Basilashvili

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

A. Ilagan0
N. Basilashvili1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-05ShanghaiA. IlaganvN. Basilashvili1 - 2

This season & this event

A. Ilagan
N. Basilashvili
44-28
38-26
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
26-29
14-15
Lost R128 to M. Cilic
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Andre Ilagan
USA
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Georgia
195
25
USA
42–26
0
39–25
—
3–1
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
121
34
Georgia
25–29
0
11–14
12–12
2–3

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

A. Ilagan — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05ShanghaiHardN. Basilashvili1 - 22.9668%LOST
2026-10-02JingshanHardL. Harris2 - 04.8280%LOST
2026-10-01JingshanHardM. Sharipov2 - 03.0069%WON
2026-09-29JingshanHardM. Dellavedova0 - 21.4464%WON
2026-09-22ChengduHardP. Bar Biryukov2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-15TiburonHardB. Nakashima2 - 1——LOST
2026-08-26US OpenHardH. Gaston2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-25US OpenHardT. Boyer2 - 1——WON
2026-08-16Brownsburg (Usa) - QualificationHardJ. Pinnington Jones2 - 0——WON
2026-08-16Brownsburg (Usa) - QualificationHardL. Harris0 - 2——LOST

N. Basilashvili — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-06ShanghaiHardL. Draxl1 - 21.6857%WON
2026-10-05ShanghaiHardA. Ilagan1 - 21.4268%WON
2026-09-28ChengduHardA. Davidovich Fokina1 - 2——LOST
2026-09-27ChengduHardJ. Brooksby0 - 22.0653%WON
2026-09-25ChengduHardB. Van De Zandschulp2 - 02.6864%WON
2026-09-24ChengduHardM. Kecmanovic0 - 22.3859%WON
2026-09-23ChengduHardF. Cina2 - 02.5662%WON
2026-09-22ChengduHardH. Lu2 - 0——WON
2026-09-15Guangzhou 2HardN. Honda1 - 1 RET——LOST
2026-08-26US OpenHardS. C. Hong2 - 0——LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Andre Ilagan or Nikoloz Basilashvili?

Nikoloz Basilashvili is favourite at 1.42, which is a 68% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvili?

Andre Ilagan is 2.96 and Nikoloz Basilashvili is 1.42, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.

What is the head-to-head between Andre Ilagan and Nikoloz Basilashvili?

They have met 1 time and Nikoloz Basilashvili leads 1-0.

Who will win Andre Ilagan vs Nikoloz Basilashvili?

Our model makes it Nikoloz Basilashvili to win at 1.42 (Lean confidence).

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