THE TENNIS TRADER
TUESDAY 06 OCTOBERMATCHES 211EVENTS 34LIVE 5ALERTS 88
ATPHardShanghai2026-10-05 06:00

Linang Xiao v Federico Cina

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
L. Xiao to win a set (set handicap +1.5)
Worth backing at 2.67 or bigger · our chance 38% · market 9/91, us 11/89

L. Xiao is 2-8 over the last ten and 8-14 on hard this season. F. Cina is 5-5 over the last ten and 20-14 on hard this season.

The pick is L. Xiao to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 38% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.67 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

L. XiaoF. Cina
1001Ranking170
2-8Last 105-5
LLWLLLast 5LWWLW
-V the odds-1.3
8-14Season33-24
8-14Hard 202620-14
0Last 7 days3
21dDays rest3d
0Wins here0
21d outFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

L. Xiao11.059%
F. CinaFAV1.0591%
Market says91% Cina

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

L. XiaoLLLWL
F. CinaWWLWW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

L. Xiao0
F. Cina1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-05ShanghaiL. XiaovF. Cina1 - 2

This season & this event

L. Xiao
F. Cina
8-15
8-15
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
35-24
22-14
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Linang Xiao
China
Federico Cina
Italy
1001
26
China
8–13
0
8–13
—
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
170
19
Italy
29–22
1
13–8
15–13
1–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

L. Xiao — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05ShanghaiHardF. Cina1 - 211.0591%LOST
2026-09-14Guangzhou 2HardC. Sinclair2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-09ShanghaiHardA. Galarneau0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-07ShanghaiHardK. Uchida2 - 0——WON
2026-09-02M15 Wuning 7 (China)HardC. Sinclair2 - 1——LOST
2026-08-26M15 Maanshan 8HardM. Rifqi Fitriadi1 - 2——LOST
2026-05-20M15 LuanHardX. Ye2 - 0——WON
2026-05-03WuxiHardA. Ilagan2 - 1——LOST
2026-04-22M25 LuzhouHardF. Peliwo0 - 2——LOST
2026-04-14Wuning 2 (China) - QualificationHardB. Ellis1 - 2——LOST

F. Cina — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-06ShanghaiHardA. Dougaz1 - 21.4069%WON
2026-10-05ShanghaiHardL. Xiao1 - 21.0591%WON
2026-10-02JingshanHardY. Erel2 - 01.3971%LOST
2026-10-01JingshanHardE. Ymer1 - 21.3372%WON
2026-09-30JingshanHardJ. McCabe0 - 21.2375%WON
2026-09-25ChengduHardA. Muller0 - 21.8053%LOST
2026-09-24ChengduHardC. Ugo Carabelli2 - 0——WON
2026-09-23ChengduHardN. Basilashvili2 - 01.5562%LOST
2026-09-22ChengduHardK. Uchida0 - 2——WON
2026-09-15Guangzhou 2HardJ. K. Trotter0 - 2——LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Linang Xiao or Federico Cina?

Federico Cina is favourite at 1.05, which is a 91% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Linang Xiao vs Federico Cina?

Linang Xiao is 11.05 and Federico Cina is 1.05, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.

What is the head-to-head between Linang Xiao and Federico Cina?

They have met 1 time and Federico Cina leads 1-0.

Who will win Linang Xiao vs Federico Cina?

Our model makes it Linang Xiao to win a set (Lean confidence).

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