Lorenzo Sonego v Aziz Dougaz
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTL. Sonego is 4-6 over the last ten and 7-10 on hard this season. A. Dougaz is 8-2 over the last ten and 30-9 on hard this season. L. Sonego took a medical timeout on 2026-09-25.
The pick is L. Sonego to win 2-0. We make it a 52% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.94 or bigger. At 1.71 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| L. Sonego | A. Dougaz | |
|---|---|---|
| 66 | Ranking | 664 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 | 8-2 |
| LLWLL | Last 5 | LWWWW |
| -0.0 | V the odds | -0.9 |
| 13-20 | Season | 32-14 |
| 7-10 | Hard 2026 | 30-9 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 7d | Days rest | 12d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| MTO | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai | L. SonegovA. Dougaz | 1 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
L. Sonego — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai | Hard | A. Dougaz | 1 - 2 | 1.23 | 78% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Tokyo | Hard | K. Majchrzak | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-25 | Chengdu | Hard | J. Brooksby | 2 - 1 | 2.13 | 54% | LOST |
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu | Hard | J. Duckworth | 0 - 2 | 1.70 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Genova | Clay | F. Passaro | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | A. Zverev | 3 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-27 | Winston-Salem | Hard | J. Duckworth | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-26 | Winston-Salem | Hard | A. Mannarino | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-24 | Winston-Salem | Hard | P. Herbert | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-17 | Cincinnati | Hard | F. Tiafoe | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
A. Dougaz — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Shanghai | Hard | F. Cina | 1 - 2 | 3.06 | 69% | LOST |
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai | Hard | L. Sonego | 1 - 2 | 4.40 | 78% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | M25 Yinchuan | Hard | R. Komagata | 2 - 0 | 1.02 | 92% | LOST |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group II | - Preliminary | M. Shoaib | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-06 | M15 Monastir 29 | Hard | C. Bouchelaghem | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-05 | M15 Monastir 29 | Hard | J. Plans | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-04 | M15 Monastir 29 | Hard | N. Jadoun | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-03 | M15 Monastir 29 | Hard | E. Ambarzumjan | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | M15 Monastir 29 | Hard | D. Augenti | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-27 | US Open | Hard | A. Guerrieri | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Lorenzo Sonego or Aziz Dougaz?
Lorenzo Sonego is favourite at 1.23, which is a 78% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz?
Lorenzo Sonego is 1.23 and Aziz Dougaz is 4.40, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.
What is the head-to-head between Lorenzo Sonego and Aziz Dougaz?
They have met 1 time and Aziz Dougaz leads 1-0.
Who will win Lorenzo Sonego vs Aziz Dougaz?
Our model makes it Lorenzo Sonego to win 2-0 at 1.71 (Lean confidence).