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THURSDAY 01 OCTOBERMATCHES 213EVENTS 31LIVE 4ALERTS 103
ATPHardBeijing · 1/16-finals2026-09-30 04:00

Roman Safiullin v Flavio Cobolli

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

StrongLOST
F. Cobolli to win1.87
Worth backing at 1.72 or bigger · our chance 58% · market 49/51, us 42/58

F. Cobolli is 5-5 over the last ten and 18-12 on hard this season. R. Safiullin is 5-5 over the last ten and 7-8 on hard this season. R. Safiullin took a medical timeout on 2026-09-26. R. Safiullin has played 4 matches in seven days. The head to head is R. Safiullin 0-1.

The pick is F. Cobolli to win. We make it a 58% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.72 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

R. SafiullinF. Cobolli
-Ranking6
5-5Last 105-5
LWWWLLast 5LLWLW
-0.0V the odds+0.1
35-15Season33-21
7-8Hard 202618-12
4Last 7 days1
2dDays rest4d
0Wins here0
MTOFitnessClear
Head to head
0-1

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

R. Safiullin1.9849%
F. CobolliFAV1.9151%
Market says51% Cobolli

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

R. Safiullin1
F. Cobolli1
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-01BeijingR. SafiullinvF. Cobolli2 - 0
2022-08-24US OpenR. SafiullinvF. Cobolli0 - 2

This season & this event

R. Safiullin
F. Cobolli
36-15
8-8
Did not play
Lost R16 to J. Sinner
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
33-22
18-13
Lost R16 to L. Tien
Lost QF to D. Medvedev

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Roman Safiullin
World
Flavio Cobolli
Italy
94
29
World
13–20
0
9–12
3–4
1–4
Ranking
Age
Country
2025 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
6
24
Italy
33–19
1
15–10
14–7
4–2

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

R. Safiullin — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-30BeijingHardF. Cobolli2 - 01.9851%WON
2026-09-28HangzhouHardD. Medvedev2 - 02.7866%LOST
2026-09-27HangzhouHardY. Bu2 - 01.8552%WON
2026-09-26HangzhouHardQ. Halys1 - 21.7855%WON
2026-09-24HangzhouHardF. Sun0 - 21.2280%WON
2026-08-31US OpenHardC. Alcaraz0 - 34.6679%LOST
2026-08-25Winston-SalemHardH. Grenier1 - 21.1882%LOST
2026-08-21Cancun 2HardS. Wawrinka2 - 01.4567%WON
2026-08-21Cancun 2HardH. Hurkacz0 - 22.5662%LOST
2026-08-18Cancun 2HardS. Ofner2 - 01.6658%WON

F. Cobolli — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-30BeijingHardR. Safiullin2 - 01.9151%LOST
2026-09-26ATP Laver CupHard (Indoor)L. Tien1 - 22.7065%LOST
2026-09-05US OpenHardA. Blockx3 - 11.8952%LOST
2026-09-01US OpenHardF. Comesana2 - 31.2379%WON
2026-08-22CincinnatiHardA. Fils0 - 23.2370%LOST
2026-08-20CincinnatiHardT. Paul1 - 22.3759%WON
2026-08-19CincinnatiHardR. Jodar1 - 23.6473%WON
2026-08-17CincinnatiHardA. Blockx1 - 22.0053%WON
2026-08-15CincinnatiHardM. Kecmanovic1 - 21.8353%WON
2026-08-05MontrealHardY. Hanfmann0 - 21.7057%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Roman Safiullin or Flavio Cobolli?

Flavio Cobolli is favourite at 1.91, which is a 51% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli?

Roman Safiullin is 1.98 and Flavio Cobolli is 1.91, the prices we recorded for the Beijing match.

What is the head-to-head between Roman Safiullin and Flavio Cobolli?

They have met 2 times and they are level at 1-1.

Who will win Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli?

Our model makes it Flavio Cobolli to win at 1.87 (Strong confidence).

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