ChallengerHardNingbo · 1/16-finals2026-10-27 03:00

Rigele Te v Mert Alkaya

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Solid

R. Te to win2.51

Worth backing at 2.34 or bigger · our chance 43% · market 38/62, us 43/57

R. Te is 4-6 over the last ten and 17-17 on hard this season. M. Alkaya is 5-5 over the last ten and 36-21 on hard this season.

The pick is R. Te to win. We make it a 43% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.34 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

R. Te		M. Alkaya
849	Ranking	296
4-6	Last 10	5-5
LLWLL	Last 5	LLWWW
+1.3	V the odds	-0.1
17-18	Season	40-28
17-17	Hard 2026	36-21
0	Last 7 days	0
8d	Days rest	8d
0	Wins here	0
Clear	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

R. Te2.5138%

M. AlkayaFAV1.5462%

Market says62% Alkaya

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

R. TeLLWLL

M. AlkayaLLWWW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

R. Te

M. Alkaya

17-18

17-17

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

40-28

36-21

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Rigele Te

China

Mert Alkaya

Turkey

849

China

17–17

17–16

—

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

296

Turkey

36–24

33–21

1–2

1–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

R. Te — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-19	Guangzhou	Hard	C. Hewitt		2.66	64%	LOST
Games in each set6-4 4-6 6-7 TeHewittPoints won51%49%Serve points won76%70%Return points won30%24%Games held15 of 1615 of 16Break points saved2 of 38 of 9Aces1822Double faults45
2026-10-06	Shanghai	Hard	I. Simakin		6.22	85%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 2-6 TeSimakinPoints won41%59%Serve points won54%70%Return points won30%46%Games held5 of 89 of 9Break points saved3 of 63 of 3Aces26Double faults22
2026-10-05	Shanghai	Hard	A. Walton		12.43	92%	WON
Games in each set5-7 6-3 6-4 TeWaltonPoints won52%48%Serve points won70%66%Return points won34%30%Games held15 of 1613 of 15Break points saved2 of 33 of 5Aces127Double faults31
2026-09-28	Beijing	Hard	J. Duckworth	0 - 0	—	—	LOST
2026-09-28	Beijing	Hard	A. Gea		—	—	LOST
Games in each set2-6 3-6 TeGeaPoints won43%57%Serve points won56%71%Return points won29%44%Games held5 of 89 of 9Break points saved2 of 52 of 2Aces48Double faults33
2026-09-22	Hangzhou	Hard	B. Tomic		—	—	LOST
Games in each set7-6 4-6 5-7 TeTomicPoints won46%54%Serve points won61%76%Return points won24%39%Games held14 of 1716 of 17Break points saved11 of 141 of 2Aces2210Double faults51
2026-09-18	ATP Davis Cup - World Group I	- Preliminary	C. Ruud		9.70	91%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 6-7 TeRuudPoints won39%61%Serve points won60%90%Return points won10%40%Games held7 of 910 of 10Break points saved7 of 90 of 0Aces23Double faults30
2026-09-07	Shanghai	Hard	R. Noguchi		3.85	75%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 2-6 TeNoguchiPoints won44%56%Serve points won55%72%Return points won28%45%Games held6 of 108 of 10Break points saved5 of 94 of 6Aces121Double faults41
2026-08-30	M15 Maanshan 8	Hard	T. Zhang		1.68	57%	WON
Games in each set5-7 6-2 6-4 TeZhangPoints won54%46%Serve points won69%62%Return points won38%31%Games held13 of 1511 of 15Break points saved2 of 43 of 7
2026-08-29	M15 Maanshan 8	Hard	C. Ferguson		1.54	62%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-4 TeFergusonPoints won59%41%Serve points won75%54%Return points won46%25%Games held9 of 95 of 8Break points saved0 of 05 of 8

M. Alkaya — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-19	Guangzhou	Hard	A. Ilagan	2.61	63%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 6-3 1-6 AlkayaIlaganPoints won46%54%Serve points won62%75%Return points won25%38%Games held10 of 1312 of 13Break points saved7 of 104 of 5Aces208Double faults64
2026-10-11	M25 Luan	Hard	M. Dellavedova	2.20	57%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 1-6 AlkayaDellavedovaPoints won38%62%Serve points won35%58%Return points won42%65%Games held1 of 85 of 7Break points saved0 of 72 of 4
2026-10-10	M25 Luan	Hard	N. Ehrenschneider	1.64	58%	WON
Games in each set2-6 6-3 6-4 AlkayaEhrenschneiderPoints won52%48%Serve points won72%70%Return points won30%28%Games held12 of 1411 of 13Break points saved0 of 21 of 3
2026-10-09	M25 Luan	Hard	Y. C. Chen	—	—	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-4 AlkayaChenPoints won58%42%Serve points won79%61%Return points won39%21%Games held10 of 107 of 9Break points saved0 of 02 of 4
2026-10-08	M25 Luan	Hard	K. Suzuki	1.03	91%	WON
Games in each set6-0 6-1 AlkayaSuzukiPoints won70%30%Serve points won76%37%Return points won63%24%Games held7 of 71 of 7Break points saved0 of 03 of 8
2026-10-07	M25 Luan	Hard	I. Becroft	1.72	56%	WON
Games in each set6-1 7-5 AlkayaBecroftPoints won58%42%Serve points won65%49%Return points won51%35%Games held8 of 104 of 9Break points saved1 of 31 of 6
2026-09-20	ATP Davis Cup - World Group I	- Preliminary	F. Cerundolo	6.88	86%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 0-6 AlkayaCerundoloPoints won29%71%Serve points won35%80%Return points won20%65%Games held1 of 76 of 6Break points saved2 of 80 of 0Aces11Double faults10
2026-09-19	ATP Davis Cup - World Group I	- Preliminary	T. A. Tirante	5.49	82%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 4-6 AlkayaTirantePoints won43%57%Serve points won61%75%Return points won25%39%Games held6 of 99 of 9Break points saved2 of 52 of 2Aces19Double faults02
2026-09-10	Istanbul	Clay	M. Basing	2.64	65%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 5-7 AlkayaBasingPoints won48%52%Serve points won52%58%Return points won42%48%Games held6 of 118 of 11Break points saved4 of 90 of 3Aces41Double faults33
2026-09-08	Istanbul	Clay	T. Torres	1.64	58%	WON
Games in each set6-3 4-6 6-2 AlkayaTorresPoints won51%49%Serve points won55%54%Return points won46%45%Games held10 of 147 of 13Break points saved13 of 179 of 15Aces41Double faults25

Common questions

Who is favourite, Rigele Te or Mert Alkaya?

Mert Alkaya is favourite at 1.54, which is a 62% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Rigele Te vs Mert Alkaya?

Rigele Te is 2.51 and Mert Alkaya is 1.54, the prices we recorded for the Ningbo match.

Who will win Rigele Te vs Mert Alkaya?

Our model makes it Rigele Te to win at 2.51 (Solid confidence).

Also at this event

Broom v Santillan Fomin v Broady Hsu v Smith Milic v Uchida Poljicak v Shimizu Schoolkate v Imamura