THE TENNIS TRADER
WEDNESDAY 07 OCTOBERMATCHES 343EVENTS 34LIVE 3ALERTS 171
ATPHardShanghai2026-10-06 04:00

Rigele Te v Ilia Simakin

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
R. Te to win a set (set handicap +1.5)
Worth backing at 2.11 or bigger · our chance 48% · market 15/85, us 19/81

R. Te is 6-4 over the last ten and 17-15 on hard this season. I. Simakin is 10-0 over the last ten and 41-9 on hard this season.

The pick is R. Te to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 48% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.11 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

R. TeI. Simakin
839Ranking275
6-4Last 1010-0
WLLLLLast 5WWWWW
+0.9V the odds+0.3
17-16Season44-17
17-15Hard 202641-9
1Last 7 days1
1dDays rest1d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

R. Te6.2215%
I. SimakinFAV1.1385%
Market says85% Simakin

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

R. TeLWLLL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

R. Te0
I. Simakin1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-06ShanghaiR. TevI. Simakin0 - 2

This season & this event

R. Te
I. Simakin
17-17
17-16
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
45-17
42-9
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Rigele Te
China
Ilia Simakin
World
839
28
China
16–15
1
16–14
—
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
154
22
World
44–17
4
41–9
3–8
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

R. Te — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-06ShanghaiHardI. Simakin0 - 26.2285%LOST
2026-10-05ShanghaiHardA. Walton1 - 212.4392%WON
2026-09-28BeijingHardJ. Duckworth0 - 0——LOST
2026-09-28BeijingHardA. Gea0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-22HangzhouHardB. Tomic2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryC. Ruud2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-07ShanghaiHardR. Noguchi2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-30M15 Maanshan 8HardT. Zhang1 - 2——WON
2026-08-29M15 Maanshan 8HardC. Ferguson2 - 0——WON
2026-08-28M15 Maanshan 8HardJ. Charlton0 - 2——WON

I. Simakin — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-06ShanghaiHardR. Te0 - 21.1385%WON
2026-10-05ShanghaiHardL. Pavlovic1 - 21.4666%WON
2026-09-20Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - QualificationHardR. Pacheco Mendez1 - 2——WON
2026-09-19Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - QualificationHardH. Heck2 - 1——WON
2026-09-18Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - QualificationHardC. Hewitt0 - 2——WON
2026-09-17Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - QualificationHardB. Ellis0 - 2——WON
2026-09-15Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - QualificationHardT. Derepasko0 - 2——WON
2026-09-13Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - QualificationHardA. Weber0 - 2——WON
2026-09-12Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - QualificationHardM. Purcell2 - 1——WON
2026-09-11Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - QualificationHardP. Sekulic0 - 2——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Rigele Te or Ilia Simakin?

Ilia Simakin is favourite at 1.13, which is a 85% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Rigele Te vs Ilia Simakin?

Rigele Te is 6.22 and Ilia Simakin is 1.13, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.

What is the head-to-head between Rigele Te and Ilia Simakin?

They have met 1 time and Ilia Simakin leads 1-0.

Who will win Rigele Te vs Ilia Simakin?

Our model makes it Rigele Te to win a set (Lean confidence).

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